Phil Posted June 4, 2015 Report Share Posted June 4, 2015 Posting from phone so no diagram, sorry. KJ976AQ965254 A53AKQKAJT872 IMPS. The auction is 2N-6N. Lead:HJ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fluffy Posted June 4, 2015 Report Share Posted June 4, 2015 I would play on diamonds and spade finesse, when ♠J works we need diamonds 4-2 or better, a bit more than 40%, when it loses we still have ♦3-3 or ♦J10 falling for another extra 20% or so, so over 60%. Playing on clubs we need ♣3-2 with a honnor onside, 3/4 or 68% should be around 51%, we can't even catch ♣KQxx onside as we will need to cash ♦Q while on dummy, and might fall for west's trap if he ducks the club from ♣Kx(x) 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
helene_t Posted June 4, 2015 Report Share Posted June 4, 2015 Boring plan: Spade to the king, club hook, overtake diamond, another club hook. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goingoren Posted June 4, 2015 Report Share Posted June 4, 2015 club hook should work 75%? of the time and be enough for small slam. lots of entries so i would go with this approach edit : i like fluffy's plan better Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhilKing Posted June 4, 2015 Report Share Posted June 4, 2015 I would play on diamonds and spade finesse, when ♠J works we need diamonds 4-2 or better, a bit more than 40%, when it loses we still have ♦3-3 or ♦J10 falling for another extra 20% or so, so over 60%. Playing on clubs we need ♣3-2 with a honnor onside, 3/4 or 68% should be around 51%, we can't even catch ♣KQxx onside as we will need to cash ♦Q while on dummy, and might fall for west's trap if he ducks the club from ♣Kx(x) I don't think it is as clear as that. Say we overtake a diamond and hook a club and, if it holds cash the club ace. If West blows we still have some play for the contract by hooking the spade (JTx West or JT tight in either hand). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
han Posted June 4, 2015 Report Share Posted June 4, 2015 In Fluffy's line you have an extra chance in clubs when the spade finesse wins but diamonds don't split. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trick13 Posted June 4, 2015 Report Share Posted June 4, 2015 club hook should work 75%? of the time and be enough for small slam. lots of entries so i would go with this approach edit : i like fluffy's plan better Club hook is only 57.09%. You lose to every 4=1,1=4 break except 9-KQ64, 5=0, 0=5, and 3=2/2=3 with KQ off-side.If your 7♣ was the 9♣ then it's 68.39%. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhilKing Posted June 4, 2015 Report Share Posted June 4, 2015 Club hook is only 57.09%. You lose to every 4=1,1=4 break except 9-KQ64, 5=0, 0=5, and 3=2/2=3 with KQ off-side.If your 7♣ was the 9♣ then it's 68.39%. Stiff 9 doesn't help you either, since you have to set up a diamond trick in order to pick up the putative KQxx. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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