Statto
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Everything posted by Statto
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johnu has posted so I don't have to. My numbers seem about right based on your numbers. I don't think you are interpreting the numbers correctly.
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The probability of being dealt an opening hand of 20-21 HCP is 0.6%. So it would actually seem that in 13% of those cases opener has a 5-card major. Now you go figure B-)
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Y, or passed.
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Maybe I need to go to Specsavers, but I don't see much defence in the North hand. It also looks far too weak for a 2♥ overcall to me, but NV looks ok for 3♥.
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2♥ rebid seems normal in Acol, as the ♥ aren't too shabby. You could rebid 2♣ with a view to finding a NT contract, which is far too tempting with this balanced hand, so that's what I'd do.
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balance over 3s jump overcall with 18-19 bal?
Statto replied to Stephen Tu's topic in Interesting Bridge Hands
Different vulnerability would get different results, but at this vul the majority verdict is clear B-) -
If playing SNT, I would have downgraded this and opened 1♣. Having opened 1NT it now looks like an easy pass at red. If playing WNT, having downgraded, I bid 3♠ now.
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South should bid something other than 2♥ on the 2nd round. 2♥ is a weak sign-off with a 6-card suit; well, it is the way I play normally. South's hand is verging on better than that, and they know of a ♣ fit to boot.
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Bridge program for a Tablet
Statto replied to EricK's topic in General Bridge Discussion (not BBO-specific)
Go for a name that is already renowned for bridge software. It is easy to convert good software to tablet format. It is less easy to write good software in the first place. -
Nobody Ever Downgrades
Statto replied to broze's topic in Intermediate and Advanced Bridge Discussion
If you like opening 1NT, you might consider a weak NT, or perhaps 14-16 B-) -
Convert partners double to penalty?
Statto replied to jillybean's topic in Intermediate and Advanced Bridge Discussion
Presumably we did not bid 2♦ on the last round because we are not playing negative free bids? -
Convert partners double to penalty?
Statto replied to jillybean's topic in Intermediate and Advanced Bridge Discussion
I don't understand 3♦. We have a poor fit for partner's 1st suit, and quite likely not a good fit for their 2nd suit if that is ♥, along with 5 fairly useless ♣ in offence. Partner's reopening double doesn't necessarily promise any extra strength (YMMV), and we don't seem to have a decent 6-card suit to justify jumping vulnerable (again YMMV). Some comments seem to be assuming this is MPs, though the scoring doesn't seem to be given... -
A card combination
Statto replied to fuburules3's topic in Intermediate and Advanced Bridge Discussion
If LHO produces the King or Queen, unless I've missed something, I don't see what you could gain by not covering with the Ace. The decision will come on the next round, whether to play 9 or J. SuitPlay says the 9, though my instinct would be the J, expecting it to be much more normal to have played the honour from KQx than K10x/Q10x, but maybe that's not the case. It probably depends quite a bit on the hand in question. Your post illustrates restricted choice in a more complex setting B-) -
Low level competition doubles
Statto replied to Phil352's topic in General Bridge Discussion (not BBO-specific)
(1♥)-P-(1NT)-X is normally played as take-out. But what about (1♥)-P-(1NT)-P;(P)-X? Marvin French thinks this should be penalty. Do you? -
IDK, it depends on partner, opponents, the field, and the cards in the other hands. At the local club, I doubt it. But at a higher powered event, maybe.
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passd hand bidding with AQ on their suit
Statto replied to Fluffy's topic in Interesting Bridge Hands
This won't be a great dummy, looks a reasonable hand for defending, and I'm tempted to pass, but I'll show the support and make it harder for opener to make another bid. If partner has a super good overcall they may raise to game. Actually now I prefer 2NT which looks kinda obvious, but too late. IMPs or MPs? -
This makes sense if we think a fair number of other tables will be playing in 5♦, or for that matter 4♠. But if we think the majority will have the same auction, then it mostly comes down to beating those, and I think we probably will defeat 5♠, so in that case double is best. One thing I'm not doing is bidding 6♦, as it's certain to be doubled and go 1 or 2 off, and if only 1 off then probably 5♠ was down anyway.
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Double jump in balancing position
Statto replied to plaur's topic in Intermediate and Advanced Bridge Discussion
It clearly expects to score better than letting 1♣ be passed out. Depending on vulnerability this probably means expecting to make on average, or at white perhaps going no more than one down. It suggests raising to 4 with a reasonable hand and fit. -
How to cope with pre-emptive overcall
Statto replied to IxCluzts's topic in Novice and Beginner Forum
Googling for 'bridge negative double' should turn up some resources. cue-bid = a bid of opponent's suit, in this context GF = game forcing LR = limit raise (in case it wasn't clear :)) -
can you stay out of game?
Statto replied to jillybean's topic in Intermediate and Advanced Bridge Discussion
The excellent ♠ intermediates make North's hand a clear opener IMO. If playing Standard I would respond 2♥. Playing 2/1, 1NT is justified with a void in partner's suit, and maybe we'll get out at 3♥. But an immediate 2♥ reply with a good suit and hand is far too tempting... -
seeing is believing?
Statto replied to jillybean's topic in Intermediate and Advanced Bridge Discussion
Agree. The auction is fine up to and including West's 2♠ bid. North should now pass and allow partner to compete, and I don't know why West is bidding 3♠ :blink: -
How do you approach these two
Statto replied to Cyberyeti's topic in Intermediate and Advanced Bridge Discussion
1. I like X too. 2. I'll duck the opening lead to give opps a chance to make a helpful trump switch. Either way, I then hope to play trumps for 1 loser by starting with small from dummy towards the 8, and aim to establish the ♥ by ruffing. Hopefully I have enough entries to dummy to do this. I think this works whenever ♦ are no worse than 3-1, ♥ no worse than 4-2, and ♦KQ or stiff ♦9 are not offside. -
On the 1st hand, North seems to have a fair bit in reserve after partner's raise to 4♠, both in strength and shape. I would be tempted to make a slam try with a 5♦ cue.
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Pass and lead a ♣ (assuming partner doesn't bid 6♥).
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I lead a ♣, hoping to find partner's long suit, as they're the one with the side entry.
