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your lead vs. slam


  

16 members have voted

  1. 1. which suit to lead?

    • club
    • diamond
      0
    • heart
      0
    • spade


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[hv=pc=n&w=sj84hq6d9732ckq53&d=e&v=0&b=14&a=p2cp2dp2np3dp4hp4sp4np5dp6hppp]133|200|

Matchpoints

2nt = 22-24

3d = transfer

4s = cue bid

4n = RKC

5D = one key card[/hv]

IMO K = 10, J = 7, 4 = 6, 2 = 5, 6 = 3.
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If we still have even a little hope in the game we are in, then K. If not, lead small and try to get into bulletin or at least have a story to tell and brag, when dummy has something like J9xxx and declarer has AK8x + a side loser.http://www.bridgebase.com/forums/public/style_emoticons/default/tongue.gif

 

Joke aside, K is normal as everyone else said. But KQ may be our only 2 tricks behind 2 opener unless we lead them.

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Well, I led the CK and it didn't work out. The main problem was that declarer managed to drop the doubleton HQ offside missing 5 trumps, having super accepted with AKx. If he had finessed obv the CK would have worked fine. No lead wins if declarer picks up the HQ. On the actual hand the CK didn't really blow anything since declarer had enough pitches to only lose one club, but on another day it could have worked out really badly (with opps having 9/10 cd heart fit and dropping Q more normal), as partner had a small stiff club and KQ were behind the ace. Actual hand aside, I just didn't know whether my lead was "normal" or bad, the problem is I know pretty much nothing about dummy's hand shape from the bidding other than 5 cd hearts.
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You're holding 8 points. On this bidding your partner is unlikely to hold an ace or king.

 

I'm thinking your best chance is to lead KC and hope declarer guesses heart wrongly.

 

If you lead anything else, there's always the chance he might pitch away the club loser after he messes up trumps.

 

On the other hand, if you really think they have a 9 card heart fit, then perhaps avoiding the club lead is best and hope for 2 club tricks to appear. But I'm pretty sure in most of those layouts declarer will have some sort of strip end-play available, so it might not matter that much.

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