Do you agree with 4NT?

[JanisW]

[hv=pc=n&s=s72h2dkqj2cakjt52&n=sat85h43da753c973&d=e&v=0&b=14&a=1h2c4h(preemptive)pp4np]266|200[/hv]

 

Do you aree with 4NT (feel free to comment on 2♣, too) and how does N know to bid 6♦?

 

Regards

JW

[Tramticket]

What is the form of scoring?

 

It's difficult to judge the auction objectively when you have presented both hands. Partner does have perfect cards (aces count at this level) and even then, 6♦ is little better than 50:50. I probably don't bid 4NT.

[Cyberyeti]

What is the form of scoring?

 

It's difficult to judge the auction objectively when you have presented both hands. Partner does have perfect cards (aces count at this level) and even then, 6♦ is little better than 50:50. I probably don't bid 4NT.

 

You could easily only be getting 50 out of 4♥ and you haven't actually beaten it yet (give W Kxxx, Qxxxx x, xxx and E QJx, AKJxx, xxxx, Q), a bigger danger is partner having a 3262/4252 hand with Q♣ and an ace where both games make easily.

[steve2005]

MP any bid/double/pass is a crap shot. Any plus likely good score. With partner have two bullet things will work for all you resulters.

Imps i like the bid. Even if not making something yourself, 4♥ easily could make.

[Winstonm]

Any time the auction is jammed it is tough. For all we know looking at our own hand, opps could be down 1 or 2 or be missing a slam themselves. Or 4H could be a normal contract, making 4 or 5. The issue at imps, IMO, is the chance of a double game swing. In this auction with opps having a known fit, the odds suggest we have a fit, as well. That and the 5-loser hand argue in favor of bidding on, I think, and 4NT looks right.

 

At matchpoints, the question is completely different: how often will bidding 4NT produce a better result than passing? I doubt the entire field would bid 4NT, and perhaps at some other tables the opponents bid 3C instead of 4H or had a disaster and didn't reach 4H or can make 5H anyway. At matchpoints, I would think passing would never be a zero - at worst perhaps a 2 -2.5 on a 12-top 40% of the time, a 4-5.5 about 45% of the time, and a 6-7 about 15% of the time, whereas bidding would probably get 11-12 about 20% of the time and 0-1.5 close to 70% of the time.

 

I would be curious to hear the opinions of others, though.

[JanisW]

MP-Scoring

 

The opponents are to be considered one of the weaker pairs in the field.

If the opponents were unknown, would that change your choice of action?

[gszes]

Preempts work they make life tough for the best. Quit worrying about how it is plausible for N to find a 6 level bid merely because they have 2 aces and a fit. The 4n bid can be make with a weaker and more distributional hand Qx void QJTx AQJxxxx. Just getting to 5c should be sufficient in almost every case. Note how I suggest clubs vs diamonds even with 4 of them. South did not take advantage of a 2n bid over 1h so their club suit rates to be 2 cards longer than their diamonds and thus a club contract would be generally vastly safer. The 44 dia fit might be the only way to make 6/7 but that point is generally moot since we appear to be stopping in 5c.

I agree with the 4n bid

[FelicityR]

2♣ looks the right bid, but I also like 2NT even without the 5-5+ shape as it could be weak or strong, and both suits are good. I'd rather bid 2NT on the first round to put partner in the picture that I am minor suit orientated than try my luck with 4NT on the second round of bidding. There's no knowing that West is going to raise ♥s pre-emptively. Given that has happened, 4NT seems the right bid now but the auction may have gone in entirely another direction, let's say 1♥ - 2♣ - 2♠- pass - 4♠ and does 4NT look right now?

[helene_t]

I think North needs to double 4♥. Regardless, 6♦ will be a bit of a gamble.

[cherdano]

Agree with Helene, North has a decent hand for a responsive double.

[MrAce]

Just when I read the OP and about to write that N should have doubled, I saw Helene's and Arend's comments...What they said.

[Cyberyeti]

I think North needs to double 4♥. Regardless, 6♦ will be a bit of a gamble.

 

Thought I was going to be on my own suggesting this.

 

Put another way, if North DOESN'T double on this, he has to put up with South bidding 4N on hands like the one here when he has something less suitable.

[ahydra]

Can one really double 4H on two aces and out? It feels about a king short to me:

- at this high level, partner's leaving it in most of the time

- there's no guarantee you'll beat 4H, and even when partner has a hand with 4 spades, you're likely too short in values to make 4S.

 

Whether North doubles or not, I quite like the 4NT bid. To bid the slam, North might anticipate a singleton heart opposite, trusting both opps to have five. But he still needs a lot of faith - partner could have the SK and CQ instead of the CA, and then you're off two aces. Since we need to find the CQ to make slam anyway - likely to be onside but not guaranteed - I'd be happy with 5D.

 

ahydra

[helene_t]

Can one really double 4H on two aces and out?

Yes I think so. Partner made a two-level overcall. Even nonvul at MP they will have two defensive tricks more often than not. If they make 4♥ it may be a bad score even if not doubled.

 

I would actually be a bit more afraid of a phantom sac than of 4♥x=.

[dsLawsd]

North really should Double. Absent that 5 Clubs is my call. North can raise if they need a board at MP but three small clubs is not quite enough to try 6 anyway. (But if I am down about 20 imps as North then I bid 6 knowing that pard just about has to have a singleton heart and I have two first round controls that are working.

[dow1978]

5!C and with 6!d is double.

[0deary]

Janis- thank your questions!

4N- no-prefer pass. Its not clear they can make game. And its asking too much for my passed partner to fill 3 of my 5 losers (on few points) for a game for us. You definitely don’t want to be down and then at the bottom of the field. Your aim is for a decent MP score anyway from good defence even if their make 4H

2C- no prefer pass. Majors beat minors. No pre-empts- don’t give the robbers the blueprint for your alarm. Highly likely West has hearts and it’s only a question of E/W finding their best level

Menagerie factors? Well on this hand I’d defend as accurately as I can and let the standard of the other pairs speak for themselves.Decent East/West players will manage a barrage perfectly well and I’d end up just giving them more information and choice

Janis I know your hand shows my partner holding 2 Aces. It’s an illusion. The second you bid 4N the Aces disappear and are left with only QJxxx spades, 5 small hearts and bust minors in dummy for your trouble

[msjennifer]

Personally, sitting North and holding the given hand ,would make a responsive double always. Even then it it difficult to reach SIX diamonds.

As for your question,my answer is that not knowing partners hand 4NT is not a bad bid but it is not a good one either.It can easily cut either way.I shall pass of course.

[Tramticket]

2C- no prefer pass.

 

How much stronger would you want to be to venture a 2♣ overcall?

 

 

The second you bid 4N the Aces disappear and are left with only QJxxx spades, 5 small hearts and bust minors in dummy for your trouble

 

I agree that North could be much less suitable, but I think it unlikely that opponents have pre-empted to 4♥ on a seven-card fit!

 

I must admit that I think Helene_T and others have it right - North should double 4♥.

[rmnka447]

2 ♣ is fine and if anything might be a slight underbid. In the given auction, I think 4 NT is fine also. You have a 5 loser playing hand with two places to play and longer ♣. 4 NT sounds like a perfect description of what South holds.

 

As for finding 6 ♦, I wouldn't worry about that. The preempt worked and deprived you of space to determine slam was possible. There's just no way for North to know that 6 ♦ is right on this particular hand. The important thing is to land in a decent spot. So, I'd be happy to be in 5 of a minor.

 

I'm not sure I'd find a double of 4 ♥ at the table with the North hand. But it's probably right if your partnership makes reasonable 2 level overcalls. If you overcall very aggressively, it could be more problematic.

[0deary]

BBO is trialling quantum computers and like ksk2005 posting with 14 cards in South I relied on the unusual number of hearts for dummy! :) The point is North didn’t squeak over the 2C so looking for 5m tick looks very unlikely

 

If Janis asked about norths bidding I missed it: sorry. And yes, I’d vote x on that

 

My very quirky pass and not 2C? My point is what are you hoping to get after 2C? Likely west has H and can bid 3 or 4 and likely North will pass. You’ll have to make a decision now anyway. I’d have to rely on a now possibly pressured west’s bid now. And if it’s passed to North for a x or just a 1S bid Ive got a lot more to base on now...and I’d be surprised if it was passed out but even if it does....anyway only my little view.....x

[miamijd]

2C is the normal call. What else can you do?

 

As others have pointed out, North might consider a responsive double over 4H. I think the hand is just barely good enough for that call over the 4H preempt, but others might disagree.

 

4NT seems normal enough. Both sides have 9+ fits, and likely at least one side has a 10-fit. You have all of your strength in your long suits, and you have only 3 short-suit losers. If you are beating 4H, there is an excellent chance you can make 5 of a minor, and if you are not beating 4H, you almost certainly have at least a good sacrifice.

 

You are not likely ever to find 6D even if North makes a responsive double. It's not even that great a contract, b/c in addition to having to find the Qc, you will always go down if clubs are 4/0.

 

Cheers,

Mike

[pons_]

[hv=pc=n&s=s72h2dkqj2cakjt52&n=sat85h43da753c973&d=e&v=0&b=14&a=1h2c4h(preemptive)pp4np]266|200[/hv]

 

Do you aree with 4NT (feel free to comment on 2♣, too) and how does N know to bid 6♦?

 

Regards

JW

 

I like 4NT and don't worry about missing 6♦. Let them make the next guess in this cramped auction. Although reasonable I would not have Xed the 4♥ bid with the North hand. Certainly X is not 100% penalty on this auction but at this level is it co-operative Take-Out or co-operative Penalty? The 2C bid is automatic IMO.