Free Posted December 14, 2014 Report Share Posted December 14, 2014 [hv=pc=n&s=sqj9h83dj865ckt85&d=w&v=b&b=4&a=1d(4%2B!d, can be balanced)p1np3nppp]133|200[/hv] Your lead? Is it obvious or rather close? Edit: imp scoring Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
akwoo Posted December 14, 2014 Report Share Posted December 14, 2014 [hv=pc=n&s=sqj9h83dj865ckt85&d=w&v=b&b=4&a=1d(4%2B!d, can be balanced)p1np3nppp]133|200[/hv] Your lead? Is it obvious or rather close? Close enough that I ask for the form of scoring, though I'm not yet sure that influences my answer. EDIT:Now that I've thought about it, I lead 5♣ at IMPsI lead Q♠ at MPs at a tournamentI lead 5♣ at MPs at the club, because it's more likely contracts will vary, and also because if contracts are the same, I have good chances of gaining later in the play and so should just make the field lead to reduce variance. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kgr Posted December 14, 2014 Report Share Posted December 14, 2014 [hv=pc=n&s=sqj9h83dj865ckt85&d=w&v=b&b=4&a=1d(4%2B!d, can be balanced)p1np3nppp]133|200[/hv] Your lead? Is it obvious or rather close?H8. Second choice SQ. (Not obvious) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fluffy Posted December 14, 2014 Report Share Posted December 14, 2014 It takes me a milisecond to lead a spade, I must be missing something. To akwoo: are you aware that the 1NT bid implies clubs? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cherdano Posted December 14, 2014 Report Share Posted December 14, 2014 ♠Q. Seems best for both safety and trying to develop tricks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nige1 Posted December 14, 2014 Report Share Posted December 14, 2014 [hv=pc=n&s=sqj9h83dj865ckt85&d=w&v=b&b=4&a=1d(4%2B!d, can be balanced)p1np3nppp]133|200| Your lead? Is it obvious or rather close? [/hv] IMO ♠ = 10, ♥ = 8, ♣ = 6, ♦ = 5. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesleyC Posted December 14, 2014 Report Share Posted December 14, 2014 ♠Q looks pretty obvious to me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ggwhiz Posted December 14, 2014 Report Share Posted December 14, 2014 Partner couldn't chirp 1♥, the 1nt bidder doesn't usually have a 4-card major (unless it's me with a 4 triple) makes the ♠Q obvious imo. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whereagles Posted December 14, 2014 Report Share Posted December 14, 2014 ♠Q seems like the best shot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the hog Posted December 15, 2014 Report Share Posted December 15, 2014 S Q. I don't see the difficulty here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wank Posted December 15, 2014 Report Share Posted December 15, 2014 it's not close. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
silvr bull Posted December 15, 2014 Report Share Posted December 15, 2014 This isn't at all clear to me. Any suit (including a D) could work out best. If my hand was weaker (with the CJ instead of the K for example), I would lead the top H in hopes of hitting partner's strong suit. A S is my last choice because there is too much risk that dummy might have ATx or KTx of S, and my S lead could give away the setting trick. With this hand, I lead the C5 in hopes of taking 3 Cs plus a S plus a D. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whereagles Posted December 15, 2014 Report Share Posted December 15, 2014 Any suit can always work out best. Just that a minor suit lead has a much smaller probability to be the winner. At least it looks so to me :) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the hog Posted December 15, 2014 Report Share Posted December 15, 2014 A C lead should be worth zero in Nigel's ratings. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jinksy Posted December 15, 2014 Report Share Posted December 15, 2014 At IMPs a ♠ lead stands out a mile. At MPs I consider a more passive ♥ lead, then probably lead a ♠ anyway. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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