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I don't believe it is sound to balance (as an unpassed hand) over preempts on much less than you would act in direct seat.

 

Even so, I don't see much alternative to 4! Yes we might miss slam, but there's just no other bid to make on the hand.

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Looks like LOTT can help us here. OPPs have 8.5 trumps, we have 8 trumps. SO there is total 16.5 tricks. If we can make 4H, then 3S will be down 2.5 tricks. Considering this hand is too balanced, I would expect we can set them 3 tricks.

 

 

The more I think of it, the more I believe pass is the right bid.

 

 

Correct me if I am wrong.

 

 

Hongjun

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Looks like LOTT can help us here. OPPs have 8.5 trumps, we have 8 trumps. SO there is total 16.5 tricks. If we can make 4H, then 3S will be down 2.5 tricks. Considering this hand is too balanced, I would expect we can set them 3 tricks.

 

 

The more I think of it, the more I believe pass is the right bid.

 

 

Correct me if I am wrong.

 

 

Hongjun

The reasoning is sound, but there is something you missed.

 

You have a rather decent hand, just about as good as it could be for a pass of 3S. This increases the likelyhood of pard's balancing double was done on marginal values (10-11 hcp). With such mearge values, he surely has 4 hearts and quite probably a singleton spade.

 

This makes a bid of 4H much more attractive, no? :)

 

Note that even if pard has only 3 hearts, then he should have a few extras and 4H rates to make even on the 4-3 fit.

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"The more I think of it, the more I believe pass is the right bid.

Correct me if I am wrong."

 

OK you are corrected!

Two comments:

 

1. Please back up your claim with reasoning.

 

2. I doubt very much your qualification before you learn basic internet social etiquette.

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Looks like LOTT can help us here. OPPs have 8.5 trumps, we have 8 trumps. SO there is total 16.5 tricks. If we can make 4H, then 3S will be down 2.5 tricks. Considering this hand is too balanced, I would expect we can set them 3 tricks.

 

 

The more I think of it, the more I believe pass is the right bid.

 

 

Correct me if I am wrong.

 

 

Hongjun

OK, you are wrong.

 

Let's give the 3S opener a 6 or 7-card suit.

 

Partner has made a take-out double of spades, so won't have a great deal in the way of spade honours. And any short spade honour partner has will be dropping.

So on average, given our spade holding, I expect them to have 6.5 spade tricks. That's the conclusion you came to.

 

Now look at it the other way. If they have nothing except their spade suit, then we must have everything outside spades, which means we are making 11, 12 or 13 tricks depending on partner's spade length. Forget the LOTT. If you and your partner have all the high cards outside spades, you have no losers outside spades.

 

Give them one trick outside spades, and now you get 300 while you were making 10,11 or 12 tricks.

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Yeah, well, it could easily be right at matchpoints.

 

You won't necessarily bid your slam when it's making, and then 500 should be a good score.

 

But I'd still bid 4H.

 

It's just too painful otherwise when partner has hand such as

-

AQJxx

xxx

QJxxx

 

, you make 4H+2 on a dummy reversal and 3Sx was making....with an overtrick....

 

I'd love to make some sort of try, but "4H with extra values" isn't in my bidding box.

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In that case it would be very difficult problem.

 

xxx

K10x

Kxx

AKxx

 

3S P P x

P ?

 

If you think that is a "clear pass" your partner had better never, ever double 3S with a void.

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In that case it would be very difficult problem.

 

xxx

K10x

Kxx

AKxx

 

3S P P x

P ?

 

If you think that is a "clear pass" your partner had better never, ever double 3S with a void.

In this sequence Pd would never be void in spade. What do you bid except pass? Do you bid 3N, 5C? 4C is a very bad bid I am sure you wont even consider it.

 

Yes, preempt works. That is why we have to take some sure plus rather than get pushed every time opp preempt us.

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In that case it would be very difficult problem.

 

xxx

K10x

Kxx

AKxx

 

3S P P x

P  ?

 

If you think that is a "clear pass" your partner had better never, ever double 3S with a void.

With that hand I would still take out to 4clubs. Takeout-takeout doubles.

same assumptions. partner is 1444.

still think we can take 10 tricks and opp take 8 or we both take 9.

Preempts work!

4C is a horrible bid. You would bid 4C with xxxx, xx, xx, xxxxx. Would not you? HOw can pd make an intelligent decision if you bid 4C with both hands?

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4H is so different from 4C. I agree with you that I would bid 4H with xxxx,xxxxx,xx,xx. 4H is a two way bid, you can make or to save. However, 4C accompolishes nothing. As for 5C or pass pd's dbl, it is debatable. My choice is pass, but that is another story.
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