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If a player at this level does not appreciate the wisdom in wank's post, may I suggest a study of Kit Woolsey. Matchpoints. If you have the first edition, the 2015 edition does not contain much new material, so it might be superfluous.
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Another great book on matchpoints with a good section on choice of games is David Bird. Winning Duplicate Tactics. Toronto: Master Point Press, 2014. It is also oriented, like the Woolsey work cited above, to intermediates and advanced players. Although the editorial material in Amazon and at other booksellers indicate this is an introductory work for bright beginners, nothing could be further from the truth. It is for those developing the skills to be one of the top dogs at a good bridge club, where many have substantial tournament experience, or to improve their tournament MP odds of winning. I would recommend this Bird book to most intermediate+ players, especially to those who already have a copy of the older edition of Woolsey's work.
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Any game of % (like bridge) is bound to have time where things are anti-favorite. 67% chance of 32 heart split means 33% chance they will not split. You got unlucky and are in a totally normal spot. Life happens and be happy with your bidding.

Most people round the 67.83% up to 68% rather than truncate down to 67%. It is scientifically sound and eve the accountants do it.

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I down graded it to 67 mainly because lho raised clubs making it slightly less likely the suit will split 32 :)))))))))))))

But the club raise increases the chance of an even split in clubs, so it might make it slightly more likely.

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