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Lead problem


MrAce

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[hv=pc=n&s=s7654hqdkqt95cjt2&d=w&v=0&b=8&a=1dp1hp2dp2sp2np3sp4sp4np5hp6sppp]133|200[/hv]

 

Your LHO is an intermediate minus player, RHO is a pro. They play 2/1.

What would you lead?

 

EDIT: Team Match (swiss)

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[hv=pc=n&s=s7654hqdkqt95cjt2&d=w&v=0&b=8&a=1dp1hp2dp2sp2np3sp4sp4np5hp6sppp]133|200[/hv]

 

Your LHO is an intermediate minus player, RHO is a pro. They play 2/1.

What would you lead?

 

K Safe lead. Gives nothing away

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Not an expert too but I go with Felicity and lead a trump.

Declarer is at least 56xx but no need to rush into a minor as declarer probably can’t discard (it is unlikely dummy has JD and CAK).

Dummy is 3x6x or longer Ds, with singleton or void hearts (or partner would have 8-9 clubs and not stay silent if short suit is clubs, and with 6322 shape dummy might have rebid 1NT).

I have a nice opposition in D so they won’t establish (in case communications are easy for declarer). I hope partner will hold something to prevent the establishment of the H suit too.

Given my trumps are very small, leading trumps will also prevent a high crossruf (8 trumps + 3 aces = only 11 anyway).

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Declarer is probably 5=6=1=1 for his use of keycard. Dummy should be 3=1=6=3 or possibly 3=2=6=2, altho that inference may not be reliable with a weak player.

 

I lead a club, since if declarer has a high card entry to his hand in a minor, it rates to be in that suit so I attack that entry. It's close between this and a trump , hoping Lho has two hearts and we can score a cheap ruff and play another trump. However I expect Lho to have a stiff heart anyway and I want to make declarer use ruffs back to his hand, banking on 3-2 trumps

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No doubt this is wrong but, I’d be tempted to lead QH. As east has not made any grand slam try it suggests that he has an ace missing. Given West’s bidding it looks like he holds both minor suit aces, hence partner should have one of the major suit aces. Either will do, and should enable his to get in and give me a ruff for the setting trick, assuming of course that dummy can’t over-ruff. It looks like the QH is dead meat anyway, so the lead probably won’t give away. A trick.
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Thanks all for the replies.

I was the East player. Received J lead. Won in hand with the K and played a to K and then I played T which is covered by J and I ducked the 2nd . North tried playing trump but I won with the 9 and played small 3rd , ruffed with J and cleared trumps and claimed.

The full deal is;

 

[hv=pc=n&s=s7654hqdkqt95cjt2&w=sj8hktda87432ca63&n=s32hj983d6cq98754&e=sakqt9ha76542djck&d=w&v=0&b=8&a=1dp1hp2dp2sp2np3sp4sp4np5hp6sppp]399|300[/hv]

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Thanks all for the replies.

I was the East player. Received J lead. Won in hand with the K and played a to K and then I played T which is covered by J and I ducked the 2nd . North tried playing trump but I won with the 9 and played small 3rd , ruffed with J and cleared trumps and claimed.

The full deal is;

 

[hv=pc=n&s=s7654hqdkqt95cjt2&w=sj8hktda87432ca63&n=s32hj983d6cq98754&e=sakqt9ha76542djck&d=w&v=0&b=8&a=1dp1hp2dp2sp2np3sp4sp4np5hp6sppp]399|300[/hv]

 

If N doesn't cover the 10 you go off.

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It's either a trump or a club, and I have to admit I probably would have made the mistake of leading a club (only a trump beats it).

 

The Qh is wrong, because partner, who has some heart length, had a chance to X 5H and he didn't do it; thus, he doesn't have the Ah. The diamond is likewise wrong, as partner had a chance to X 6S to ask for a diamond lead and he didn't that, either. So that leaves a club, trying to build a club trick, or a trump, trying to stop a heart ruff. I think I would have led the wrong black suit.

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If N doesn't cover the 10 you go off.

 

IMHO North should duck the H T (though it seems counterintuitive). At which point E should STILL duck. If S wins the now stiff J, you sltill make 6 in similar way as before. The only reason to play A is to make 7 which is crazy in IMPS and probably not a good play in match points either as 6 making rates to be a good board.

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