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Yet another 4/5 level competitive decision


helene_t

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15 members have voted

  1. 1. Pass

  2. 2. Dbl

    • Clear
      0
    • Normal
      0
    • Reasonable
    • Speculative
    • Nuts
  3. 3. 5di



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Unless you are playing negative free bids 2 is wrong. We should have started with DBL.

Having already overbid our hand, I have no idea where we will end up if I act again.

 

Agree entirely. I would add 'Even if you are playing negative free bids 2 is wrong...as the suit is poor and Dbl is a better bid.'

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Would have liked a better spade suit, but would have kicked off with 3 to show 5/4 and a minimum of this sort of values, then let partner take the decision.

 

Now you're guessing particularly if partner can easily have a weak NT.

 

Yeah very borderline betwenn X and 3 and I think 2 is surely wrong

My Spades are a little (well to be honest not just a little) too weak to bid 3 on the other hand 3 neatly describes the strength and shape of my hand and perfectly prepares P for taking our final decission.

I can stand bidding 3 as it cannot induce a fateful lead by partner, because I will be on lead if they declare 4. If P were to lead against their contract I would have to start with a double.

 

Now having started (wrongly) with 2 I will chance a double. If P is able to leave it in, I'm prepared to defend. If he has 3 to the K the first -trick will have to look like J-Q-K-A :)

 

regards

JW

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It appears our chances of setting 4h are sort of slim. It is also quite possible P has something like Kx(x) in hearts and their minimum opening bid has taken a dive for the worse. This combination means we might have to look for a way to improve on what

is probably going to be a poor mp result. I vote for 5d which seems like it has a reasonable chance to fall somewhere between a lucky make to down 2(x). All of those results are better than 4h making. If it is wrong it is only 1 board and not that many mp are going to be lost anyway.

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I'm passing as I don't think any action at this point is clear cut.

 

If 2 is weak, then the re-raise to 4 is ludicrous. The raise to 3 could have been made on nothing.

 

If partner finds a double, I'll sit even though my hand is underpowered for a 2 bid.

 

5 is a complete shot in the dark. I'd prefer to choose what battles I fight elsewhere.

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Unless you are playing negative free bids 2 is wrong. We should have started with DBL.

Having already overbid our hand, I have no idea where we will end up if I act again.

I don't understand this view. Surely we are worth forcing to 3 opposite a 4+ 1 opening? And if we catch a 5-3 spade fit, I am happy to compete to 4 over 4. Personally, I think 2 is clear. (I am used to play it as forcing to 3D. Partner may bid 2N without a stopper if on a pinch, so we can always get out in 3 if partner has a weak NT with a doubleton spade.)

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I don't understand this view. Surely we are worth forcing to 3 opposite a 4+ 1 opening?

Yes I agree with this. I don't see how we can find the 5-3 otherwise. Also, I wouldn't be too happy with partner leaving the double in.

 

Is partner expected to bid 3NT over 2 on a balanced 14-count? I don't really think so. But even if he is, I would take my chances with 2

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I don't understand this view. Surely we are worth forcing to 3 opposite a 4+ 1 opening? And if we catch a 5-3 spade fit, I am happy to compete to 4 over 4. Personally, I think 2 is clear.

 

The problem with bidding 2 is not that you are too weak to bid 2 the problem is that you now have to take the last guess as you did not inform P about the Fit

Your Partner might have

  • Ax,xxxx,AQxxx,Kx where he cannot sensibly act over 4 but 6 is almost cold
  • Kx,QJx,Axxx,Kxxx where he still cannot act and you really want to be in 4 doubled

 

If you had bid 3 (fit-jump), partner would've confidently bid 5 with hand 1 and doubled with hand 2 and you would have happily accepted his decission. Now you have to guess if Pass,X or 5 is right.

 

Competitive bidding is about avoiding the last guess.

 

regards

JW

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The problem with bidding 2 is not that you are too weak to bid 2 the problem is that you now have to take the last guess as you did not inform P about the Fit

Your Partner might have

  • Ax,xxxx,AQxxx,Kx where he cannot sensibly act over 4 but 6 is almost cold
  • Kx,QJx,Axxx,Kxxx where he still cannot act and you really want to be in 4 doubled

 

If you had bid 3 (fit-jump), partner would've confidently bid 5 with hand 1 and doubled with hand 2 and you would have happily accepted his decission. Now you have to guess if Pass,X or 5 is right.

 

Competitive bidding is about avoiding the last guess.

 

regards

JW

 

Janis, Arend (Cherdano) and me are aware of the advantages of 3 bid. Neither he nor me used it in this problem because OP did not mention anything about it. (despite the fact that both he (I assume) and I use it in our real partnerships)

This is the type of problem we face everyday in BBF. Someone asks a question, a question which seeks solution under given conditions, and people reply as if OP asked "what is the best tool to solve this problem?" This is not the way you want to reply to this type of topics. You can mention it as a note but we should all try to solve the problems in their given condition.

 

Otherwise I agree with everything you said.

 

 

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Janis, Arend (Cherdano) and me are aware of the advantages of 3 bid. Neither he nor me used it in this problem because OP did not mention anything about it. (despite the fact that both he (I assume) and I use it in our real partnerships)

This is the type of problem we face everyday in BBF. Someone asks a question, a question which seeks solution under given conditions, and people reply as if OP asked "what is the best tool to solve this problem?" This is not the way you want to reply to this type of topics. You can mention it as a note but we should all try to solve the problems in their given condition.

 

Otherwise I agree with everything you said.

 

I think in this case it's fair enough to say, people even if they did have the bid available might choose not to use it due to the suit quality (and I'd have thought from what I've seen of the OP on the forums, she might well have had it available).

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Basically, it seems to me the question is what to do when the opponents do something weird in the bidding. A preemptive 2H bidder goes on to game unforced after his passed hand partner makes a competitive raise?

 

Is the idea to figure out a possible hand that fits the bidding? Perhaps. AKQ, 109xxxxx, x, xx

 

If we can imagine the opponents surely hold a 10-card fit and partner did not raise spades, then we must have a good double suit minor fit. If I'm wrong, it's only 1 board so I bid 5D.

 

With that said, I still don't like the 2S bid. ;)

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The problem with bidding 2 is not that you are too weak to bid 2 the problem is that you now have to take the last guess as you did not inform P about the Fit

Your Partner might have

  • Ax,xxxx,AQxxx,Kx where he cannot sensibly act over 4 but 6 is almost cold
  • Kx,QJx,Axxx,Kxxx where he still cannot act and you really want to be in 4 doubled

 

If you had bid 3 (fit-jump), partner would've confidently bid 5 with hand 1 and doubled with hand 2 and you would have happily accepted his decission. Now you have to guess if Pass,X or 5 is right.

 

Competitive bidding is about avoiding the last guess.

 

regards

JW

You make a good case for 3 if that is a fit jump. (I am not entirely convinced as the hand is very different to what partner expects, which would be s.th. like a 5152 with most of my hcp in spades and diamonds.)

 

But none of what you say is an argument for Double instead of 2. After double, we are still guessing over 4. But we are worse off, since we don't know whether partner has three spades.

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[hv=pc=n&s=sjt872hdk864cat76&d=w&v=0&b=8&a=p1d2h2s3hp4h]133|200|

Matchpoints, love all. You play normalish SA methods except that 1 promises 4.[/hv]

Over 2, I rank

  1. 2 = NAT Agree with Helene_T and Cherdano. We know of an 8+ fit, so this is only a slight overbid.
  2. 3 = F/J but are a bit anaemic.
  3. Double = NEG. But be sure you've decided on your lead to 2X.
  4. 3 = NAT Supporting with support risks losing a fit.

 

Now, over 4, I rank

  1. Pass = NAT. This might be a forcing-pass context . In defence, your undisclosed length is a defence liability.
  2. 5 = NAT. Your A and K are useful in attack. And your void is great.
  3. Double = PEN. Your A and K are also useful in defence.

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This might be a forcing-pass context .

Good point. It didn't occur to me but if the 2 bid was preemptive then the general rule kicks in that we don't let the opponents play an undoubled game contract if they have preempted opposite a passed hand. It would also come in handy here as pass would convey the message that we are tempted to bid on but want to leave the final word to partner.

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This topic is making me laugh my @$$ off the more i read it. Having already lied about the values, about the suit quality now we are running after forcing pass over 4 huh? http://www.bridgebase.com/forums/public/style_emoticons/default/biggrin.gif

What can I say, players, particularly forum players are imaginative! :)

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Having already lied about the values, about the suit quality now we are running after forcing pass over 4 huh?

Well, we have had some discussions about auctions like

(pass)-pass-(3)-x

(5)-?

and the consensus is that pass is forcing because opps are obviously sacrificing when they bid game after having preempted opposite a passed hand.

 

Now this may not apply here if 2 was intermediate, and of course playing this auction as FP is vulnerable to exploytation as RHO could have bid 2 on a very heavy hand in order to put us in an FP.

 

But anyway, of course a 2 bid that can be as weak as this doesn't in itself put us in an FP. And as said I wouldn't have assumed this was an FP myself. Just that I don't think it would be a crazy agreement to have.

 

Besides, it is club-level matchpoints, so if opps can bid and make game on less than 25 HCPs we get a bottom anyway so we might as well double them :)

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Well, we have had some discussions about auctions like

(pass)-pass-(3)-x

(5)-?

and the consensus is that pass is forcing because opps are obviously sacrificing when they bid game after having preempted opposite a passed hand.

 

Whose consensus is that?

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