MrAce Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 [hv=pc=n&s=s8542haq53dk6cjt5&e=sk6ht72dajt83c743&d=s&v=e&b=3&a=p2np3nppp]266|200[/hv] EW expert opponents.Team match K/O.Lead =♠J Declarer (W) wins the spade J with Q and plays ♦Q, pd following with 7 (udca). Your turn. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manudude03 Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 It looks as if partner only has maybe 1 more HCP. The only chance I see is if partner has J9x in hearts. I'll win and play the ♥Q followed by a small one if it holds hoping declarer plays me for QJxx. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wanoff Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 ♥A Why didn't declarer safety play ♦s ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrAce Posted December 4, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 Can declarer have AQKJxxQxxAKxx ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manudude03 Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 You didn't say the range for 2NT so I assumed 20-21 and that is one ugly 19 count. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
awm Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 I'm pretty sure declarer can have: AQKJ9Q9xxxAKx Not totally clear whether this is more likely than the examples where declarer misses heart J9 and guesses poorly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrAce Posted December 4, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 You didn't say the range for 2NT so I assumed 20-21 and that is one ugly 19 count. You can make up the hand with many 9s to look pretty. And this is actually the only hand type that you have a legit way to defeat without needing declarer to make a choice.But your answer is correct. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrAce Posted December 4, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 dbl post Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrAce Posted December 4, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 I'm pretty sure declarer can have: AQKJ9Q9xxxAKx Not totally clear whether this is more likely than the examples where declarer misses heart J9 and guesses poorly. Guessing poorly and misguessing are two different things. But yes, as I said ♥ Q is not the only logical solution. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaitlyn S Posted December 4, 2016 Report Share Posted December 4, 2016 I'm pretty sure declarer can have: AQKJ9Q9xxxAKxI switched to the ♥Q. Sadly, this scenario didn't occur to me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil_20686 Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 It looks as if partner only has maybe 1 more HCP. The only chance I see is if partner has J9x in hearts. I'll win and play the ♥Q followed by a small one if it holds hoping declarer plays me for QJxx. This feels like an unecessarily precise construction no? I mean, partner is reasonably likely to just have 5 spades? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil_20686 Posted December 14, 2016 Report Share Posted December 14, 2016 I'm pretty sure declarer can have: AQKJ9Q9xxxAKx Not totally clear whether this is more likely than the examples where declarer misses heart J9 and guesses poorly. It would be good to know if partner tends to lead low from JTxxx from a weak hand. I would not lead the J if I had length usually so I might well play for manudude's construction, but not sure what would be standard practice to lead from a 1 count here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cherdano Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 It would be good to know if partner tends to lead low from JTxxx from a weak hand. I would not lead the J if I had length usually so I might well play for manudude's construction, but not sure what would be standard practice to lead from a 1 count here.It's JT9xx - I think leading the J is normal. (Not saying it is right, just what most would do.) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fluffy Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Is upgrading 19 counts that common on that side of the ocean?, upgrading to 1NT is one thing, as it is a massive winner as an opening, but 2NT "slam killer" opening is one of the worst from the natural system in my opinion (does someone have actual data?). It is one of the reasons I wanted to try strong club. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrAce Posted December 16, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Is upgrading 19 counts that common on that side of the ocean?, upgrading to 1NT is one thing, as it is a massive winner as an opening, but 2NT "slam killer" opening is one of the worst from the natural system in my opinion (does someone have actual data?). It is one of the reasons I wanted to try strong club. Where this hand was played, upgrading 19 is very common. It was not played in USA though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhantomSac Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 I think the HQ is a better shot than them winning the SQ with AQ doubleton + a random upgrade (probably depends on 2N bidder). This is largely due to me thinking that they will misguess hearts a large amount of the time when I do hit the heart holding I want, esp if I don't tank forever before playing the HQ since it is very natural to try it with QJ9x(x) of hearts, and with our actual hand we might well play spades (especially if we didn't have the CJ). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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