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That is why they pre-empt


lamford

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With a three card suit in your own hand, it suggests that the opps. cannot raise, so partner will, I guess, with some values be able to balance in 4th. So, I opt for pass being the best bid. The problem with bidding 3NT directly here is that partner is always going to take out to 4 with a thin six timer. I would rather he bid 3 as a balance then for me to bid 3NT on the second round. And then I hope he trusts me :)
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With a three card suit in your own hand, it suggests that the opps. cannot raise, so partner will, I guess, with some values be able to balance in 4th. So, I opt for pass being the best bid. The problem with bidding 3NT directly here is that partner is always going to take out to 4 with a thin six timer. I would rather he bid 3 as a balance then for me to bid 3NT on the second round. And then I hope he trusts me :)

 

Partner knows better than that, I can easily have a stiff and a load of running diamonds, he will have 7 or 8 if he removes or something like QJ109xx which will play opposite a stiff and likely be worthless in NT.

 

Our rule of thumb is to only remove if you think 4M is better than 3N opposite a stiff K or Q.

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The SIM suggests that it is indeed close between 3NT and Pass. South, with something like AQJxxxx of clubs and out, plays little part, and partner's heart cards are over North. Looking at hands, 3NT played really well, and some of the time partner has something like JTx KJxxx Kxx xx, and can't find the balance, although he feigns thought to show that he might.
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