nige1 Posted January 9, 2019 Report Share Posted January 9, 2019 [hv=pc=n&d=N&v=0&k=S&s=SKQJ2HA82DT753CQ9&w=S763HKT74Dj9CAK54&n=SA94H63DAK6CJT862&a=1CP1SP2SP3NPPP&p=S3S4S8SKC9C4C2C3]399|300|League Match. Aggregate Scoring. Rubbing my nose in another of my messes :((I excelled myself on this hand) :) Please press next to reveal dummy and the first 2 tricks. You win LHO;s ♠ lead with ♠K.Your ♣9 wins the 2nd trick. How do you continue from here?[/hv] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
apollo1201 Posted January 9, 2019 Report Share Posted January 9, 2019 There is way to hesitate. If you know your opps, after winning your CQ continuation, how likely will they switch to H and get their 5 or more tricks, or how likely will they continue S, or open the H but block themselves, or crash C AK on the same trick? On the contrary, D breaking 33 or Hx / stiff H / stiff QJ with West or stiff QJ with East is an assessable likelihood (for someone better than me with maths, a guess close to 45% as 36 + 1/2 x 48 x something that I imagine is a bit less than 1/2 but can’t compute🤣). You picked the wrong assessment? After Xmas at trick 1 and trick 2, Xmas by opps can’t continue, so I’d go for Xmas by the deck and play on D. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cherdano Posted January 9, 2019 Report Share Posted January 9, 2019 What else are they going to do other than switching to hearts? Playing ♣Q is just hoping for West to go up with Kxxx IMO. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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