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A third seat hand


luis

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  • 4 weeks later...

2HE weak 2 - not mistake ;D. Hope my p know modern style and dont raise my preempt after he passed :).

By the way i already had same board at tournament. I opened 2SP weak with singleton from 3th pos no vul, LHO dbl and my p raise to 3SP... I already expect i receive deserved zero, but RHO continue with side suit. Final contract was slam from opps. I lead SP, p take A, return another SP and I ruff for -1. Good result of course. My p had 7 cards FIT in SP, may be it was lowest raise in bridge history with same fit ::).

Misho

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I did a little experiment with this hand. Using the bridge program Jack (v2.02), I set it up so that South and West had passes and North had the given hand, then I dealt 9 hands and saw how the bidding might go with each of four bids by North (Pass, 1S, 2S or 3S). I didn't try either of the psyches suggested (1NT or 2H) because there would be too many judgement calls in the bidding.

 

If North started with a pass, I assumed he would come in at the two level (if it looked right) but not the three level. For South, I assumed that he would assume a 5 card suit for a 2S pre-empt, and a 6 card suit for a 3S pre-empt. I let Jack bid the East/West hands to simulate playing against a reasonable, but not expert, pair.

 

The raw scores were as follows (all scores are double dummy results).

 

 

Pass  1S   2S   3S

-620  -620  -620  -620

+100  -140  -50  -100

+110  +110  -110  -150

+420  +420  +420  +420

+140  +140  -50  -50

-660  -620/-500  -600  -600

-130  +140  +140  +500

+100  +140  -50  -50

-650  -650  -650  -200

 

The choice in row 6 is because I genuinely couldn't decide whether North would sacrifice over 4H.

 

I realise 9 hands is not a very large sample, but this sort of experiment takes a while per hand!

 

Now I have these results, I am not entirely sure what, if anything, they show! Assuming this is a representative sample, what does the data suggest?

 

Eric

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Hi Eric,

 

IF this data had been representative, ithad shown, that in this particular hand 3 Spade is a clear winner, followed by 1 Spade and that the worst bid is 2 Spade...

 

Kind Regards

 

Roland

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Hi Eric,

 

IF this data had been representative, ithad shown, that in this particular hand 3 Spade is a clear winner, followed by 1 Spade and that the worst bid is 2 Spade...

 

Kind Regards

 

Roland

 

 

What about "Pass"?

 

Have you calculated using absolute scores, or IMPs, or what?

 

Eric

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