Jump to content

Invite game?


Jinksy

  

36 members have voted

  1. 1. How optimistic do you feel



Recommended Posts

 

Do you think partner will bid on if you are allowed to whisper to him (after his 2 call): "I have a club void (that is, a 3 suited hand), and 9 HCP"?

 

Absolutely. Construct some 9 HCP hands with a club void and I think you will agree. His clubs are also not wasted, a likely line is to set up his hand via a ruffing club hook.

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Very true. I didn't inspect the yellow tab and thought it was 15-17 no trump.

 

To be honest I would be completely shocked if game was 96 % opposite a strong NT lol, 96 % is a lot. Thats better than being in 7N on AKQ AKQTxx xxx xx opp xxx xxxx AKQ AK. I think something else went wrong but good to know you had partner at 3 points more than they had!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It seems as if Jinksy and his partner each made decisions which complemented each other well this time. Even though a five-card major is acceptable in their style for a 12-14 NT opening, it would not have occurred to me to do that with such a suit-oriented hand. So, we would open 1H and get to 4H by North. Oh, well.

 

Yeah, we don't have a choice in our system. The only other possibility would be a 2H opening, but that would significantly misrepresent the shape of the hand. At least P knows this is one of your possible holdings for a NT bid.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

You're gonna laugh at me but 9 points + 3 for the void with 4 trumps and an 8 card fit. I think that's GOREN? (add infinite with a 9 card fit and 4 trumps for a void). That gets you to 12, your partner has 12-14, so in support points you probably have an invite. However since the downsides of inviting (can't show your shortness, may induce them to double when things are bad, more likely to induce a trump lead, etc) outweigh the gains (stopping in 3H opposite a minimum), just bid game.

 

If you really want some way to quantify what to do here, I think using support points is fine (+1 for doubleton, +2 for singleton, +3 for void with 8 trumps. With 9 trumps +1 +3 +5. Add less if you have only 3 trumps, 3 trumps and a void def not worth +5 obviously, even opp a 6 card suit.) So with a singleton and 7 points and 4 trumps you have a minimum limit raise opp a 1M opener, etc, it's really not that far off from accurate.

 

Nobody should laugh. Goren's support point analysis worked 50 years ago, and it is still a good basis for an initial evaluation. The finer points of the analysis were also known back in the day - eg. lotsa trumps and nothing wasted in the opponents suits is good. This just had not been demonstrated using a computer or codified yet.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Nobody should laugh. Goren's support point analysis worked 50 years ago, and it is still a good basis for an initial evaluation. The finer points of the analysis were also known back in the day - eg. lotsa trumps and nothing wasted in the opponents suits is good. This just had not been demonstrated using a computer or codified yet.

Ah, come on. Give em an opportunity to laugh at one of our best contributors, whether it is deserved or not.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Ah, come on. Give em an opportunity to laugh at one of our best contributors, whether it is deserved or not.

 

Somebody must have taught Lew. Lew taught Bob. Bob taught Justin. Justin is doing a wonderful job trying to teach others. Just trying to clear away some of the BS.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Somebody must have taught Lew. Lew taught Bob. Bob taught Justin. Justin is doing a wonderful job trying to teach others. Just trying to clear away some of the BS.

Nobody taught Mathe anything. He either agreed with his "forefathers" or he didn't. :rolleyes: And it didn't matter whether he was right or not. Things were the way he said they were.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'm a blaster also, especially at teams. Non vulnerable, the scoring methodology says it's about even whether to bid game vs. part score at IMPs. But making thin games is one of the keys to winning at IMPs.

 

If, as one previous poster stated, you add points for the void, you've got enough to bid game. By LTC, you have a 7 loser hand opposite approximately a 7 loser opener, so you figure to make about 10 tricks ([7+7 actual losers] - 24 possible losers = -10 losers or 10 winners).

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'm a blaster also, especially at teams. Non vulnerable, the scoring methodology says it's about even whether to bid game vs. part score at IMPs. But making thin games is one of the keys to winning at IMPs.

 

If, as one previous poster stated, you add points for the void, you've got enough to bid game. By LTC, you have a 7 loser hand opposite approximately a 7 loser opener, so you figure to make about 10 tricks ([7+7 actual losers] - 24 possible losers = -10 losers or 10 winners).

There is a little more to LTC than that.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think I owe an apology to Jinsky. When I wrote what I wrote in this topic I thought this was a 15-17 NT. I still believe we should bid game, but making another bid than 4 is not as absurd as I said it was, vs weak NT.

 

My bad bro, Sorryhttp://www.bridgebase.com/forums/public/style_emoticons/default/sad.gif I really thought you passed 2 after finding a fit and your pd showed 15-17. I am sure you will agree that in this context passing 2 would be absurd.

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think I owe an apology to Jinsky. When I wrote what I wrote in this topic I thought this was a 15-17 NT. I still believe we should bid game, but making another bid than 4 is not as absurd as I said it was, vs weak NT.

 

My bad bro, Sorryhttp://www.bridgebase.com/forums/public/style_emoticons/default/sad.gif I really thought you passed 2 after finding a fit and your pd showed 15-17. I am sure you will agree that in this context passing 2 would be absurd.

Welcome to the "stepped on my ....." club.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think I owe an apology to Jinsky. When I wrote what I wrote in this topic I thought this was a 15-17 NT. I still believe we should bid game, but making another bid than 4 is not as absurd as I said it was, vs weak NT.

 

My bad bro, Sorryhttp://www.bridgebase.com/forums/public/style_emoticons/default/sad.gif I really thought you passed 2 after finding a fit and your pd showed 15-17. I am sure you will agree that in this context passing 2 would be absurd.

 

No worries, and yeah, I agree :)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

IMO, whatever the holding for Responder at IMP's, his decision to invite, not-invite, or blast should be the same as at Matchpoints. He makes the straight value-based call, and the person being invited is the one who takes form of scoring into account.

 

If both partners are taking the form of scoring into account, there seems to be too many 5-7 Imp donations. When the other team has done the same thing, a push at minus is still a 5-7 Imp opportunity cost.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
×
  • Create New...