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Save the slam or try to defeat?


Fluffy

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I'd say the maths tell you to defend as it's a typical 'bounce' and I've no reason to suppose we're not going for 1100.

On the other hand West has a likely void so partners defensive trick may not exist. So could be wrong.

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Given that I expect west to ruff the opening spade lead I have at least 1 trump trick and a bit of a shot to have 2 if the entries to the dummy/spots work out.

 

Sure they might make it but partner did bid 1, not 2 spades and if I dive and it's wrong, it's off to the partnership desk.

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Pass

 

If 6 is a make, I'll tip my hat to the opponents and move on to the next hand.

 

LOTT says 19 trumps minimum between both sides, and 20 possible. If 6 makes, that suggests 6 x is down 5 or 4 respectively.

 

At IMPs, I'd rather explain sitting for 6 with some prospect of beating it than taking an unsure sac and gifting the opponents IMPs when 6 goes down.

 

I like the defensive prospects of the hand. Declarer is likely going to be forced to ruff the opening lead. That may assure the K sets up. Your hand is ruffing behind dummy if aren't running.

 

At MPs, sacrificing when 6 makes may be getting you almost as bad a score as sitting unless everyone else is bidding slam also. (In an average field, there will be some modest pairs who'll surely have trouble bidding it.) It's sure to get you a bad score when the slam goes down.

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