bluenikki Posted September 21, 2022 Report Share Posted September 21, 2022 Small spot cards are imaginary. Hint: If you "agree" partner's last bid suit, you are in trouble. [hv=pc=n&s=sa654haqjt4djt9ca&d=n&v=0&b=1&a=1dp1hp1s]133|200[/hv] [hv=pc=n&s=skqt92hak87dakj5c&d=n&v=0&b=1&a=1cp1sp1np2dp2hp]133|200[/hv] [hv=pc=n&s=saq4hjt65dkqt4cq3&d=n&v=0&b=1&a=1cp1dp1hp]133|200[/hv] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeh Posted September 21, 2022 Report Share Posted September 21, 2022 What is your point? Btw, I suspect that few good players would respond 1D with that last hand. It looks like an automatic 1H response even if one doesn’t bypass long diamonds with weakish hands. About the only justification I can think of for 1D is if one opens 1C with 4=4 minors. I know that’s a fairly common European approach, for reasons that I’ve never seen adequately or persuasively explained but it’s far from standard in NA. Also, on the first hand, I assume that your hint was to warn us off spades because we may have 12 tricks but 2 spade losers. One issue is whether 1m 1H 1S shows an unbalanced hand. If it does, then that lessens the chances that we belong in hearts while significantly increasing the chances that, after the 1D opening bid, we belong in diamonds. While the AQJ10x holding is attractive, a 5-1 fit means one needs trump to break 4-3, which is the most likely split but hardly what one wants to have to gamble on in a slam. The same issue arises on the last hand. As noted, up the line bidding on 4=4 hands isn’t that common. Those who use that style suffer from the further handicap that opener can’t afford to bypass the majors over 1D even with say 3433 or 4333 or 4234 or 2434. Compare that to 1C 1H 1S promising 9+ black cards or 1D 1H 1S promising either 9+ pointed cards or 4=1=4=4 (which can be clarified cheaply next round) and you’ll see how much further forward responder is in deciding not merely whether to explore or slam but also which slam. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavidKok Posted September 21, 2022 Report Share Posted September 21, 2022 Are you asking for the best continuation on all three hands? Hand 1 2♣ 4SGF, intending to support spades next round (hopefully at the 2-level). Hand 2 2♦ establishes a game force, and we are free to set trumps with 3♥. Maybe 4♣ is better (a splinter confirming hearts - 1NT suggests the clubs might be short) but I think we are too strong to make partner captain of the auction. Hand 3 I would have bid 1♥, not 1♦, over the opening bid. Now we are stuck for a rebid, though I suppose 1♠ can keep the ball rolling. Given the forum it is likely that my entire approach to these auctions is misguided, and the system does not include these gadgets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluenikki Posted September 21, 2022 Author Report Share Posted September 21, 2022 Hand 3 I would have bid 1♥, not 1♦, over the opening bid. Now we are stuck for a rebid, though I suppose 1♠ can keep the ball rolling. Make the auction 1♣ - 1♥; 3♥ - ? Now you are in even worse trouble. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavidKok Posted September 21, 2022 Report Share Posted September 21, 2022 What do you mean? Now I have an easy 3♠ bid. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeh Posted September 21, 2022 Report Share Posted September 21, 2022 After 1C 1H 3H, I wouldn’t have strong slam interest on the third hand. I have a flat 14 count with weak hearts If not playing any gadgets, I’d just bid game unless playing with someone who is a sound opening bidder. Gadgets are designed, if done properly, to help one in difficult situations Here, some form of serious or non serious would work. In my non serious partnership, we invert 3N and 3S so I’d bid 3N showing mild slam interest and a spade control. In my other partnership, I’d already know a great deal more. We’d have started 1C 1D (hearts) 3H, with 3H limited to 16 hcp and denying an invitational hand with short diamonds ((3D is an invitational or better splinter), and 1C 1D 2H would, if nv, have shown a balanced hand with 4H and 14-16 hcp. Thus either he’s stretched for his invite or he has short spades, either of which devalues my hand so I’d bid 4H. Now, back to the real world, if playing with a sound opener I bid 3S. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michel444 Posted September 21, 2022 Report Share Posted September 21, 2022 I love troublefor me its seem that first hand i make a splinter bid with 4♣second hand look like opener opened 1♣ with a 1=4=4=4 distribution and just bid 4H third hand i will bid 3H Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve2005 Posted September 21, 2022 Report Share Posted September 21, 2022 Hint: If you "agree" partner's last bid suit, you are in trouble.If you stop raising partner with great support, you might as well give up bridge. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nullve Posted September 22, 2022 Report Share Posted September 22, 2022 Small spot cards are imaginary. Hint: If you "agree" partner's last bid suit, you are in trouble. [hv=pc=n&s=sa654haqjt4djt9ca&d=n&v=0&b=1&a=1dp1hp1s]133|200[/hv] [hv=pc=n&s=skqt92hak87dakj5c&d=n&v=0&b=1&a=1cp1sp1np2dp2hp]133|200[/hv] [hv=pc=n&s=saq4hjt65dkqt4cq3&d=n&v=0&b=1&a=1cp1dp1hp]133|200[/hv]Ok, I can imagine for example something like ♠8732 ♥K ♦AKQ432 ♣32, ♠AJ3 ♥5432 ♦Q2 ♣AK32 and ♠KJ2 ♥7432 ♦ AJ2 ♣KJ2 opposite the first, second and third hand, respectively. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluenikki Posted September 22, 2022 Author Report Share Posted September 22, 2022 The first deal was from October 1995 "Challenge the Champs." [hv=pc=n&s=sa654haqjt4djt9ca&n=st932hk2dakq32c32&d=n&v=0&b=1&a=1dp1hp1s]266|200[/hv] One pair got trapped in spades and could not avoid the five level. The other pair smelled a rat [unethical!]. But the best they could do was an eventual double jump to the pick-a-slam 5NT. They ended in the fourth best contract. The other two deals are from the USA trials for the 2007 Bermuda Bowl. [hv=pc=n&s=skqt92hak87dakj5c&n=sajh5432dq32cat32&d=n&v=0&b=1&a=1cp1sp1np2dp2hp]266|200[/hv] The final contracts were 7♥ once, 6♥ twice, 4♥ once, 6♠ twice, 4♠ once, and 3NT once. [hv=pc=n&s=saq4hjt65dkqt4cq3&n=sk5hak43d32cakjt2&d=n&v=0&b=1&a=1cp1hp3hp]266|200[/hv] The final contracts were 6♥, 5♥, 4♥, 6♣, all once. On that last hand, a Vugraph commentator quipped that only in a bidding contest should a pair escape from hearts. My point is that I disagree. Think: On the first two deals, if opener knew they were in the slam zone, they would know (or should!) not to introduce a bad suit on the second round. On the third hand, if responder knew they were in the slam zone, they would know (or should!) not to introduce a bad suit on the first round. In a natural system, they do not have such knowledge. But that is no reason to be dragged kicking and screaming into the wrong strain. Add some third-round bids to give yourself a chance to escape. Here's one idea. Give up responder's second-round splinter raise. Use the double jumpshift to say "We're in the slam zone, I have an honor-poor fit for your last suit." Then opener can have a reserved bid to say their suit is strong enough. So you will play either slam in the suit or in some number of notrump (including 5NT maybe!). When opener does not make the reserved bid, a suit bid is exploring a different strain. All suit bids below slam are forcing. That helps in the case when responder is the one who knows they are in the slam zone. In the case that opener has revealed a strong hand by jumpraising, give up responder's cheapest control bid. Make it the artificial "We're in the slam zone, I have an honor-poor holding in the suit you raised." Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluenikki Posted September 22, 2022 Author Report Share Posted September 22, 2022 If you stop raising partner with great support, you might as well give up bridge.Yes, but I wrote "agree" not "raise." In the slam zone, raising must not mean agreeing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeh Posted September 22, 2022 Report Share Posted September 22, 2022 The first deal was from October 1995 "Challenge the Champs." [hv=pc=n&s=sa654haqjt4djt9ca&n=st932hk2dakq32c32&d=n&v=0&b=1&a=1dp1hp1s]266|200[/hv] One pair got trapped in spades and could not avoid the five level. The other pair smelled a rat [unethical!]. But the best they could do was an eventual double jump to the pick-a-slam 5NT. They ended in the fourth best contract. The other two deals are from the USA trials for the 2007 Bermuda Bowl. [hv=pc=n&s=skqt92hak87dakj5c&n=sajh5432dq32cat32&d=n&v=0&b=1&a=1cp1sp1np2dp2hp]266|200[/hv] The final contracts were 7♥ once, 6♥ twice, 4♥ once, 6♠ twice, 4♠ once, and 3NT once. [hv=pc=n&s=saq4hjt65dkqt4cq3&n=sk5hak43d32cakjt2&d=n&v=0&b=1&a=1cp1hp3hp]266|200[/hv] The final contracts were 6♥, 5♥, 4♥, 6♣, all once. On that last hand, a Vugraph commentator quipped that only in a bidding contest should a pair escape from hearts. My point is that I disagree. Think: On the first two deals, if opener knew they were in the slam zone, they would know (or should!) not to introduce a bad suit on the second round. On the third hand, if responder knew they were in the slam zone, they would know (or should!) not to introduce a bad suit on the first round. In a natural system, they do not have such knowledge. But that is no reason to be dragged kicking and screaming into the wrong strain. Add some third-round bids to give yourself a chance to escape. Here's one idea. Give up responder's second-round splinter raise. Use the double jumpshift to say "We're in the slam zone, I have an honor-poor fit for your last suit." Then opener can have a reserved bid to say their suit is strong enough. So you will play either slam in the suit or in some number of notrump (including 5NT maybe!). When opener does not make the reserved bid, a suit bid is exploring a different strain. All suit bids below slam are forcing. That helps in the case when responder is the one who knows they are in the slam zone. In the case that opener has revealed a strong hand by jumpraising, give up responder's cheapest control bid. Make it the artificial "We're in the slam zone, I have an honor-poor holding in the suit you raised."With all respect, I think you’re making the classic ‘down the rabbit hole’ mistake Yes, most methods have seams where they break down. The fact that there were so many bad results on those boards simply reflects that even some of the finest pairs in the world can have problems on some relatively rare hand types Btw, in both of my partnerships we use old CTC hands to test our memory of our system and, to a lesser degree, our judgement. It’s important to understand that CTC hands are chosen because they are NOT simple for standard-based methods. They can, otoh, be trivial for very artificial methods These days I think both my partnerships would struggle Ironically, 20-25 years ago one of those partnerships (we stopped playing in 2000 but restarted just before Covid) would have done much better on the first two. South would have used relays. Over 1D, 2C was a gf relay. Over 1C, 1D was ambiguous…but either natural or the start of a relay.opener treated it as a relay. Thus north would, on the first hand, show 4=5 pointed, then 4=2=5=2, then 4 controls then the diamond queen while denying the spade queen. Then either both or neither of the diamond AK and either both or neither of the spade AK. Then either the Ace or King of hearts but not both. By that point south knows north has xxxx Kx AKQxx xx, possibly with the spade Jack. So 7D is trivial. On the second, I don’t remember all of the steps (it used a slightly different ‘engine’ than the 2C relay, which operated over 1D/H/S openings so arose quite frequently) but I think we’d have time to ask about Jacks. We definitely find Ax xxxx Qxx Axxx where x’s could include Jacks, unless we asked about jacks…often the relay was pretty high by then. My point is that if you really want to be able to bid low frequency slam hands reliably, don’t play a standard based method But your solution, to abandon some splinters, seems to me to be worse, in the sense of creating more frequent problems, than is the problem you’re trying to address. The rabbit hole is to look at difficult hands and invent a ‘solution’ that works on those hands but, because you’re so focused on those hands, inadvertently creates different and more problematic issues. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluenikki Posted September 22, 2022 Author Report Share Posted September 22, 2022 But your solution, to abandon some splinters, seems to me to be worse, in the sense of creating more frequent problems, than is the problem you’re trying to address. The rabbit hole is to look at difficult hands and invent a ‘solution’ that works on those hands but, because you’re so focused on those hands, inadvertently creates different and more problematic issues.Can you remember a case when responder's ability to splinter-raise opener's *second* suit was more than merely convenient? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AL78 Posted September 22, 2022 Report Share Posted September 22, 2022 Ok, I can imagine for example something like ♠8732 ♥K ♦AKQ432 ♣32, ♠AJ3 ♥5432 ♦Q2 ♣AK32 and ♠KJ2 ♥7432 ♦ AJ2 ♣KJ2 opposite the first, second and third hand, respectively. Why wouldn't opener bid 2♠ instead of 2♥ holding the second hand? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluenikki Posted September 22, 2022 Author Report Share Posted September 22, 2022 No rabbit hole. The practice of routinely bidding bad suits is crucial for game bidding. But there are troubles with it, even outside the slam zone. Suppose the partnership has AKxx facing QJ10x in one major and Axxx facing xxxx in the other. If the strong fit is hearts, you're going to play in hearts. If the strong fit is spades, you're still going to play in hearts. Most of the time, that doesn't matter. But "most" does not mean anything like 75%. Maybe we have to pay off to this in the game zone. Maybe it's only a matter of overtricks. But there is no reason at all to settle for this in the slam zone. And, no, fixing it does not require artificial structures in the early auction. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nullve Posted September 22, 2022 Report Share Posted September 22, 2022 Why wouldn't opener bid 2♠ instead of 2♥ holding the second hand?Ok, maybe he would. Give Opener ♠AJ ♥5432 ♦Q32 ♣AK32 instead then. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluenikki Posted September 22, 2022 Author Report Share Posted September 22, 2022 What do you mean? Now I have an easy 3♠ bid.Indeed! You have an easy action this round. The trouble comes later. Which you should be able to foresee! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluenikki Posted September 22, 2022 Author Report Share Posted September 22, 2022 My point is that if you really want to be able to bid low frequency slam hands reliably, don’t play a standard based method What do you mean by low frequency? All slam deals are low frequency in the literal sense. Do you mean "marginal"? Even the third deal is marginal only if played in hearts. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyberyeti Posted September 22, 2022 Report Share Posted September 22, 2022 The first playing 4SF not GF goes 1♦-1♥-1♠-2♣-2♦-3♣(GF uncertain of strain or slam try or clubs)-3♦/3♥-3♠(too good to just DGR)-4♦/4♥(other suit to last time)-4N-5♦(1/4)-5♥(Q♠?)-5♠(no) now what does partner have ? Not ♣K/♠Q, a minimum ish opening bid with 5♦/4♠, K♥, no club stop so very likely either xxxx, Kx, AKQxx, xx or Kxxx, Kx, KQxxx, Jx or similar, 6♦ or 6♥ are very likely to have better play than 6♠ which might still have OK play if partner has ♠KJ10x/J109x. If you have 5N pick a slam available, this would be a good time and partner bids 6♦, otherwise you just punt 6♦. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavidKok Posted September 22, 2022 Report Share Posted September 22, 2022 Indeed! You have an easy action this round. The trouble comes later. Which you should be able to foresee!I think you think you're making a point, but it is completely unclear to me. So far you have presented hands and partial auctions without any bidding problems, and claim that somehow we are doing it wrong by making the obvious moves. Could you spell out why the obvious moves are wrong, where the issues lie or why we should even think there is a problem? Are you simply pointing out that standard bidding sometimes gets to poor contracts? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeh Posted September 22, 2022 Report Share Posted September 22, 2022 What do you mean by low frequency? All slam deals are low frequency in the literal sense. Do you mean "marginal"? Even the third deal is marginal only if played in hearts.I have played a fair amount of bridge. I have played quite a lot of high level bridge. I have read about a far greater number of high level bridge than I’ve played. The frequency of slam zone hands where the issue is to avoid a weak 4-4 fit and, instead, to play in a different suit is extremely low. Yes, they do happen. Yes, even the best pairs in the world can struggle on those hands. Yes, every good player is aware of the issue But your solution is deeply flawed, imo. It’s not just that a splinter raise of opener’s suit is such a convenient and frequently arising tool. It’s not. It can be useful sometimes but that’s not the main problem. Responder can often bid 4SF then raise, if not already in a gf auction, and often responder can be captain in such auctions, and so on. But having to establish a slam type auction by a jump *****, the only purpose of which is to announce a thin 4 card raise is woefully space consuming. And what constitutes holding? Q432? That’s a bad holding opposite Axxx or Kxxx but it’s fine opposite AKxx and it’s possibly fine opposite AJxx, if the goal is to have no more than 1 loser in the suit. Kxxx opposite QJxx may be fine but Kxxx opposite Qxxx is not good. Jxxx can be ok opposite AQxx but 10xxx is terrible. So you jump into a 4th suit as some kind of ill-defined ‘weak suit with slam interest’. How weak a suit and what do you mean by slam interest? Remember, you posted three hands. On the first two, responder has fairly strong slam hopes but on the last slam is a long way away. But it seems you advocate using the same space consuming jump by responder….when all it does is say ‘weak suit’ but it could be a strong slam move or just barely more than game force…..that’s a very silly use of bidding space imo. Not only have you gone down the rabbit hole but it seems that you’ve become so invested in your idea that you can’t see or acknowledge the flaws. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluenikki Posted September 22, 2022 Author Report Share Posted September 22, 2022 I think you think you're making a point, but it is completely unclear to me. So far you have presented hands and partial auctions without any bidding problems, and claim that somehow we are doing it wrong by making the obvious moves. Could you spell out why the obvious moves are wrong, where the issues lie or why we should even think there is a problem? Are you simply pointing out that standard bidding sometimes gets to poor contracts?After partner jumpraised hearts, you can foresee exactly the trouble: You know that the partnership is very close to slam. And you know there may be trump-loser problems. If 3!s is a control bid that said only "spade ace, opening strength," that would not be a problem. But partner will not take it that way. They will hear "yes! yes! I have the spade ace and a good hand for a heart slam." And neither partner will be interested in notrump. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeh Posted September 22, 2022 Report Share Posted September 22, 2022 After partner jumpraised hearts, you can foresee exactly the trouble: You know that the partnership is very close to slam. And you know there may be trump-loser problems. If 3!s is a control bid that said only "spade ace, opening strength," that would not be a problem. But partner will not take it that way. They will hear "yes! yes! I have the spade ace and a good hand for a heart slam." And neither partner will be interested in notrump.I think I’ve found the problem I don’t know any good player who would say that the auction 1C 1H 3H 3S says ‘I have a good hand for slam’ The difference may seem subtle but it’s very important: 3S says, in effect: I have some degree of interest in slam and here is a spade control. Responder may have a very good hand and sometimes the cue bid is just to induce a cue from partner before committing to slam or exploring for grand. On other hands, such as the one from your example, 3S says we might have slam but you’ll need a maximum for the auction so far and our hands have to mesh well. I’m not optimistic about slam but I’ll show you my spade control and mild interest just in case you love your hand. I know I’m not alone in being able to say that I’ve had many auctions in which, a fit and game force having been established, we’ve both cuebid, perhaps as many as three cuebids in all, and then played 4M The cuebids weren’t strong slam moves. They were ‘if you’re really interested, I won’t say no, and here’s a control’. And when neither partner has the values to force beyond game, we stop. Using 3S as you propose is far too restrictive imo. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavidKok Posted September 22, 2022 Report Share Posted September 22, 2022 I agree with mikeh and usually express this sort of nuance with (made up) percentages. Something like "I expect about 30% of the hands responder might have to make a cue bid here, and of those we'll go to slam maybe 10 percentage points of the time. Another 15% will bid serious NT, of which maybe 10 percentage points will go to slam. 5% of hands will make some kind of highly specified jump bid. The remaining 50% will either pass or bid game". Of course the numbers are wrong, but it helps intuit that 3♠ does not at all commit us to slam, or whether bids show extras and if so how much, etc. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluenikki Posted September 23, 2022 Author Report Share Posted September 23, 2022 I agree with mikeh and usually express this sort of nuance with (made up) percentages. Something like "I expect about 30% of the hands responder might have to make a cue bid here, and of those we'll go to slam maybe 10 percentage points of the time. Another 15% will bid serious NT, of which maybe 10 percentage points will go to slam. 5% of hands will make some kind of highly specified jump bid. The remaining 50% will either pass or bid game". Of course the numbers are wrong, but it helps intuit that 3♠ does not at all commit us to slam, or whether bids show extras and if so how much, etc.I must not have expressed myself well enough. The problem I am talking about is "agreeing" a strain where slam turns out to be poor, when there may be another strain where slam is good or even laydown. Sure, that's the breaks. But what if one of the players can foresee the danger? There needs to be a way to unagree. Below the five-level. By the way, here is something every RKC user should use: When the trump queen has been denied, 5NT should be pick-a-slam. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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