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2016 NFL Thread


mgoetze

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The Tennessee Titans have traded the first overall pick to the Los Angeles Rams.

 

To get the top pick from the Titans, the Rams gave up their first-round pick this year (No. 15 overall), their first-round pick next year, both of their second-round picks this year (their own and the one they got from the Eagles in the Sam Bradford/Nick Foles trade) and their third-round pick next year. The Titans are also throwing in their fourth-round pick and sixth-round pick this year.

 

So seven picks, including two first and two second rounders. The Rams had better hope this quarterback they're targetting is at least as good as Robert Griffin III.

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So seven picks, including two first and two second rounders. The Rams had better hope this quarterback they're targetting is at least as good as Robert Griffin III.

Yeah, trading away multiple picks for one player or pick is almost always a losing proposition.

 

I don't even know who it is they think is worth that much. But I don't really need to know. Whoever it is, is not worth it.

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So seven picks, including two first and two second rounders. The Rams had better hope this quarterback they're targetting is at least as good as Robert Griffin III.

I think you may have read that wrong. The Rams are not giving up 7 picks for 1; they are giving up 5 picks for 3.

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And usually in sports trading the rule of thumb is whoever gets the most valuable player/resource is the one that wins the trade. Because quality trumps quantity. The danger with trading a lot of value for one pick is all your eggs in one basket. If there is an injury or a player that doesn't translate as well, that is a huge hit. But conversely, if the player lives up to the billing, likely they'll have been thought to clearly win this deal.
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And usually in sports trading the rule of thumb is whoever gets the most valuable player/resource is the one that wins the trade. Because quality trumps quantity. The danger with trading a lot of value for one pick is all your eggs in one basket. If there is an injury or a player that doesn't translate as well, that is a huge hit. But conversely, if the player lives up to the billing, likely they'll have been thought to clearly win this deal.

Yes, if they get Andrew Luck, it's probably fine. If they get RG3, well, ...

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I think both teams won--assuming the QB picked by the Rams can be That Guy. They are in different conferences; all the Rams need is a QB; Tennessee needs much, much more. So the multiple picks, if handled well, could be the key to the Titans' 3-5 year plan, while the first overall, if he produces, could be the key to LA's fairly short-term success.

 

Then, of course, there is the argument that for the Rams the trade was less about players and more about ownership making a splash to sell a bunch of tickets in LA.

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The Eagles will give up their first-round pick (eighth overall), their third (77th) and fourth (100th), along with their 2017 first-rounder and their 2018 second-rounder. They will get the Browns’ fourth-rounder in 2017 as well as the second pick.

Quite the ransom.

 

Personally, I think the Browns have hired some pretty smart people.

 

The question is, will Haslam have the patience to let those people implement a long-term plan? Given his track record.....

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