johnu Posted April 2, 2022 Report Share Posted April 2, 2022 Ah, why check for A and K when you hold all 8 of them.1♠ here is RKCYou always check for aces and kings on BBO because it is the law. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilithin Posted April 3, 2022 Report Share Posted April 3, 2022 I'm not sure how the field makes 4♠+1 when ops have the top 5♠. Also while I may pass with 5, 6 is a different matter.On average you don't expect the extreme hand you are suggesting with opener holding 28hcpYou are proving the point of choosing Responder's bids based on Opener's hand. I specifically wrote the original opening hand for the section you are quoting, so Opener holds ♠AKx. Spades break 3-1 and without an entry to Dummy 3NT only gets the 8 tricks you started with. Meanwhile Dummy is worth 3 tricks to the rest of the field playing in 4♠. Finally, a Yarborough with a 6 card major is not such an unlikely hand opposite 28+ balanced. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mw64ahw Posted April 3, 2022 Report Share Posted April 3, 2022 You are proving the point of choosing Responder's bids based on Opener's hand. I specifically wrote the original opening hand for the section you are quoting, so Opener holds ♠AKx. Spades break 3-1 and without an entry to Dummy 3NT only gets the 8 tricks you started with. Meanwhile Dummy is worth 3 tricks to the rest of the field playing in 4♠. Finally, a Yarborough with a 6 card major is not such an unlikely hand opposite 28+ balanced.I think I'd need to run the probability distributions to get a good idea of what is optimal. Taking the other extreme, your example hand can go down 2 when spades break 5-0 whereas 3NT will only go down 1. And a Yarborough is still a low probability event opposite 28hcp Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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