se12sam
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Everything posted by se12sam
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1. I would not really care -- provided it has the same "feel" as a live match. I mean with all the pauses as declarer/defenders stop to think etc. If it were to become a GIB-like high-speed bidding and play of cards with no time for expert commentators, I will almost certainly not watch. 2. How will it work in practice? Will the commentators be typing "live" into a set of bids and plays that Vugraph has logged about 30 minutes earlier? I have often seen commentators point out to vugraph operators about an input error. If (a wrong) Vugraph entry was done 30 min. earlier, there is no opportunity to correct!
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Agreed that partner should have a singleton club, and after all these comments I am still convinced the best return is a low club. However, a (late) thought that comes to mind is "If West is the hand approx that Gerben shows, why did West not bid 3♠ to investigate a 3NT declared by East?". As luck would have it, our ♦Qxx means that 3NT should be cold on a finesse even after a low spade opening lead. And after any other opening lead, it should be even easier to score 9 tricks in 3NT.
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I agree with jdonn completely. Having a "rule" save a lot of stress and thought. I also suspect (but have no way of proving) that Barry Crane's rule may have had some statistical validity in times of manually shuffled / duplicated boards. With the advent of computer dealt truly random hands, the value of the rule is only for peace of mind.
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return partners lead?
se12sam replied to jillybean's topic in Intermediate and Advanced Bridge Discussion
Hehe do you mean this isnt my best hand diagram or not my best play? I never post my good hands on here :rolleyes: I think the preferred way to show a defensive hand (opening leader + dummy) is to show the declarer (closed hand) as South and display your (opening leader's) hand as West + dummy as North. Your display may have confused because you are South, declarer is East and dummy is West. Did you lead the ♠3? Then declarer must have put up dummy's ♠9 which wins, and would then have set up the clubs in dummy while the ♠A was still in dummy. How about leading ♠J instead? Would it have defeated the contract? -
Win in dummy, finesse the ♥Q and play ♣Q from hand. Good defenders will most likely signal count on this to each other. - If there is adequate reason to believe East has odd # of clubs, we can play East to have 5-3-2-3. Continue by cashing ♣A, then play ♦10. West wins and plays a spade. If East is indeed 5-3-2-3, he has to duck this trick (otherwise it is easy to set up the 4th diamond by conceding to west later). Now cash the ♣K, play a low diamond to the ♦A and exit with the ♠Q. This also works if East started with 5-4-1-3. - If East shows even # of clubs, it might be better to simply cash the ♥A and hope the ♥K falls on this trick.
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return partners lead?
se12sam replied to jillybean's topic in Intermediate and Advanced Bridge Discussion
Declarer most likely started with ♣KQ tight. When you win ♥10, you can start disconnecting declarer from dummy by giving up a spade trick and switching to ♠J. Declarer can win the ♠Q in hand, if they wish. When you win the next trick, you can exit with ♠K (after cashing ♥A if still with you) and completely break off communications for declarer. Your side can then hope to score the fifth trick in due course. -
I'm no expert and therefore I fear I could be wrong. But at the point when you led a heart, if West is out of heart cards you are always down. West will over-ruff with his presumed ♠A and lead a club. Assuming the ♠9 did not fall on trick 6, the fourth club promotes a trump trick for the defense. And if East fails to follow to the 3rd heart, it means we are playing West to have started with 3-4-1-5 OR for East to have ducked the first trump holding ♠A9x (West 2-4-2-5). Maybe it's best to put all your eggs in one basket and play for 3-3 in hearts.
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Six loser hand. If partner has what he promises (8 losers, 4 card spade), I can afford to be in game. I do not expect to make it every time, but at IMPs the odds may surely favour going on to game.
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[hv=d=e&v=b&n=sa854h4dk64cq8432&s=skqhk86dat952cak9]133|200|Scoring: MP Your side reaches 3NT by South with no opposition bidding[/hv] LHO leads the ♥2 (4th best) which East wins with the ♥Ace; and continues at trick two with ♥J to your King and West's 5 as you discard a diamond from dummy. At trick 3, you cash the ♣Ace to which West plays the ♣10 and East the ♣5. What next at MPs? Are percentages for any specific line of play worth the risk? EDIT: Apologies! This is probably a useless example. Sorry to waste your time!
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Will righty cruise sweet home ?
se12sam replied to H_KARLUK's topic in Intermediate and Advanced Bridge Discussion
Actually the top line of the OP says "Sys : SAYC" and does not say "Sys : 2/1". I completely agree that if playing 2/1, the 2♣ launches you into a GF auction and there is no need to jump in hearts etc. but if I were playing SAYC, the 2♥ rebid does not show the quality of the hand (17 HCP, useful feature in partner's suit, useful shortness etc) -
Partner didn't double
se12sam replied to mtvesuvius's topic in Intermediate and Advanced Bridge Discussion
My humble inputs -- though I could be totally wrong here. 1. The 3♣ bidder may not have made this bid if he had 3-card support for his partner's heart. Therefore, he has 1-2 heart cards (0 heart cards is less likely) 2. I have clubs double stopped and partner could have hearts double stopped. 3. Even if partner puts down a good spade doubleton (Ax or Qx), we cannot be sure of 4♠ contract from our side due to risk of ruffs after a heart lead. I bid 3♥ asking partner if 3NT is feasible. If he bids 3♠, I will raise to game because of the scoring and vul. status -
Will righty cruise sweet home ?
se12sam replied to H_KARLUK's topic in Intermediate and Advanced Bridge Discussion
1. The South 2♥ call is a severe underbid. What more does South need to make a forcing jump bid? 2. I believe the 2♠ is similarly an underbid, though some may disagree. -
If partner is not bidding in a totally illogical manner, could he be 5-6 (or 4-7 or 5-7) in the minors? His 4♠x can be an improvised Lightner dbl. I lead a high heart because I think partner will ruff and lead back a diamond (hopefully underleading his ace).
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4N followed by 5♥ over 5♣/5♦ but pass over 5♠
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I hate bidding 98% grands. Just not enough upside. Especially when 7NT is 100%, and the bidding has discovered 13 cold tricks
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1. I'd open the south hand with 1♦. I believe all 6-5 or 7-5 (longer minor+ 5-card major) bid better when opened 1m. And I recall reading articles that recommended opening the minor (Danny Kleinman's book, possibly?) 2. What if there is a diamond opening lead? After this sequence, East does not need a Lightner dbl (which allows you into a cold 7NT) to secure a ruff. A 4-0 split (West 4-card) though against odds is still probably a 2+% chance.
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What if partner spurns your splinter and bids 4♠. Will you pass now with the South hand or make one more move? If the consensus is "one more move" then why not 5♣ as Exclusion Key Card immediately?
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If I had to act, I'd possibly bid 3NT. 1. Would partner interpret it as minors? I guess so. 2. Is this a bigger risk vs. double? I can't see it -- if I double & partner has a boring 3-4-3-3, he may pass (taking his chances). Finally, there is a small chance we play in 3NT (dbld?) with a loss smaller than allowing 3♠x or playing in 4m dbl.
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I'm not convinced anyone is to blame in either contract. 1. 4♥ is good only because trumps are 2-2, South has a doubleton spade, north's ♣J is valuable etc. It's most likely anti-percentage to be in game. Also, impossible to reach scientifically after the 3♦ overcall. 2. Again, many guesses involved. Too many things were right to make 4♥.
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My attempt at answering: 1. 3♣. If partner acts again, we can hope to play 4♥ or 5♣. If he is minimum with scattered values, our side may have 4 losers in 4♥ 2. Pass? 3. Dbl. The info of your 4-card heart suit (and some diamond length) may be useful to partner in competition 4. 2♠. Natural suit. 5. 3♥. If contract reaches 6♣, the strong hand will anyway declare.
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Is a bid justified?
se12sam replied to se12sam's topic in General Bridge Discussion (not BBO-specific)
At the table I passed. However, I was seriously considering bidding 5♣ -- I did not bid because of partner's hesitation. My "sound bridge reason" line of thought was as follows: 1. Based on opponents bidding, partner most likely had 0 or 1 ♠ cards 2. I have a singleton diamond -- only one loser there. 3. If North's 3♠ jump bid shows some distribution (most likely) then partner must have heart values as well. If partner had not hesitated, I thought I had a good 5♣ sacrifice going. Partner's hand was: ♠x ♥KQx ♦KJTx ♣KJ9xx }Partner's diamonds were worthless (♦AQ were over the dummy) despite which And as above, I held: ♠JTx ♥J987x ♦x ♣QTxx } our side has 9 tricks for -300. Spades were 5-4, hearts were 3-2 and 4♠ was making easily. I fully agree, it was poor judgement on my part to bid only 4♣. However, I believe there was additional information available to me after the 4♠ bid (assuming no hesitation by partner) a. It increases the possibility of a 5-4 or 6-4 spade split. Until then a 4-4 spade fit was possible (increases our loser by one) b. It reduces the possibility of our side having club tricks in 4♠. Opponents will choose to play 4♣X if both of them have club losers. -
Is a bid justified?
se12sam replied to se12sam's topic in General Bridge Discussion (not BBO-specific)
OK, a clarification. I am not a director and am not sure how a director would rule. But I think the noticeable hesitation in this specific instance would qualify as a BIT. -
[hv=d=e&v=n&s=sjtxhj987xdxcqtxx]133|100|Scoring: MP The bidding so far: East South West North 1♦ - pass - 1♠ - 2♣ 3♠* - 4♣ - 4♠ - pass** pass - ???[/hv] You are South. * The stop card was used and you bid 4♣ after an appropriate pause. ** Partner hesitates (noticeable/not disputed) before passing At MPs, does your hand still have a sound bridge reason to bid 5♣? Would appreciate your comments and poll choice
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I think after a 3NT bid (which must be based on good playing tricks / HCP), North can re-evaluate his hand and bid 4NT. The 13 HCP does not matter because the diamonds are worth much more in a NT contract than their suggested HCP value Will South interpret this as Quantitative? Not sure. But if this is the logical meaning, South could jump to 6NT at his next turn.
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I think you misread the auction, Phil. After 1♣ P 1♠, double is played, by most of us, as both reds... and his diamonds are a little suspect :lol: I agree with the criticism of the heart 5, if that was actually the spot played. Yes, the ♥5 was the actual spot card played. I suppose the highest available spot ♥6 would be better (in a sense of discouraging a heart continuation), but then I was not at the table and was shown this hand later.
