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Who overbid?


han

Who overbid?  

34 members have voted

  1. 1. Who overbid?

    • West overbid.
      11
    • East overbid.
      13
    • Both did.
      5
    • Bad luck.
      5


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It's funny, counting lost tricks suggests that West overbid but my intuitive judgement says that West should have opened and East should not.

 

East has a rule-of-15 opening but I see little point in opening this hand. Playing Drury I would prefer 1 to 1 if I really had to open, though.

 

After 1 was raised I don't think West can anticipate on a minimum opening by East unless you have some special agreements like

Pass-1

1-2

3orwhatever*

*asks if East has a real opening but if not, 3 might allready be too high.

 

So my conclusion is that the 2 bid shows a real opening. If you can't pass 1 with 4-card support, then you must play four card majors in 3rd seat. That's fine in this case because the diamonds are worse than the spades, but if the diamonds had been better I don't have a solution.

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[hv=d=w&v=b&w=skjxxxh10xxdqjckqx&e=sqxxxhkqxdxxxxcax]266|100|Scoring: MP

pass-1D

1S-2S

4S

 

Down one.[/hv]

 

East-west open light.

For what its worth, here's the MOSCITO auction:

 

1 - (P) - 3

 

The West hand evaluates as a bare minimum 1 opening

(1 promises 4+ Spades, and ~9 - 14 HCP.

The opening also promises 6 slam points)

 

The 3 Spades response systemically shows 4 card trump support and ~6-10 HCP.

Some people MIGHT decide to treat the East hand as stronger, in which case they would have the option to bid 2NT showing 4 trumps and game invitational values. This hand is RIGHT on the boundry. The 2NT raise shows 7 losers and this evaluates as 7.5 or so...

 

Regardless, even if you do treat it as a game invite, you end up in 3...

 

I'll note once more that if you like opening this kind of dreck, you need a response strucutre that isn't going to hang you.

 

Going back to the original question: I think that it is losing bridge to force opener to pass with 4 card trump support and sub-minimum values. As Cascade noted "This is 2-handed bridge". The partnership has the entire three level to sort out ranges and explore for fits. They really might want to consider doing so on occasion...

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Having played in a partnership with a similar style I will add my two cents that although West's hand has become quite good it is still only invitational in this style. For many other partnerships it would have been a clear 4 bid, but if you agree to a style, stick to it. This means West doesn't need a good hand to bid game unilaterally, West needs a great hand. This hand is just good.

 

Gerben42 - smirny auction (me in West):

P - 1 (in fact we rather open 1 with this distribution and 4 bad )

1 - 2

2NT (relay) - 3 (minimum 4-card support, balanced)

Pass

 

with me in East (can't imagine smirny passing this):

1 - 2NT (invite+ 4+support)

3 (my hand is not any good) - 3 (too bad)

Pass

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Playing "light" openings (as I understand the phrase) I would have opened the West hand.

 

Playing any sort of openings I don't think I would have opened 1 with the East hand. I prefer 1, 1 or even 1! I think the less pre-emptive a light 3rd seat opening is, the more lead directing it should be. In fact, on the assumption that partner was playing light openings, I probably wouldn't open the East hand at all.

 

I have some sympathy for the 4 jump, but assuming you have seen this partner's 3rd seat openings before it does look like an overbid. I suspect you made it because deep down you were worried that you underbid on the previous round.

 

Eric

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EricK has said what I was about to.

 

Playing "light" openings I would have opened the West hand.

 

I would pass the East hand playing any sort of standard-ish methods. It's way off an opening bid vul even in 3rd seat. And where's the plus from opening xxxx in diamonds?

 

While I agree that it is normal to raise a 1S response with any hand including four trumps, I would be tempted to call the 1D opening a psyche and pass the 1S bid.

 

p.s.

Finally what the heck is an opening bid and what is a response?

Example 99.99% any 11 hcp in first, second and third seat any vul?

 

Nothing like 99.99%. Nothing remotely like. Look at a world championship book and look at how many people playing some form of standard system (2/1, SAYC, Acol - anything that isn't strong club/diamond or totally artificial) open balanced 11-counts. When you've done that, look carefully at every balanced 11-count, opened or not, and see how often the choice of whether to open had an impact on the result and with what result. If you want to be really clever, then miss out hands where the result was essentially random (e.g. you are bound to end in 3NT on an uncontested auction with Ax opposite Qx and it makes if the K is on lead).

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Playing light openings I would have opened the east hand

 

Playing very sound openings I would have opened the east hand!!

 

After all, in that case west can still have a reasonable hand. Playing light openings there is far less reason to open the east hand. The lighter you open in 1st and 2nd suit, the less light do you need to open in 3rd seat. I would only open light in 3rd seat if I have a suit, I see no use to opening on xxxx.

 

For the raise the argument is similar. If partner couldn't even make a light opening bid, why would you raise with this crummy hand?

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p.s.
Finally what the heck is an opening bid and what is a response?

Example 99.99% any 11 hcp in first, second and third seat any vul?

 

Nothing like 99.99%. Nothing remotely like. Look at a world championship book and look at how many people playing some form of standard system (2/1, SAYC, Acol - anything that isn't strong club/diamond or totally artificial) open balanced 11-counts. When you've done that, look carefully at every balanced 11-count, opened or not, and see how often the choice of whether to open had an impact on the result and with what result. If you want to be really clever, then miss out hands where the result was essentially random (e.g. you are bound to end in 3NT on an uncontested auction with Ax opposite Qx and it makes if the K is on lead).

Thanks for feedback and your suggestion to go through the championship books.

 

I am reading the new 2004 now. Read the old ones in the past.

 

Yes, in this style of lite openings I am opening 11 hcp balanced hands in first, second and third seat with a logical follow up style.

 

Yes, I knew this was not standard as I never used to open this junk.

 

My impressions, perhaps biased, is this seems to make much of the rest of the bidding easier for me especially in contested auctions. The reason is I need to balance less haven gotten my hand off my chest. Second it makes getting to those low hcp games a bit easier.

 

Now if I could just play half as well as these world champs I would make some of these contracts.

 

btw these guys and gals seem to contest these actions on very borderline to nothing hands, wow.

 

btw2 so far some of these italian auctions are amazing, they seem to get every 5 level decision right so far.

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West surely had a first seat pass. I have absolutely no problem with that.

 

One diamond in third seat (especially vul) is not for everyone. Let's start wtih the obvious, EAST hand is not an opening bid in 1st, 2nd or 4th seat (well in 4th some would if they count pearson points -- you know who you are). In third seat, it a judgement call. Would opening make it a tad more difficult for your opponents, but on the down side, you really don't want partner to lead a diamond. But still opening 1 as Rich and a few others have said is not horrible (in fact, I could easily decide to do so based upon a number of factors.. system opponents are playing, state of the match).

 

Clearly 1S is right bid over 1D so we skip ahead to 2S rebid. What do you play that shows, and after your partner bids 1S is all hope of a vulnerable game gone?

 

Lets begin with the last question. The answer to that is no. Partner passed with three points in diamonds (QJ), if he had Kx instead, game is nearly 50% (diamond ACE onsides and reasonable breaks in the other suits (3C, 4S, 1D, 1H, 1H ruff). You could in theory draw up some additional hands which West couldn't open in which game would have a good chance. Say six spades, 4H, 1D, and 2c, something like.. S-KJxxxx xxxx x Kx with this time the heart ace onsides.

 

So once you agree that even opposite a passed hand, vul imp game is not out of the question, you can raise. This raise, however requires you to admit to yourself your hand is an opening bid. The spade fit and ruffing value in clubs it has just become one of sorts, so I agree with 2.

 

Quite frankly, over 2, I think anyone who believes VUL they would not bid 4 is not being honest. West hand is great for t his auction. "Fitting diamonds" (oh no... that diamond bid bites us in the rear), a fifth spade, good values. This hand soars by ZAR counts... It gets two points for diamond QJ (And they are no longer devaluated for being in short suit), it gets to 27 ZAR fit points. At this vul, game has to be bid.

 

So if someone is to blame it is EAST. He made an iffy judgement to open (passing or bidding seems a toss up), and then he made an iffy judgment to raise (the spade fit actually makes his hand a minimum opening, but his partner couldn't open, so there is an arguement to be happy to have not passed it out. On the other hand, game is not impossible, and 2S has "preemptive" values here). All in all, I think this is closer to unlucky than huge error, but since WEST did nothing wrong, EAST gets whatever blame that needs to be spread around. Although I think there isn't a lot to be issued. This hand is somewhat unlucky in my opinion.

 

BTW, this hand looks very familiar, I think I was either east or west on it.

 

 

Ben

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Clearly 1S is right bid over 1D so we skip ahead to 2S rebid. What do you play that shows, and after  your partner bids 1S is all  hope of a vulnerable game gone?

 

Lets begin with the last question. The answer to that is no. Partner passed with three points in diamonds (QJ), if he had Kx instead, game is nearly 50% (diamond ACE onsides and reasonable breaks in the other suits (3C, 4S, 1D, 1H, 1H ruff). You could in theory draw up some additional hands which West couldn't open in which game would have a good chance. Say six spades, 4H, 1D, and 2c, something like.. S-KJxxxx xxxx  x Kx  with this time the heart ace onsides.

 

The examples you gave do not work for me. Change the QJ to Kx, and west has a 1 opening. Change his hand to KJxxxx and an outside (non-stiff) K, and he has a weak two-bid.

 

However, your broader point has validity: it is possible to construct hands on which game is reasonable: AJ10xx Axxx x xxx is one on which we would all lke to reach 4.

 

Part of the solution lies in East's poor choice of opening. Opposite a 1 opener, my example would (should) force to game.

 

However, the mere fact that it is possible to construct hands on which game is okay does not mean that we have to reach game every time such hand exists! You will drive yourself, and your partners and teammates nuts if you base your approach to bidding on the idea that you have to reach every magic-fit game. All bidding systems should be based on consistency of application. This is otherwise known as discipline. While game is theoretically possible, it rates to be unlikely, and east may have already won the board by opening!

 

Stay within the confines of your methods. If you are dissatified with your results, change the methods: eg: on this hand open 1 in 3rd chair

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West surely had a first seat pass. I have absolutely no problem with that.

 

Partner passed with three points in diamonds (QJ), if he had Kx instead, game is nearly 50% (diamond ACE onsides and reasonable breaks in the other suits (3C, 4S, 1D, 1H, 1H ruff).

Wouldn't changing the QJ of diamonds to Kx change the quality of the hand overall, like to 26 Zars and 7-losers? I suspect that many more players might not pass such a hand. Whatcha think?

 

DHL

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Dealer: West

Vul: Both

Scoring: MP

 

♠ KJxxx ♠ QT9x

♥ 10xx ♥ QJx

QJ KT9x

♣ KQx ♣ Ax

 

NOW, east can open " normally", but 4S DOWN

another example:

 

♠ KJxxx ♠ QT9x

♥ 10xx ♥ QJx

QJ AKT9

♣ KQx ♣ Jx

 

tender 4s too

for why? many junk there.

But,if u are west,would u like to seek game? or leap to ?

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West surely had a first seat pass. I have absolutely no problem with that.

 

Partner passed with three points in diamonds (QJ), if he had Kx instead, game is nearly 50% (diamond ACE onsides and reasonable breaks in the other suits (3C, 4S, 1D, 1H, 1H ruff).

Wouldn't changing the QJ of diamonds to Kx change the quality of the hand overall, like to 26 Zars and 7-losers? I suspect that many more players might not pass such a hand. Whatcha think?

 

DHL

Absolutely, would have opened with Kx of diamonds instead of QJ doubleton.

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Dealer: West 

Vul: Both 

Scoring: MP 

 

♠ KJxxx            ♠ QT9x 

♥ 10xx             ♥ QJx 

QJ              KT9x 

♣ KQx              ♣ Ax 

 

NOW, east can open " normally", but  4S  DOWN

another example:

 

♠ KJxxx            ♠ QT9x 

♥ 10xx             ♥ QJx 

QJ              AKT9 

♣ KQx              ♣ Jx

 

tender 4s too

for why?  many junk there.

But,if u are west,would u like to seek game? or leap to ?

 

You need to keep in mind you are playing light opening bids...then ONE open light and TWO raise conservative. You are just going to confuse yourself if you agree to open light and then do not!

 

First off I open the west hand.

Assuming west opens then east with hand one can make a limit raise showing 4 spades and west can pass, easy. 1s=3c=7-10 with 4 trumps, 1s=3d=limit raise. Many get fancy and reverse these two bids.

Hand 2 is much harder, either force to game or make limit raise, my guess is I would get to 4s down.

 

If you make me pass the west hand.

In both your cases playing light openers you cannot force to game. You are playing light openings.

Unfortunately you cannot make a short suit game.

Unfortunately you cannot make a long suit game try, you need a top honor in hearts to do that.

 

That leaves with you with bidding 3S game try.

Now the east hand will wonder why the heck are you not making a short suit or long suit game try, ergo you must have some balanced junk.

 

At least whatever east chooses they are making an informed choice.

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Mike, perhaps I should have bid 2NT instead, that would aks opener to describe his hand (3S would show minimum with 4 trumps, no shortness).

Not sure how this would've helped. The issue wasn't distribution. It was location of honors or, as Rubens terms it, "in and out evaluation". Perhaps the whole situation and meanings of bid would be different had the major involved been hearts instead of spades. But, since your style was to not open the west hand, IMO, east really should pass 1S to let you know that his/her overall strength likely could not make game opposite a passed hand, and then support spades after the opps balance. IMO, this is a situation where posession of the master suit affects how you handle the hand. You will know that P has 3-card support when he/she passes 1S, so you'll know whether or not it's right to compete further should the opps balance. (Without 3S, P should have a good reason for opening 3rd seat with a 1-bid IMO).

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1、 East can open bid, the best way is 1

2、 East can raise 2,ought to raise for competive(baffle opps 7-fit/8-fit choice)

3、 West must notice his worse doubleton suit and his pd's doubleton suit which WALLAK emphasize it in the supperaccept after transfer.

4、 ERICK indicates: east bid badly but correctly, west bid wrong but good enough, because no GOOD way to try.

 

 

I agree : nobody over bid. Only the game-try way, bad--worse--worst.

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i might have missed it, but i don't recall anyone saying anything about west's pass... that's an easy 1nt opening for me, after which:

 

1nt : 2c (invitational puppet)

2s : pass (opener is required to bid 3s if he'd accept an invitation w/ a 5M or 3nt without, so responder can safely pass now)

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Gave this a second look.

1. Easts hand is subopening strength when calculating Zar points. (only 25 when giving 1 for having spades).

 

2. I can only construct one hand that would not open (ZAR=26) and still raise 2S to 4S and have less than 50% of making. That's KJxxx 10xx KJ Kxx. This is inself both a strong reason for east to pass 1S (when we know we have subopening stength) and a good way to see the power of ZAR when evaluating if you should open.

 

3. I agree that west should bid 2NT to get more knowledge of easts hand if east could open that crappy hand in third position. Still even a proper opening hand in east with two more jacks in Hs and Clubs with not let you win 4S. It would be hard not to reach 4S when west shows 4 card spade support with 3S.

 

All in all i would still it's bad luck, but east should consider passing 1S. This will be hard to do when playing bridge though...

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