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chasetb

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Everything posted by chasetb

  1. I have heard if there are 7 or less tricks played, the hand will not be simmed, if there are 8 or more tricks played, it will be. I know from experience that after 9 tricks are finished it will finish with robots.
  2. Bridge Bingo - http://tinyurl.com/4lqobfn I needed 3NT to Bingo so I bid it. I think that my 3NT bid in this case should show 13-16 HCP, at least 1 stop in ♦, 2-3♠, 2-3♥, 1-3♣. However, that isn't the issue. The issue is GIB then bidding 4NT, showing 15-16 HCP (it only had 12). Since a 7-level contract would have given me 4 in a diagonal (and I sadly believed the bidding), I bid 7♣ thinking there could be some play.
  3. You won't be able to get to every optimum contract, and not every contract that has better than a 50% chance of making makes. That being said, 4♥ on a Club lead is ghastly, and I feel it's a silly question to ask how to get to a poor contract that just happens to make. The 'optimum contract' is actually 4♣ on this hand, but you won't get to that because you have the HCP as well as a good suit, just Spades are lying badly.
  4. You log into the FD website. Once you log in, go to "Public Bidding Systems". To the right of each date of every system, there will be a Spade icon with a yellow slash. Click on that in order to download. For some reason I can't download any in "Private Bidding Systems", I'll look into it.
  5. pooltuna has the right idea. Here are the results based on suitplay, setting North as A432 and South as QT98. Playing the Ace must be inferior, because it lists only two lines - Lead 10/9/8 planning on finessing, and Lead Q, planning on finessing. On a few of the hands, I made comments when it's likely to differ if you play the Ace immediately: West East 10 Q Prob. KJxxx - 3 3 1.96% *Ace loses KJxx x 3 3 8.48% *Ace loses KJx xx 3 3 10.17% *Ace loses KJ xxx 3 3 3.93% Kxxx J 3 4 2.83% Kxx Jx 3 3 10.17% Kx Jxx 3 3 10.17% *Ace loses if you guess incorrectly, so I'll call it -5.085% K Jxxx 4 3 2.83% Jxxx K 3 3 2.83% *Ace wins 4 Jxx Kx 3 3 10.17% Jx Kxx 3 3 10.17% J Kxxx 3 3 2.83% xxx KJ 2 2 3.39% *Ace wins 3 xx KJx 2 2 10.17% x KJxx 2 2 8.48% - KJxxx 3 2 1.96% *Ace will get 3 tricks Leading the 10/9/8 overall wins by a score of 77.96% - 76.00% when aiming for 3 tricks (both are even in making 4 tricks), gaining on singleton K onside as well as when KJxxx is behind the Axxx. Leading the Q only wins when the singleton J is offsides. By my math, the Ace will gain 3 tricks about 56.195%, making it a CLEAR #3. The Ace will gain you 4 tricks on 5.66% compared to 2.83% for the other 2; that doesn't make up for it clearly getting PWNED!
  6. I joined at the beginning of June 2009; I had only started to learn bridge in March of that year. I love the Vugraph, the free express and bingo tourneys, and being able to watch other people. I don't care for people overrating themselves, and having to brave the random BBOer as a partner because my partners don't play on here. Overall, I am a big supporter, so Happy 10th Anniversity BBO!
  7. 'Balanced' hands are any 4432, 4333, or 5332. 'Semi-balanced hands' are any 5422, 6322, or even 7222, as the semi refers to the fact that there is no suit with 0-1 cards. Ultimately, it depends on where the honor cards are for how you treat the semi-balanced hands. I have treated 5422 many times as a balanced hand when I have had Ax or Kx in both short suits. I have also opened a few 6322 hands (6-card minor) 2NT, and even a 7222 (7-card minor) 2NT. The 7222 gained, because while I went down 1, 4♥ was made in the other direction.
  8. I took the bid as basically GSF. Even though I was wary of not having strong enough trump, I needed a 6-level contract for Bridge Bingo so I took a chance. I feel that GIB should ONLY use 5M if it's only worried about trump, otherwise ask RKC, like the hand above. Sadly, I didn't actually need 6♠, as two hands later I had a cold 6♥.
  9. http://tinyurl.com/4mvqubx I needed 5♦ to BINGO, that's the only reason why I bid it. As you can see, 4♥ is cold, but hard to get there when 2♥ isn't opened.
  10. GIB says there's only an 10.91% chance of Q singleton with West, and another 7.27% chance of West having Qx, assuming West has 7 for the 3♥ pre-empt. Give West 8 of them, and only a 10% chance of a singleton Q♣. So percentage screams hooking East the first round. Of course, since you posted this hand, it must be correct to drop that pesky Queen-gleton.
  11. First off, not to be rude but there are only 39 different suit-combinations. Second, 22 of the 39 hands each have less than a 0.4% probability, 16 of those are 0.10 or less. I personally have had two of the 0.00 - a 9-4-0-0 and a 10-1-1-1 in roughly 5000 hands. I also saw today in the JEC match a 9-3-1-0, which is 0.01. In only 256 hands, I'm not surprised to see only 18 combinations, that seems to be relatively normal. Now if you simmed 1000, you would likely get 22-25 of the combinations.
  12. Partner wouldn't have a 5-8 hand, otherwise his/her 3rd bid should have been a jump to 4♥. Therefore, it's either 5-6 and no worries about the minors or 6-7. I do agree with you, as do most of us sane people here, that the hand is If you want to get there (easily?), play Precision Club and open that hand 1♣. For me, it would go: 1♣-2♣(positive transfer to ♦); 4♦(Majors)-7♠. If not, follow the bidding sequence outlined in the very first post, adding 6♠ and 7♠ to the end.
  13. Sorry, but KQ109 is clearly worth 6+ HCP, which would make my total 15+ (KR evaluates my hand as exactly 15). Also, the 5♠ bid should show a hand that is really worried about the trump suit, which wasn't GIB's hand at all. I figured that Qxx was better than I could have. matmat, why do you always seem to say stupid things to try and put other people down? Don't let the door hit you on the way out... EDIT - The proof of him doing such things is under his interests: "ticking people off, making fun of people, pointing and laughing"
  14. I don't like the 1♣ bid - move the K♦ to the Heart suit and I would say go for it (I'm obviously not Meckstroth or Rodwell). I'm a little surprised that partner wouldn't play you to be that strong if you opened 1♥ and not 1♣. I'm not too happy with partner's systemic 2♦ bid on that hand, but that seems to be it. I would DBL 3♠, but definitely not like it.
  15. I know the feeling. About a year ago, I had a 8-card Spade suit in 4th seat. I don't remember who opened, I do know though that my RHO bid 1♠. I believe that I bid 4♠ on the spot, and then GIB kept bidding over me repeating Spades all the way up to 7♠, which went down 4 (could have kept it down 3 if I remember correctly). Amazingly, RHO with AK♠ and an outside Ace didn't double.
  16. http://tinyurl.com/48zsctp Why can't GIB ask for Key Cards? With a void somewhere, I can totally see GIB bidding 5♠ over the Texas transfer, but otherwise that bidding sequence is horrible and I'm just lucky that it made.
  17. Partner has shown at least 6♥ and 5♠ as well as extra values. When you chose Spades, you showed shortness in ♥, which implies that with the 5NT bid (s)he has the A♥ as well as the K♠ and/or Q♠, and probably A♣ and a Diamond void. Partner was willing to go to 6 opposite you having NO help in Spades, yet you have both the A♠ and the K♥, which he shouldn't expect you to have, not to mention the K♣ and A♦. This hand clearly exists, and is worth 6♠ since they have agreements over GSF.
  18. I usually respect your opinion, but this time I feel you are dead wrong. They rarely come up, and most people don't even know how to bid over it when their partners open it. In my two years of playing bridge (5000+ deals), I have had a weak Gambling 3NT. It gave us a swing because partner was in 6♦= ; the LOLs at the other table were in 3NT making 5. Because it was unfavorable vulnerability, I think we would have gotten there anyway by me opening 3♦ on x xxx AKQxxxx xx with him, as he is aggressive and plays well. I have watched almost 2000 more hands on Vugraph, and only once was it opened on there - in TGRs a pair got to 6♦= (his partner bid it) for a flat board when the other table made it there without Gambling 3NT. I have had 3 medium Gambling 3NT hands in that time, and used it once - we got to 6♣+1, but only because 2 more LOLs didn't open 2♠. You can freely DBL or bid 4♣/4♦/4♥/4♠, and give each of them different meanings as well over a Gambling 3NT. It's harder to assign meanings to them over a strong 4M pre-empt; after all you don't know WHAT Major Opener has, and partner is allowed to pass the 3NT bid. Opener is also promising a little defense outside the major, should those silly opponents try to bid on. I play it as a strong 4M pre-empt (8.0-9.0 tricks, A or KQ or KJx outside) in all but 4th seat, and it has come up 5 times I can think of while playing, not to mention once in the Vanderbilt finals. I go back to a strong Gambling 3NT in 4th seat; it worked in a home game the one time I was able to use it. EDIT - I think the 3NT as Ace asking is an interesting idea, and even if you completely disagree with what I said above, you can't say that it wouldn't be useful.
  19. TWO is trying to think outside the box, but I see it there is no box on this hand. You have 6 controls and one of the top three honors, 6♠ wtp
  20. While I agree that you jumped to Gerber a bit too quickly, on this hand and the bidding, I think it can work. The problem is you SHOULD NOT FOCUS ON HCP SO MUCH! Once you reach the 30 HCP mark, stop counting HCP and think about tricks and controls. With this much strength, a 5-2 fit will usually get you 5 tricks (that's like an additional 3 HCP by itself). Give partner 2 other 4-card suits (or a 5-card minor suit), and you'll get another trick or two. So, I would ask Gerber, find out we have all the controls, and bid 7NT, confident that I'll make it.
  21. http://tinyurl.com/49ege8b I think my 3♣ rebid shows 15- total points, NOT 12- like it said. My 3♣ rebid should also deny a 4-card major, so 3M should be asking for a stopper. I bet GIB playing 3NT makes.
  22. Glen, why did you have to be so rude as well as lazy? If you spent just a minute doing a search or two on the internet, you would KNOW the answer to that question, and wouldn't have wasted so much space on this thread with rehashed information. The percentages are off, the correct ones are: 21.6% (any 4432) 15.5% (any 5332) 10.5% (any 4333) 03.0% (any 4441) 50.6% http://www.bridgehands.com/P/Probability_Hand_Distribution.htm
  23. And you would go down, as well as probably going down on many hands with 33 HCP. You have the worst distribution as well as no points in your "long" suit. I wouldn't even look for slam if partner and I played the "Yellow Rose of Texas" convention. Assuming no 8-card fit, you'll probably need around 35 HCP for 6NT, and even if you have a 4-4 Spade fit, that looks to need roughly 34 HCP for 6NT because you are 4333. The only chance you have is if partner has a 5-card suit, and even then needs to be a maximum. I would bid 3NT, wouldn't even think twice.
  24. I'm able to play at 3 PM; an e-mail was just sent. Inquiry, I think I'm brave enough to be your partner for tomorrow as well as next week, since I am on Spring Break.
  25. Your new system is starting to shape up to look a lot like Romex. The problem is that your 1NT forcing opening (which is allowed and is GCC legal) is too restrictive - some hands like the one reply get shunted out because they don't fit. I posted a link to a summary of Romex below - if you want more, Baron Barclay is having a deal on Rosenkranz/Alder books (where the Romex system is described). Using Romex, 2♣ is 0-5, and you could stop at the 2-level with this hand (I count the x as a control since I like my Club suit). Bids 3♣ and below are artificial and show HCP, controls, and cover cards, and above that show some specific hand type. http://www.bridgewithdan.com/systems/Romex.txt
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