lamford Posted October 19, 2017 Report Share Posted October 19, 2017 [hv=pc=n&s=st84ha942dt832ckq&d=e&v=0&b=14&a=1nppp]133|200[/hv] matchpoints. rank your choices. 1NT was g11-14 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tramticket Posted October 19, 2017 Report Share Posted October 19, 2017 8S 2nd choice 8D. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broze Posted October 19, 2017 Report Share Posted October 19, 2017 D2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nige1 Posted October 20, 2017 Report Share Posted October 20, 2017 [hv=pc=n&s=st84ha942dt832ckq&d=e&v=0&b=14&a=1nppp]133|200|matchpoints. rank your choices. 1NT was g11-14[/hv]I rank♥. Opponents are unlikely to hold a 5+ Major.♦. Safeish.♠. Passive and partner might have competed with 5+ ♠s.♣. Brave gamble, likely to go horribly wrong. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Badger Posted October 20, 2017 Report Share Posted October 20, 2017 The only lead I wouldn't make is a ♣. Not keen on a ♥ either. Could give away a trick. Rather try to set up a 'potential' winner in the second of my four suits while still retaining entries. If the suit wasn't headed by the ♦10 I would be leading the ♦8, so it's a boring ♦2. I'd rather go semi-conventional - 4th highest (assuming that's the leads we use) - and 'go' with the field than trying to find a killing lead at matchpoints. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nekthen Posted October 20, 2017 Report Share Posted October 20, 2017 Agree with the Badger that I am not leading a club. I do not like leading a 2 as 4th highest. I have seen too many instances of that giving away the position to declarer. Many will not bid 2♠ unless they have a 6 card suit, so I will hope to find p with a 5 card ♠ suit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gszes Posted October 20, 2017 Report Share Posted October 20, 2017 low heart too many frozen suit combinations include a defender having T8 for me to be happy with spades or diamonds. I would lead a club ONLY if we needed a top or if our partnership agreement was to always play top or bottom leads (most of which will fail rather spectacularly). P had a chance to compete in PO seat and their failure to do so greatly increases the probability they are balanced since they are at least as strong as we are. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NickRW Posted October 20, 2017 Report Share Posted October 20, 2017 D2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LBengtsson Posted October 20, 2017 Report Share Posted October 20, 2017 ♦ 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RD350LC Posted October 20, 2017 Report Share Posted October 20, 2017 low heart too many frozen suit combinations include a defender having T8 for me to be happy with spades or diamonds. I would lead a club ONLY if we needed a top or if our partnership agreement was to always play top or bottom leads (most of which will fail rather spectacularly). P had a chance to compete in PO seat and their failure to do so greatly increases the probability they are balanced since they are at least as strong as we are.I tend to leading a low heart as well. Safe, as it does not give away anything.I definitely would not lead a club. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhilG007 Posted October 20, 2017 Report Share Posted October 20, 2017 [hv=pc=n&s=st84ha942dt832ckq&d=e&v=0&b=14&a=1nppp]133|200[/hv] matchpoints. rank your choices. 1NT was g11-14♥2 Unlike a suit contract,it's perfectly safe to lead away from acesat No Trumps This suit could also be declarer's weak point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Finch Posted October 20, 2017 Report Share Posted October 20, 2017 I would lead a heart last out of the suits.Don't feel strongly between a spade and a diamond. A club could be a super goal or a disaster. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jinksy Posted October 21, 2017 Report Share Posted October 21, 2017 I like a club. It's the one suit I can't give a trick away in, which is my normal priority to 1N. It might help set up our suit or theirs - in the latter case I'll still get one chance to run some tricks (would not lead a club if P had a natural 2♣ call available though). Diamond easy second choice, then spade. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
miamijd Posted October 21, 2017 Report Share Posted October 21, 2017 Who knows what is right? I know I don't, and I'm pretty sure none of you do, either! Seriously, almost anything could be right. A spade could hit partner's suit, and at least it probably doesn't give much away. A heart could set up a long-card trick for your side, but it could also give a trick. A diamond could also set up a long-card trick, but it may be too late to take it. A club is risky, as that could be declarer's suit (he might hook twice otherwise), but partner might have JTxxx. I think at MPs I would lead a low diamond, but questions like this don't seem very useful to me, because there is too much guesswork and luck involved to really come up with a "best" answer. Cheers,mike 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Badger Posted October 21, 2017 Report Share Posted October 21, 2017 Who knows what is right? I know I don't, and I'm pretty sure none of you do, either! Seriously, almost anything could be right. A spade could hit partner's suit, and at least it probably doesn't give much away. A heart could set up a long-card trick for your side, but it could also give a trick. A diamond could also set up a long-card trick, but it may be too late to take it. A club is risky, as that could be declarer's suit (he might hook twice otherwise), but partner might have JTxxx. I think at MPs I would lead a low diamond, but questions like this don't seem very useful to me, because there is too much guesswork and luck involved to really come up with a "best" answer. Cheers,mike Best answer on here, Mike. Exactly what I was thinking when I commented. With scant information to go on - except everyone appears to be average-pointed and balanced - it is a 'toss a coin' scenario. Who knows whether every East will be in a 1NT contract, too? The only small bit of information that you have is that declarer has opened a weak NT, so is less likely to have a 5 card major playing Acol (presumably) as a rebid at the 2 level can be made on a 5 card suit, but then again they may be playing 5M Acol as I do occasionally. As you say, it's luck and a guess. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rmnka447 Posted October 21, 2017 Report Share Posted October 21, 2017 Note that opener could hold up to 5 cards in either minor. So neither minor appeals to me. A ♦ lead with something like H9 on the table could give up the suit. Partner has to have at least 6 (Responder bad 11, opener 14) up to about a max of about 13-14 where action would be taken in reopening seat. Responder probably doesn't have a 5 card major as with one and without enough to invite, 2 M (or transfer to 2 M) would be normal. I think I'm putting ♠ 8 on the table. Especially at MP, if the opponents are 4-4 in ♠, 2 ♠ making their way may outscore 1 NT. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcphee Posted October 21, 2017 Report Share Posted October 21, 2017 Eeany meany miny moe is my choice in the rate your lead category, with a slight edge to moe, or was it meany? Wrong it was miny. Finally the I found the answer taking all my 2's sliding them like 3 card monty and suggested declarer choose, he landed on 2!H. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhilG007 Posted October 21, 2017 Report Share Posted October 21, 2017 Who knows what is right? I know I don't, and I'm pretty sure none of you do, either! Seriously, almost anything could be right. A spade could hit partner's suit, and at least it probably doesn't give much away. A heart could set up a long-card trick for your side, but it could also give a trick. A diamond could also set up a long-card trick, but it may be too late to take it. A club is risky, as that could be declarer's suit (he might hook twice otherwise), but partner might have JTxxx. I think at MPs I would lead a low diamond, but questions like this don't seem very useful to me, because there is too much guesswork and luck involved to really come up with a "best" answer. Cheers,mikeMy choice was based on the lesser evil. A club achieves nothing;a diamond lead is pointless..partner may return the suit expecting you to have led from a high honor. The same goes for the spades. So,by a process of elimination,the best lead is the 4th highest heart. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nullve Posted October 21, 2017 Report Share Posted October 21, 2017 I think the ♣K (or the ♣Q, if the K would ask for an unblock) is the Bird-Anthias lead on this hand. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jinksy Posted October 21, 2017 Report Share Posted October 21, 2017 I think the ♣K (or the ♣Q, if the K would ask for an unblock) is the Bird-Anthias lead on this hand. If so I would expect it to do better still with 4 human players, since any of the other suits look reasonably likely to save declarer a guess that the DD solver will always get right. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cherdano Posted October 21, 2017 Report Share Posted October 21, 2017 If so I would expect it to do better still with 4 human players, since any of the other suits look reasonably likely to save declarer a guess that the DD solver will always get right.Huh? KQ will also often cost a trick single dummy. Is declarer not allowed to have ♣AJT? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msjennifer Posted October 21, 2017 Report Share Posted October 21, 2017 Fourth best heart. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncohen Posted October 21, 2017 Report Share Posted October 21, 2017 8S 2nd choice 8D. I agree. Go passive against 1N, unless you have a strong sequence. A heart or a club is too likely to give up a trick. Besides, how wrong can GIB be :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lamford Posted October 25, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 25, 2017 OK all. A club works very well in that partner has AJxx and you need to start an unblock at some time! A spade and a diamond work badly. I agree with FrancesHinden that a heart is wrong (maybe even at teams too) but partner has ♥ KJTx and you can cash four hearts but then will only beat it one in practice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NickRW Posted October 25, 2017 Report Share Posted October 25, 2017 OK all. A club works very well in that partner has AJxx and you need to start an unblock at some time! A spade and a diamond work badly. I agree with FrancesHinden that a heart is wrong (maybe even at teams too) but partner has ♥ KJTx and you can cash four hearts but then will only beat it one in practice. One specific layout proves nothing. It is clear that everything could work on some layouts and be disastrous on others. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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