wank Posted April 26, 2015 Report Share Posted April 26, 2015 You're 54 up so opps might be swinging... 64J543J85Aqj8 All vul Pass on left, 1s from p, 3nt on right, you smack it. Your lead. [hv=pc=n&s=sa6hakq9543d92c72&w=s54hj762dj85caqj9&n=sjt92htda64c86543&e=skq873h8dkqt73ckt&d=n&v=b&b=13&a=p1s3ndppp]399|300[/hv] opp led a low heart which as you can see was monumentally unsuccessful. most people thought this was a terrible choice. i thought there was a bit of resulting going on and it was a very difficult decision. don't bother commenting on the 3nt bid - we were trying to generate swings to get our imps back. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhantomSac Posted April 26, 2015 Report Share Posted April 26, 2015 It's tough, if you lead the CA you might set up their 9th that way, but if you lead a spade (or a heart) they might run 9 on you when you had lots of cashing tricks. In a book it might be that the DJ is the only winning lead lol. On a spade lead partner might not find the right shift also if spade over club through is necessary (they will be pretty blind). I would probably just lead the ace of clubs. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1eyedjack Posted April 26, 2015 Report Share Posted April 26, 2015 I reckon declarer has a source of tricks plus Spade guard (or 2) The source of tricks is Diamonds. If I were going to lead Clubs I think I would choose Queen. I don't expect Ace to crash singleton King, and I have no entries. If King is in dummy they may hold up a round But I kind of fancy a heart. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eagles123 Posted April 26, 2015 Report Share Posted April 26, 2015 I would just lead a spade but this basically seems like a guess between a spade and a club? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eagles123 Posted April 26, 2015 Report Share Posted April 26, 2015 I reckon declarer has a source of tricks plus Spade guard (or 2) The source of tricks is Diamonds. If I were going to lead Clubs I think I would choose Queen. I don't expect Ace to crash singleton King, and I have no entries. If King is in dummy they may hold up a round But I kind of fancy a heart. could just as easily be hearts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nige1 Posted April 27, 2015 Report Share Posted April 27, 2015 All vul ♠ 6 4 ♥ J 5 4 3 ♦ J 8 5 ♣ A Q J 8You're 54 up so opps might be swinging...Pass on left, 1s from p, 3nt on right, you smack it. Your lead. IMO, ♦5 (Hoping to endplay RHO) = 10, ♥5 = 9, ♣ A = 8, ♠ 6 = 7. RHO has, at best, something like♠ K x ♥ A ♦ A K Q x x x x ♣ K T x or ♠ A ♥ Q x x ♦ A K Q x x x x ♣ K x or ♠ x x x ♥ A x ♦ A K Q x x x x ♣ K x (a cunning bluff) or♠ AQ ♥ A K Q T x x x ♦ x x ♣ K x less likely♠A ♥ J x ♦ A K Q x x x x x x ♣ x x in which case, you apologize for your ♦ lead. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1eyedjack Posted April 27, 2015 Report Share Posted April 27, 2015 could just as easily be heartsCould be hearts, but I double "just as easily". I have one more hearts than Diamonds, and if hearts is his source of tricks he may contemplate 4H as an alternative to 3N when he might not contemplate 5D. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KurtGodel Posted April 27, 2015 Report Share Posted April 27, 2015 I reckon declarer has a source of tricks plus Spade guard (or 2) The source of tricks is Diamonds. If I were going to lead Clubs I think I would choose Queen. I don't expect Ace to crash singleton King, and I have no entries. If King is in dummy they may hold up a round But I kind of fancy a heart. The problem with leading the queen is that declarer could have something like A xx AKQTxxx Kxx, and now when you lead the queen the contract is cold, this has all the disadvantages of lead the A♣ but none of the advantages. Whereas if you had led the ace you could now switch to hearts. I don't think a spade can be right, it could easily be that declarer has a positional holding but no good way of getting to dummy. It would suck to lead a spade if declarer had something like AQx x AKQTxxx Kx. I think I will just try a diamond and hope that declarer cannot cash. Could easily be wrong though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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