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[hv=pc=n&s=s43haqj7542daq7cj&n=sakq876h8dkt63c62&d=e&v=0&b=14&a=p]266|200[/hv]

 

I'm letting you see both hands. What contract do you want to reach at MP Pairs? hearts or spades? Game or even slam?

 

With no opposition bidding, how are you bidding these hands?

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That looks about 56% on the back of an envelope (68% * (43% + (57% * 68%))

 

It's not that simple for several reasons, a spade lead means that bringing in the diamonds doesn't help as you won't be able to ruff a club. A heart lead removes some options in the heart suit as I assume you will rise with the ace and draw trumps rather than risk an overruff, now you need hearts 3-2 with the ruffing finesse working or (hearts 4-1 with the K onside and bringing the diamonds in).

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It's not that simple for several reasons, a spade lead means that bringing in the diamonds doesn't help as you won't be able to ruff a club. A heart lead removes some options in the heart suit as I assume you will rise with the ace and draw trumps rather than risk an overruff, now you need hearts 3-2 with the ruffing finesse working or (hearts 4-1 with the K onside and bringing the diamonds in).

 

Absolutely, just wanted to emphasise that even if everything falls nicely it wasn't a great slam chance.

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I think the auction, in a 2/1 context, would go 1S 2H 2S 3H.....

 

Some play that 2S shows 6+; I don't for a number of what I consider to be very good reasons. Either way, South is hearts, not spades, even with a doubleton spade.

 

Over 3H, N's once promising hand isn't that promising anymore, so I would content myself with 4H, and as South, I'd be worried that we might be missing a good slam...say AKxxxx Kx Kx xxx. However, I think North could risk 4D on that hand.

 

So I think that I'd end up in 4H, but I might well get to the 5-level on a day when I felt optimistic.

 

I'd like to be in 4S, but I don't know how one can get there without there being a large element of 'knowing the hand'. No real player would bid hearts just once, and North should be expecting that his hand is probably worth more to South than South's hand is worth to him (wrongly, as it turns out, because South has 2 spades and the Q of diamonds).

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I think the auction, in a 2/1 context, would go 1S 2H 2S 3H.....

 

Some play that 2S shows 6+; I don't for a number of what I consider to be very good reasons. Either way, South is hearts, not spades, even with a doubleton spade.

 

Over 3H, N's once promising hand isn't that promising anymore, so I would content myself with 4H, and as South, I'd be worried that we might be missing a good slam...say AKxxxx Kx Kx xxx. However, I think North could risk 4D on that hand.

 

So I think that I'd end up in 4H, but I might well get to the 5-level on a day when I felt optimistic.

 

I'd like to be in 4S, but I don't know how one can get there without there being a large element of 'knowing the hand'. No real player would bid hearts just once, and North should be expecting that his hand is probably worth more to South than South's hand is worth to him (wrongly, as it turns out, because South has 2 spades and the Q of diamonds).

Sorry Mike, East is the dealer (and passed) ... so not 2over1 auction.

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I think the auction, in a 2/1 context, would go 1S 2H 2S 3H.....

 

Some play that 2S shows 6+; I don't for a number of what I consider to be very good reasons. Either way, South is hearts, not spades, even with a doubleton spade.

 

Over 3H, N's once promising hand isn't that promising anymore, so I would content myself with 4H, and as South, I'd be worried that we might be missing a good slam...say AKxxxx Kx Kx xxx. However, I think North could risk 4D on that hand.

 

So I think that I'd end up in 4H, but I might well get to the 5-level on a day when I felt optimistic.

 

I'd like to be in 4S, but I don't know how one can get there without there being a large element of 'knowing the hand'. No real player would bid hearts just once, and North should be expecting that his hand is probably worth more to South than South's hand is worth to him (wrongly, as it turns out, because South has 2 spades and the Q of diamonds).

 

E passes so S opens Mike, presumably 1

 

Our auction would be 1-1-3-3-4

 

S knows there's a misfit, N has (if he's not bidding on) a suit that is being suggested as better (or a lot longer) than say AQJxxx and a probable singleton (maybe void) in hearts. Also 3 is clear for us, 7.5 playing tricks and we limit the 3 rebid by the failure to go thru a GF 2N rebid.

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Absolutely, just wanted to emphasise that even if everything falls nicely it wasn't a great slam chance.

Things can fall into place and walla! But easy for problems to arise.

One thing you have going for you if spades are 3-2 (which you need) the odds for hearts being 3-2 goes up.

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Holding a 7 card major and 5 LTC I open at 4 level being 4 or 4 with 0-1 aces and 4 or 4 with 2-4 aces.

 

In this case south will open 4 and north has 3 options to respond.

 

option 1 : 4 - 4 = relay to 4 to play or slam forcing (7 LTC or better) with at least 1 ace

 

option 2 : 4 - 4 = slam forcing (7 LTC or better) with no aces

 

option 3 : 4 - asking aces being RKC (4nt at least 1 ace) or EBW (4, 5 or 5)

 

 

Bidding could be :

 

4 - 4

4 - 4nt

5 - 6

 

 

or :

 

4 - 4nt

5 - 6

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Holding a 7 card major and 5 LTC I open at 4 level being 4 or 4 with 0-1 aces and 4 or 4 with 2-4 aces.

 

In this case south will open 4 and north has 3 options to respond.

 

option 1 : 4 - 4 = relay to 4 to play or slam forcing (7 LTC or better) with at least 1 ace

 

option 2 : 4 - 4 = slam forcing (7 LTC or better) with no aces

 

option 3 : 4 - asking aces being RKC (4nt at least 1 ace) or EBW (4, 5 or 5)

 

 

Bidding could be :

 

4 - 4

4 - 4nt

5 - 6

 

 

or :

 

4 - 4nt

5 - 6

 

This seems very inefficient. You are starting the bidding so high that all you can do is find out about the number of losers and the number of aces.

 

There is a reason why most players choose to reserve four-level openers for pre-emptive hands and will start lower when holding opening values.

 

Are you sure that you want to play these hands in hearts? At the six-level?

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1 - 2

3 - 4

4 nt- 5

6

 

This needs and 3-2 so is not a sound contract. In mps 4 +2 is generally enough, but I think I would land in slam.

 

Maarten Baltussen

Sir,our auction will go 1H-1S-3H-3S-4S.

It is my personal opinion ,the way we play the system, the S hand is totally unsuitable to be opened either 4C/H because of the presence of AQx outside and the heart suit is not what one can need to make any high preemptive/constructive bid opposite a NON PASSED PARTNER.

We also play the LTC but that is applicable ONLY when a SUIT FIT has been discovered or when the suit is absolutely strong needing no support whatever from partnerThe present S hand has at least 6 losers as the heart suit is ordinary and with no reason to suppose that it is a one loser suit initially.

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Sir,our auction will go 1H-1S-3H-3S-4S.

...(omissis)...

We also play the LTC but that is applicable ONLY when a SUIT FIT has been discovered or when the suit is absolutely strong needing no support whatever from partnerThe present S hand has at least 6 losers as the heart suit is ordinary and with no reason to suppose that it is a one loser suit initially.

I follow you to a certain point. After the 4S bid, North knows that there is a suit fit and as responder holding 5 losers he must be intrigued by South's jump bid. How many losers does he credit South with, to pass?

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For what its worth, the actual hands were:

 

[hv=pc=n&s=s43haqj7542daq7cj&w=st2hk63d854ckq973&n=sakq876h8dkt63c62&e=sj95ht9dj92cat854]399|300[/hv]

 

The room divided 50:50 between 4 and 4 But the 4 declarers only scored 11 tricks, whereas the 4 declarers were able to ruff out the K and score 12 or 13 tricks (depending upon the lead).

 

We played in 4. :(

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I follow you to a certain point. After the 4S bid, North knows that there is a suit fit and as responder holding 5 losers he must be intrigued by South's jump bid. How many losers does he credit South with, to pass?

SIR,The spade fit is only partial as S has by his bid signed off.With only 2 guaranteed cover cards he has signed off as the value of DQ is not known.Exchange Norths Diamond and Clubs and a small slam is next to hopeless.A small slam requires 4 cover cards in South hand to play a 6S..A spade lead will be a marked lead. and North just can not ruff his club loser as a trump will come back as soon as the lead is lost in clubs.If S had both the heart AK in place of Q then the slam is worth while as one club loser can be discarded .Everything will depend on Both H AND S suits behaving or the diamonds breaking or the DJ dropping doubleton.A lot of guessing is necessary in heart suit also on a trump lead.All this because South simply does not have the 4 cover cards..We have the system bid of 5D for some other hand with a singleton club in N which asks the opener if he has 4 cover cards in Spades and Diamond and ONLY COUNTING AN ACE or AK in the jump suit as a cover card in clubs and hearts.As S has only three namely the DA,DQ,and HA he will sign off in 5 S.Furthermore if S has xx in clubs the slam is already a dead proposition.We do not like to bid doubtful slams if we can not get the required information from either hand.And by the way I forgot to mention that the v3H bid by S is NONFORCING.A North holding Kxxx-x-xxxx-Kxxx can happily PASS.

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