Best line of play?

[Chillwell1]

[hv=pc=n&s=sk95hakt8d654ckq5&n=saqj42h765daj92ca]133|200[/hv]

 

You end up in 6♠ and get a club lead.

 

 

What is the best line of play?

[WesleyC]

Really tricky hand, what was the auction?

[nige1]

[hv=pc=n&s=sk95hakt8d654ckq5&n=saqj42h765daj92ca&d=s&a=1CP1SP1N(15-17)P2C(Roudi)P2H(MIN 3 !Ss)P3DP3HP4CP4HP5DP5HP6SPPP]300|300|

Chillwell asks "You end up in 6♠ and get a club lead. What is the best line of play?"

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Finessing ♦9 wins when West has ♦KQT..., ♦KT..., ♦QT... or ♦KQ doubleton.

When you lead a ♦, West should probably play a high honour, if he has one.

Finessing ♥8, possibly playing for the drop later, seems to have slightly better chances.

Both lines have squeeze possibilities

 

Hence my guess:

Win ♣A, Finesse ♥8.

If defender's return a ♦, then you have to decide whether to cash your ♣s, before drawing all the trumps.

 

Otherwise, win the black suit return, cash ♠AKQJx discarding ♦xx.

Cross to ♥K, cash ♣KQ discarding ♦xx.

Cash ♦A. reducing to [/hv][hv=pc=n&s=SHATC&n=SH6DJC]133|200|

 

Unless ♦J is good, lead a ♥ and guess, depending on defender's carding

(Mutatis mutandis, play ♥A).[/hv]

[Chillwell1]

Really tricky hand, what was the auction?

 

 

It went:

 

1C - 1S

1NT* - 2C*

2H - 3D

3H - 4C

4H - 5D

5H - 6S

 

1NT was balance 15-17

2C was Roudi

2H was min and 3-card support

[Chillwell1]

Thanks for your reply!

Yup, i guess it seems tho that the heart finess have some better chances than the double finess in diamonds.

 

What is the percentage that west have D10 and diamond honour?

 

I heard that the Diamond finess (D10 and DQ/DK on west) have 6% better chances than the heart finess or play hearts 3-3.

 

Is that correct?

[Cyberyeti]

Thanks for your reply!

Yup, i guess it seems tho that the heart finess have some better chances than the double finess in diamonds.

 

What is the percentage that west have D10 and diamond honour?

 

I heard that the Diamond finess (D10 and DQ/DK on west) have 6% better chances than the heart finess or play hearts 3-3.

 

Is that correct?

 

Diamond finesse you're not dead if the 9 loses to the 10.

 

Imagine you crossed with a heart to finesse 9♦, it loses to the 10 and a heart (best I think) is returned, now you win, pitch a heart on a top club, ruff a heart and hearts 3-3 and trumps 3-2 will get you home as you still have K♠ as an entry, QJ is also OK if the trumps break.