andrei Posted March 28, 2016 Report Share Posted March 28, 2016 IMPs [hv=pc=n&s=sq2hk742daqj82ckq&n=sajhajt5dkt3ct832&d=s&v=0&b=11&a=1np2cp2hp3s(agrees%20H%2C%20slam%20inv)p4c(q)p4d(q)p4np5hppp]266|200[/hv] Lead 9♦. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Finch Posted March 28, 2016 Report Share Posted March 28, 2016 I think the chance of hearts 4-1 AND the spade finesse wrong, given there was no double of 3S, is lower than the chance that the opening lead was a singleton and RHO has the ace of clubs. However, RHO's card at trick 1 is relevant - if RHO plays the 7, I need to understand more about oppo's signalling methods. Many would play suit preference opposite shortage, so if I am prepared to trust that, I am more inclined to finesse hearts, into LHO. I am assuming they don't lead top from 4 low, but that is also worth confirming.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrahamJson Posted March 29, 2016 Report Share Posted March 29, 2016 This does seem simple. If trumps are 3-2 then you need to guess right, if 4-1 you can only succeed if you finesse against LHO. Yes, you might go one more down if RHO wins and gives a ruff, but that is a minor point. There is also a minor inference that as LHO did not lead a trump then he might have the Q. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fourdad Posted March 29, 2016 Report Share Posted March 29, 2016 the play of the hand is the wrong question....why are you in 5h? Slam does not add up from the moment the opening bid is made. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelandakh Posted March 29, 2016 Report Share Posted March 29, 2016 This does seem simple. If trumps are 3-2 then you need to guess right,I seem to be having some counting difficulties today. If trumps are 3-2 then there appear to be 11 tricks by banging down ♥AK and throwing a spade on a diamond. That the deal appears on BBF naturally makes the 4-1 break more likely but in real life it seems to be against the odds to play for that while allowing yourself to go down on a decent proportion of the 3-2 hands. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrahamJson Posted March 29, 2016 Report Share Posted March 29, 2016 On my iPad I can only see the bidding up to 4NT. I assumed that the final contract was 6H, hence my comments. Even in 5H taking the finesse through W looks right. If it loses E cannot attach spades so you can still discard one on the diamonds. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelandakh Posted March 30, 2016 Report Share Posted March 30, 2016 Even in 5H taking the finesse through W looks right. If it loses E cannot attach spades so you can still discard one on the diamonds.Unfortunately ♥Q, ♣A and a ♦ ruff comes to 3, so the discard does you no good when the lead was a singleton. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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