Play problem from free daily tourney - MP

[phoenix214]

I was surprised about the number of people who went down in this one - decided to share the board.

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Lead is CQ,

Scoring is MP.

Plan the play - in the case opps are GIB, but it should not matter much.

[MrAce]

Why are you surprised? If someone is over ruffing 4th ♠ from doubleton hearts you go down.

If you take ♠ finesse you could perhaps make, but then you go down when it is off and losing 3 black tricks + a trump.

 

Assume you played for spade ruffs, you can also go down when 3 trump holder over ruffs 4th spade with 8 of ♥ and they cash 2 clubs and play 4th club one of them ruffing with J or Q and they get a trump promo.

[alok c]

2.♦A

3.Ruff a ♦

4 & 5.AK♥

6.Sk

7.Ruff a D

8.SA

9.Ruff aS

10.Ruff aD hoping H3-2,D4-3,last D with West or last H with East.

[nige1]

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phoenix214 writes "I was surprised about the number of people who went down in this one - decided to share the board. Lead is CQ, Scoring is MP. Plan the play - in the case opps are GIB, but it should not matter much."

 

 

My guess. Duck ♣Q lead (key-play). Win ♣ continuation with ♣A. Cash ♠KA (both follow low?), ruff a ♠. Cash ♦A and ruff a♦.

- If ♠ Q has dropped, then you can succeed against some 4-1 trump breaks: Cash ♠J discarding a ♣. Whatever defenders do, you can cash a top trump and ruff a ♣ later.

- If ♠Q hasn't dropped, then lead 4th ♠.

- if LHO discards, then ruff in dummy.

- If LHO covers or ruffs, then discard a ♣ (loser-on-loser) hoping to ruff a ♣ later.

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