pilowsky Posted March 18, 2021 Report Share Posted March 18, 2021 [hv=pc=n&s=stha7dqt93cqt9532&n=sakqj74hj8542dj2c&d=w&v=b&b=4&a=3c3sppp]266|200| THIS is a lead. I suppose that in Bridge, as in life, one has to expect the unexpected and be prepared. (http://bit.ly/NotaKnife).From an EBU game.West bid 3♣, and my partner overcalled 3♠. East passed.You can imagine that I was a little surprised; the odds of a 7600 distribution are about 18/1 (0.0056%). That's real-world data from a site where I make deals. According to Bill Butler (http://durangobill.c...rSuitStats.html), the actual result is (If I have 7, the probability of someone else having 6 is (possible combinations: 4,272,048), P=0.000526. Bill also plays the piano! https://www.youtube....h?v=r4Tho0nyHZk. East then led the ♦K. The most interesting part of this hand is that apart from (or perhaps because of) its shapeliness, the contract can be defeated, but only if East finds the 'killer lead'.What would that be? Why?[/hv] Clue At some tables, East bid 4♥ over North's 3♠. The result wasn't pretty. The actual hand http://bit.ly/3C3Spilowsky The makeable and optimal contractshttps://dds.bridgewe...69.81304518.pbn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyberyeti Posted March 18, 2021 Report Share Posted March 18, 2021 Clearly it's a small heart to utilise the power of partner's 9 to neutralise dummy's 7. Expect self kibitzing accusations if you find it, fun hand. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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