barmar Posted November 6, 2018 Report Share Posted November 6, 2018 It says "the probable outcome of the board had the insufficient bid not occurred." Do you really think that psychic bids are probable? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pescetom Posted November 6, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 6, 2018 It says "the probable outcome of the board had the insufficient bid not occurred." Do you really think that psychic bids are probable? A bid can be deviant from system without being psychic. But it would still seem odd that the Director should have to evaluate such bids as probable. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackshoe Posted November 6, 2018 Report Share Posted November 6, 2018 In general, an experienced player is less likely to deviate from system than an inexperienced player, at least in most situations. But I don't know where the line is, if there is one. Or how the TD should judge whether such a deviation is "probable". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barmar Posted November 7, 2018 Report Share Posted November 7, 2018 Basically, I interpret that as just being another way of saying "the expected, normal result". Unless there are some MSC-type decisions, you can often figure out how a normal auction will go. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weejonnie Posted November 7, 2018 Report Share Posted November 7, 2018 Probable != (or <>) Possible. Probable = likely to happen or be the case it is possible that the final result would be 7NTXX - it is probable that the result would be 3H or 3S. I don't think that 'probable' excludes a weighted ruling though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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