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If a lead looks like a singleton....


  

14 members have voted

  1. 1. What do you play at trick 1?



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I'd hop Ace. Kxx is a dangerous lead since LHO has no information about the J and it's likely dummy is coming down with the A. If they led from Kx, WDO.

 

In addition a lead away from a K in an unbid suit is safer than a bid suit and I think LHO has the cK.

 

I'll play LHO for 3415 and hook the spade and either make 5 or fail in 4. This looks like a normal contract that even the bunnies will reach.

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Finesse for me. There doesn't seem to be enough information from the auction and lead to conclude the diamond is a singleton (opener may only have 3). Do we think our opponent doubled with 2-5-1--5 or 2-4-1-6? For the first, wouldn't unusual NT be a better bid? And for the 2nd wouldn't a 2C overcall be better?
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Can the 2 be from 742 according to opponent's agreements? Is LHO known to routinely lead from 742?

 

I'll go A if LHO leading from 742 is possible and low otherwise. If LHO does have 742 it's likely to look much better than leading away from the K, the A or the Q.

 

I think a 4-0 diamond split is almost as likely as a singleton on the left.

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Because west doubled he's more likely to hold the A, so Dk ruff heart to the A ruff is less of a fear than if they hadn't doubled. Could still happen but for East to hold Kand A and west to double would be just cruel. I expect trick 1 to get ruffed some of the time too so rising Ace could be doubly fatal.
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Well, I took the majority opinion and hopped up. It did not end well.

 

[hv=http://www.bridgebase.com/tools/handviewer.html?bbo=y&lin=pn|manudude03,~~M43237,~~M43235,~~M43236|st%7C%7Cmd%7C4S79JKH45QKD3TJAC2%2CS3456QH238JDC4567%2CS28TAH9D5689QC9QA%2C%7Crh%7C%7Cah%7CBoard%2010%7Csv%7Cb%7Cmb%7Cp%7Cmb%7C1D%7Can%7CMinor%20suit%20opening%20--%203%2B%20%21D%3B%2011-21%20HCP%3B%20%7Cmb%7Cp%7Cmb%7C1S%7Can%7COne%20over%20one%20--%204%2B%20%21S%3B%206%2B%20total%20points%20%7Cmb%7Cd%7Can%7CTwo%20suit%20takeout%20--%204%2B%20%21C%3B%205-%20%21D%3B%204%2B%20%21H%3B%205-%20%21S%3B%2011-%20HCP%3B%2012%20total%20points%20%7Cmb%7C3S%7Can%7CJump%20raise%20--%203%2B%20%21D%3B%204%2B%20%21S%3B%2016-18%20total%20%7Cmb%7Cp%7Cmb%7C4S%7Can%7C4%2B%20%21S%3B%208%2B%20HCP%3B%209-14%20total%20points%20%7Cmb%7Cp%7Cmb%7Cp%7Cmb%7Cp%7Cpc%7CD2%7Cpc%7CDA%7Cpc%7CS4%7Cpc%7CD5%7Cpc%7CH8%7Cpc%7CH9%7Cpc%7CHA%7Cpc%7CH4%7Cpc%7CDK%7Cpc%7CD3%7Cpc%7CC7%7Cpc%7CD6%7Cpc%7CD7%7Cpc%7CDJ%7Cpc%7CS5%7Cpc%7CD8%7Cpc%7CC4%7Cpc%7CCA%7Cpc%7CC3%7Cpc%7CC2%7Cpc%7CS2%7Cpc%7CH6%7Cpc%7CSK%7Cpc%7CS6%7Cpc%7CSJ%7Cpc%7CS3%7Cpc%7CS8%7Cpc%7CC8%7Cpc%7CS7%7Cpc%7CSQ%7Cpc%7CSA%7Cpc%7CHT%7Cpc%7CC9%7Cpc%7CCT%7Cpc%7CS9%7Cpc%7CC5%7Cpc%7CHK%7Cpc%7CH2%7Cpc%7CCQ%7Cpc%7CH7%7Cpc%7CHQ%7Cpc%7CH3%7Cpc%7CD9%7Cpc%7CD4%7Cpc%7CDT%7Cpc%7CC6%7Cpc%7CDQ%7Cpc%7CCK%7Cpc%7CST%7Cpc%7CCJ%7Cpc%7CH5%7Cpc%7CHJ%7C]399|300[/hv]

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