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To balance or not to balance


  

38 members have voted

  1. 1. Your call (IMP, game all)

    • Pass (Clear cut)
    • Pass (Borderline)
    • 3D (Borderline)
    • 3D (Clear cut)
    • Other
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I think we have to pass, since balancing at imps at the 3-level, in this situation, should be about finding a game if possible, and we have real reason to fear that game isn't possible.

 

We cannot double since we risk a 4-2 or bad 5-2 major suit fit, and certainly can't double then pull a major, at any level to diamonds, without suggesting a MUCH stronger hand.

 

Bidding 3 on this suit and hand will make it difficult to reach 3N when it is right: catch partner with AKx in diamonds and a side A, and there is little chance he can bid 3N. Meanwhile, 11 tricks in diamonds is a long way away.

 

Opener rates to hold a decent suit for a 1st seat red pre-empt, and may well have an entry. xxx Ax x KQ109xxx is a clear 3 call in my books. Thus 3N by us is a huge gamble.

 

As against that, this may be a misfit hand with RHO sitting with a stack and very short clubs. AQxx QJxxx AJ10x void is a hand on which one passes smoothly, dreaming of a balance :D

 

I never advise passing out of fear, if there is a plausible upside, but this one has little upside and seems like a clear pass.

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You could sell me a 3 overcall against opponents who play weak preempts in the minors (a style I strongly disagree with at these colours).

 

But against most people I would pass. If I bid 3 and follow through with 3NT over 3M, I will make it a superficially sufficient amount of the time, but the problem is that when I do go down, it will often be by four or five tricks. :(

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