Randomness of scoring

[thorvald]

[hv=pc=n&s=s8762hat72d76ck74&e=sajthj5dkt43cq985&d=s&v=e&b=3&a=p1np3nppp]266|200[/hv]

 

Your partner, GIB lead ♣3 to the 9, and even knowing it is a short suit lead it looks right to use the K, but losing to the Ace.

 

Now declarer (Also GIB) enter dummy with a ♦ and plays a ♣ to the J (I am not sure what the idea of playing ♦ first is, but forget that), and continues with a ♣ to the Queen, and the last ♣ from dummy.

 

What will you discard?

 

On the actual layout there is 11 tricks, and your discard can't cost a trick, but you might fool GIB - or just let GIB get a bad simulation.

 

Have you made up your mind?

 

 

12 players

4 dropped a ♦, and GIB found all 11 tricks

7 dropped a ♠ and GIB tried to drop ♠K after finessing in ♠ first, so 10 tricks

 

1 clever player dropped a ♥, and now GIB dropped ♠Q from hand, and ended up not taking the ♠-finesse and thus not getting the last ♦, so only 9 tricks

 

 

[hv=url=https://www.bridgebase.com/tools/handviewer.html?bbo=y&lin=pn%7CSouth%2CRobot%2CRobot%2CRobot%7Cst%7C%7Cmd%7C1S8762HAT72D76CK74%2CSQ53HK984DAJ2CAJ2%2CSK94HQ63DQ985CT63%2CSAJTHJ5DKT43CQ985%7Csv%7CE%7Cah%7CBoard%203%7Cmb%7CP%7Cmb%7C1N%7Can%7Cnotrump%20opener.%20Could%20have%205M.%20--%202-5%20%21C%3B%202-5%20%21D%3B%202-5%20%21H%3B%202-5%20%21S%3B%2015-17%20HCP%3B%2018-%20total%20points%7Cmb%7CP%7Cmb%7C3N%7Can%7C2-5%20%21C%3B%202-5%20%21D%3B%202-4%20%21H%3B%202-4%20%21S%3B%2010-15%20HCP%7Cmb%7CP%7Cmb%7CP%7Cmb%7CP%7Cpc%7CC3%7Cpc%7CC9%7Cpc%7CCK%7Cpc%7CCA%7Cpc%7CD2%7Cpc%7CD8%7Cpc%7CDK%7Cpc%7CD6%7Cpc%7CC5%7Cpc%7CC4%7Cpc%7CCJ%7Cpc%7CC6%7Cpc%7CC2%7Cpc%7CCT%7Cpc%7CCQ%7Cpc%7CC7%7Cpc%7CC8%7Cpc%7CH2%7Cpc%7CSQ%7Cpc%7CS4%7Cpc%7CD4%7Cpc%7CD7%7Cpc%7CDJ%7Cpc%7CDQ%7Cpc%7CS9%7Cpc%7CSA%7Cpc%7CS2%7Cpc%7CS5%7Cpc%7CD3%7Cpc%7CS6%7Cpc%7CDA%7Cpc%7CD9%7Cpc%7CS3%7Cpc%7CSK%7Cpc%7CST%7Cpc%7CS7%7Cpc%7CH3%7Cpc%7CHJ%7Cpc%7CHA%7Cpc%7CH4%7Cpc%7CH7%7Cpc%7CH8%7Cpc%7CHQ%7Cpc%7CH5%7Cpc%7CH6%7Cpc%7CDT%7Cpc%7CHT%7Cpc%7CHK%7Cpc%7CH9%7Cpc%7CD5%7Cpc%7CSJ%7Cpc%7CS8%7C]399|300[/hv]

 

Perhaps my 14% for dropping a ♦ was well-deserved

 

 

[smerriman]

Yup, standard GIB; play different cards, get a different random number. No correlation between the play and heart/diamond discard, though I can see a spade affecting the probabilities.