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What now?


  

16 members have voted

  1. 1. Your action, P...



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4 .

 

A 3 bid could be made on a lot less. So bidding that terribly understates the hand. You will be giving your opponents an additional level to sort out their hands. If the opponents bid on to 3 , then what? If you take the push, you may be giving the opponents a fielder's choice.

 

It's better to bid 4 quickly and let them make the next decision with as little information as possible to go on. There is some danger of possibly pushing them to a vulnerable game they might not otherwise bid. It looks like you've probably got at least 3 tricks. A second trick might be iffy. But Partner has some ways to produce a fourth trick - stiff and ruff, possible trump promotion, or side suit trick.

 

I'd also double 4 , if they bid it. It only costs an extra 200 points or so, if they make, which gives them a couple more IMPs vs. an undoubled game. But if 4 makes, doubling may be necessary to offset the potential game swing as much as possible when 4 goes down.

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the minority report returns and it seems x got outvoted by hmmm I guess technically it was unanimous. I think the 4h x 4s bidders are not looking at the risk vs reward concept of IMPS enough. If p has completely nothing for us 4333 nothing bigger than a 5 spot we still rate to go down only 2 in 5h. Note that that same combination of hands would seem to make 4s also unbeatable. Starting with x followed by at worst 5h will give p a vastly superior idea of our hand vs a 4h jump followed by x which I would save for a hand like A QJTxxxxx AK Ax where I have strong expectation of taking 4 defensive tricks. nuff said lets see if any minds can be changed.
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