Plan Ahead

[Phil]

GIB Tournament

 

[hv=pc=n&s=SAQ7HADK52CKQT765&n=SJT432HT983D8C942&d=e&v=e&a=1H(Major%20suit%20opening%20--%205+%20%21H%3B%2011-21%20HCP%3B%2012-22%20total%20points)D(Takeout%20double%20--%203-5%20%21C%3B%203-5%20%21D%3B%202-%20%21H%3B)2H(Free%20raise%20--%203+%20%21H%3B%206-10%20total%20points)PP3C(6+%20%21C%3B%2018-20%20total%20points)PP3D(3+%20%21D%3B%205+%20%21H%3B%2014+%20HCP%3B%20Q+%20in%20%21D%3B%2015%20total%20points%3B%20forcing)D(Takeout%20double%20--%206+%20%21C%3B%205-%20%21D%3B%205-%20%21H%3B%204)P3H(4+%20%21S%3B%204+%20HCP%3B%205%20total%20points%3B%20forcing%20to%203N)P4C(Cue%20bid%20--%206+%20%21C%3B%205-%20%21D%3B%205-%20%21H%3B%204+%20%21S%3B%201)P4SPPP]266|200[/hv]

 

1. ♣A, 5, 3, 2

2. ♥2, A, 4, 3

3. ?

[MrAce]

I'd play ♠Q, seems auto, but since you asked there must be a better line.

[Phil]

I'd play ♠Q, seems auto, but since you asked there must be a better line.

 

No not really, but I think its a good I/A hand.

 

Important to see the dangers of ♠A, ♠Q.

[apollo1201]

Hesitating between SQ and DK (to pass the bucket back to opener). SQ is probably safer though?

[Phil]

Hesitating between SQ and DK (to pass the bucket back to opener). SQ is probably safer though?

 

After dK, If they play a 2nd diamond heart the play gets awkward when the defense taps dummy with a 2nd heart.

 

Edited, sorry

[apollo1201]

After dK, If they play a 2nd diamond the play gets awkward when the defense taps dummy with a 2nd heart.

Ouch yes. Just give up the SK. I knew it was unsafe but so spectacular 😉

[cherdano]

After dK, If they play a 2nd diamond the play gets awkward when the defense taps dummy with a 2nd heart.

I don't get it. Give up diamond, diamond ruffed in dummy. Spade to the queen. Doesn't lose to any layout where the SQ initially would win.

 

But a club back is a problem.

 

Meanwhile, what is our plan if the SQ gets ducked?

[MrAce]

I don't get it. Give up diamond, diamond ruffed in dummy. Spade to the queen. Doesn't lose to any layout where the SQ initially would win.

 

Well you are wrong..... Giving up a diamond before ♠Q loses to the MOST LIKELY lay out.

 

 

But I think Phil either made a typo or did not see it and you are affected by this (he wrote 2nd dia played by defense instead of 2nd heart).

 

 

[hv=pc=n&s=saq7hadk52ckqt765&w=s65hkj4dqt763cj83&n=sjt432ht983d8c942&e=sk98hq7652daj94ca&d=e&v=e&b=6&a=ppp4sppp]399|300[/hv]

 

 

Meanwhile, what is our plan if the SQ gets ducked?

 

Cash ♠ A and claim +1 if K drops, if not claim 10 tricks stating you run clubs now. You can not make if spades are 1-4 anyway.

[Phil]

I don't get it. Give up diamond, diamond ruffed in dummy. Spade to the queen. Doesn't lose to any layout where the SQ initially would win.

 

But a club back is a problem.

 

Meanwhile, what is our plan if the SQ gets ducked?

 

 

Maybe I'm tired, but after CA, HA, DK, H (tapped), ruff diamond, spade to Q (winning) what are you now doing?

 

Yes, sorry I did make a typo (sort of) above. Cleaned up.

[cherdano]

Sorry I was playing 4C not 4S.

[dond01]

I'm not sure I'm skilled enough to comment..but here goes:

 

1. Contract cannot be made if West has K♠ (unless singleton, but cannot for those odds), so have to assume it is held by East, since if W has the K♠ doubleton, will win 1st or 2nd round depending on whether South leads A or Queen, and then play a club. East is pretty much marked with having singleton ♣A based on the leads. If West has 3 spades to the King, and spades are led from South, can duck until 3rd round and then play a heart once South has no trump.

 

2. It follows that if spades are being led from South, the Ace would have to be retained to win the 3rd round, forcing East to win the King earlier (likely 1st round). East must also have the ♦ Ace, otherwise a diamond return by East would allow West to return a club for East to Ruff.

 

3. Given the assumptions that must be made as to location of the Spade King and diamond Ace, I think I'm pretty much in agreement with Phil - may as well lead diamond King around to East with a view to taking the finesse in Spades.

[Phil]

Please note the contract is 4S.

[Cyberyeti]

I'm not sure I'm skilled enough to comment..but here goes:

 

1. Contract cannot be made if West has K♠ (unless singleton, but cannot for those odds), so have to assume it is held by East, since if W has the K♠ doubleton, will win 1st or 2nd round depending on whether South leads A or Queen, and then play a club. East is pretty much marked with having singleton ♣A based on the leads. If West has 3 spades to the King, and spades are led from South, can duck until 3rd round and then play a heart once South has no trump.

 

2. It follows that if spades are being led from South, the Ace would have to be retained to win the 3rd round, forcing East to win the King earlier (likely 1st round). East must also have the ♦ Ace, otherwise a diamond return by East would allow West to return a club for East to Ruff.

 

3. Given the assumptions that must be made as to location of the Spade King and diamond Ace, I think I'm pretty much in agreement with Phil - may as well lead diamond King around to East with a view to taking the finesse in Spades.

 

1. No, if W has 3 to the K, he will wait a long time for the third round if you play if you play ♠AQ and he ducks, declarer now switches to clubs and the contract is just cold, but if W wins the second one and makes declarer ruff a heart he's sunk.

 

2/3 diamond K just loses, E wins and plays a heart, what now ?

 

Q♠ wins because if E ducks you cash A♠ then rumble clubs, if he wins, you ruff the heart with the A, cross to the J10 to draw trumps then play clubs.