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GiB had me at its mercy


thepossum

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I was regretting my slightly psychy opening bid. I did miss a heart game but it could have been worse

 

[hv=https://www.bridgebase.com/tools/handviewer.html?lin=st||pn|thepossum,~~M23257,~~M23255,~~M23256|md|1SAT73HAKQ65DQC976,S64HT84DKJT76CAK5,SKQ92HJ73D983CQT8,SJ85H92DA542CJ432|sv|o|rh||ah|Board%2011|mb|1N|an|notrump%20opener.%20Could%20have%205M.%20--%202-5%20!C;%202-5%20!D;%202-5%20!H;%202-5%20!S;%2015-|mb|P|mb|P|mb|P|pc|DJ|pc|D3|pc|DA|pc|DQ|pc|H9|pc|H5|pc|H4|pc|HJ|pc|SK|pc|S5|pc|S3|pc|S6|pc|S2|pc|SJ|pc|SA|pc|S4|pc|ST|pc|C5|pc|S9|pc|S8|pc|HA|pc|HT|pc|H3|pc|H2|pc|HK|pc|H8|pc|H7|pc|C4|pc|HQ|pc|D7|pc|D8|pc|D2|pc|H6|pc|D6|pc|D9|pc|C2|pc|S7|pc|DK|pc|SQ|pc|D5|pc|CQ|pc|C3|pc|C6|pc|CK|pc|DT|pc|C8|pc|D4|pc|C7|pc|CA|pc|CT|pc|CJ|pc|C9|]400|300[/hv]

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(Though why GIB switches to a at trick 2 is just crazier. I guess someone will explain GIB 'logic')

Pretty straightforward really. South is guaranteed a second diamond from the 1NT bid, and West would have led low from JT76, so declarer doesn't have doubleton KQ. So no layouts exist where it's important to lead a diamond now.

 

But this is the only time we'll be on lead, and there may be a need to lead a heart through declarer. Heart looks to be clearly the right play to me, unless I'm missing something.

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Ok then��

 

Looking at the hand I am rather upset that partner didn't ask me for my majors but I can't really complain about that. 1NT seems a reasonable contract but so does game

 

It must be inflation 17+8 isn't what it used to be

 

Apologies I can't get anything to bid with 8 points opposite a strong NT. My mistake

 

Will check a sim. Maybe it doesn't stack up well

 

EDIT Apologies to GiB. Its only 8 tricks with very big variance

 

EDIT 2 but its a 54% chance of game if I have the maximum. Hmmmm. I need another partner

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