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If I X and partenr doesn't bid , I will have to lie about my stength when I rebid, and we could miss a (potentially challenging) 3NT, whereas if I bid 2NT and we belong in 4, then partenr will be strong enough to Stayman and find out about the fit.

 

So I'll put the 7 in my and bid a 18-19 2NT with this 4324 hand.

 

On the deal, partner will probably raise to 3, which I will make on a lead. On a lead and continuations, it is not over yet (I just lack the ten), but I will probably fail on lead and switch by RHO. But we've been in worse games before.

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If I X and partenr doesn't bid , I will have to lie about my stength when I rebid, and we could miss a (potentially challenging) 3NT, whereas if I bid 2NT and we belong in 4, then partenr will be strong enough to Stayman and find out about the fit.

 

It depends on what your NT ranges are in the balancing seat. Over 1H I think it's normal to keep the balance fairly wide ranging, something like 12-15 HCP, while it might be a point lower at the top end over 1C (because you have more space).

 

Another consideration is that the only time I plan is rebid 2NT is when partner responders 2D, in which case I don't mind downgrading this hand slightly with a singleton in partner's long suit and no trick source.

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