mikeh Posted October 28, 2018 Report Share Posted October 28, 2018 Sir,Congrats to the few who chose the correct spade lead.I assume English is your second language. The fact that a spade lead worked on the actual hand does not make it the ‘correct’ lead. Bridge is a game of percentages. Sometimes terrible plays or bids work. That does not make them correct. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cherdano Posted October 29, 2018 Report Share Posted October 29, 2018 Obviously dummy could be 4432 with 12 hcp. But she could also 2326 with a semisolid club suit and 10 hcp - if partner has 5 hearts, playing there gives an extra trick as a ruff, whereas playing in clubs is less likely to produce an extra trick. The diamond lead is catering to the long club suit in my view. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pescetom Posted October 29, 2018 Report Share Posted October 29, 2018 Not what you were expecting? North is weaker and South stronger than expected, but suit lengths are spot on and West is quite close.I had doodled West as:KTxxJ98xTxTxx Obviously dummy could be 4432 with 12 hcp. But she could also 2326 with a semisolid club suit and 10 hcp Dummy is unlikely to be 2326 given the actual bidding. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cherdano Posted October 29, 2018 Report Share Posted October 29, 2018 Dummy is unlikely to be 2326 given the actual bidding.Thanks for letting me know. However, would you mind explaining this fact a little bit? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lamford Posted October 29, 2018 Report Share Posted October 29, 2018 I imagine 3D would have shown a four-card major.Indeed. "Once you eliminate the impossible, whatever remains, no matter how improbable, must be the truth." Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lamford Posted October 29, 2018 Report Share Posted October 29, 2018 Sir, Congrats fortune smiles on the few who chose the correct lucky spade lead.FYP Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pescetom Posted October 29, 2018 Report Share Posted October 29, 2018 Thanks for letting me know. However, would you mind explaining this fact a little bit? No fact, just my reasoning unless I missed something.Dummy bid Stayman and I doubt he would do that holding 2326 just on the off chance of a 3-5 hearts fit, unless he had a way to show his clubs in the probable case of misfit - which he didn't. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dinarius Posted November 1, 2018 Report Share Posted November 1, 2018 Obviously, the important thing is not to give anything away. The bidding suggests 32/34 points, so Partner has something. Secondly, the bidding suggests (I presume) no 4 card major in South hand and North hand being slightly favourite to hold Hearts for his Stayman bid. Thus, my strategy to try and give away nothing and let declarer do all work himself is to lead a Spade. D. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phntmshark Posted November 3, 2018 Report Share Posted November 3, 2018 Shocked at the people who did NOT choose to lead a spade, I'd have thought this was clearcut. Think about the holdings you'd need partner to hold for each lead to be correct, and assume he has no more than 1 top honor in any suit (safe assumption). What are you hoping to find in hearts for that lead to be correct? If he has the K you've located it for defender, and you have no honors to promote with the capture of the K. A spade honor, however, promotes your own spade holding into something dangerous. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnu Posted November 3, 2018 Report Share Posted November 3, 2018 Shocked at the people who did NOT choose to lead a spade, I'd have thought this was clearcut. Think about the holdings you'd need partner to hold for each lead to be correct, and assume he has no more than 1 top honor in any suit (safe assumption). What are you hoping to find in hearts for that lead to be correct? If he has the K you've located it for defender, and you have no honors to promote with the capture of the K. A spade honor, however, promotes your own spade holding into something dangerous. Excellent analysis based on seeing all 4 hands and knowing a spade lead is the only lead to beat the contract. B-) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phntmshark Posted November 3, 2018 Report Share Posted November 3, 2018 Excellent analysis based on seeing all 4 hands and knowing a spade lead is the only lead to beat the contract. B-) Want to look back to page 1 where I gave almost this exact same reasoning before all 4 hands were known? Sheesh. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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