gwnn Posted November 11, 2014 Report Share Posted November 11, 2014 It's kind of like NumberWang but with slightly more obscure rules. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qjOZtWZ56lc 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jogs Posted November 12, 2014 Author Report Share Posted November 12, 2014 What game are you guys playing here? Looks interesting. This is my favorite bridge topic for discussion. Where do tricks come from? How arethey generated? Which parameters are best for estimating tricks? Which parametersare easy to use and relatively accurate for measuring tricks? Power and Pattern There are two independent random variables to measure tricks. They are power and pattern.Power is the set of all parameters measuring tricks by using honors and high spot cards.Pattern is the set of all parameters measuring tricks by using the length and shortness of suits. L/W calls power Winning Points. HCP is a parameter of power which is proportionalto tricks. Both trumps and SST are subgroups of pattern. Trumps is the parameter ofpattern which is proportional to tricks. Our tricksE(tricks) = trumps + (HCP-20)/3 + SST Only reliable when expected tricks is 10 or less. Other variables, not included intothis formula, come into play in high level auctions. There's nothing sacred aboutthis formula. This formula gives insight to the number of tricks available. It is a tool. A guideline to assist the evaluation of tricks for the partnership. It certainly isn't a law.In general case the SST is a fractional displacement of the estimates by trumps andHCP. That is the average displacement over a large number of boards. For any specific board SST displacements are measured in integer increments.. Often there is no displacement. Sometimes the displacement is two or more tricks. Singletons and voids aren't worth any number of points. HCP is a subparameter of power. Suit shortness is a subparameter of pattern. Stop adjusting the points. HCP and suit shortness are subparameters of different independent randomvariables. Valuation models should measure the tricks, not points. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwnn Posted November 12, 2014 Report Share Posted November 12, 2014 Also, the plural of parabola is not paraboli (since the singular was not parabolus) but parabolas/parabolae. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fluffy Posted November 12, 2014 Report Share Posted November 12, 2014 In Spannish parabola doesn't only refer to the mathematical curve, but also to the linguistic form in whihc Jesus explained things with tales, when I saw the Op I was expecting some form of tale rather than mathematics :( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kuhchung Posted November 12, 2014 Report Share Posted November 12, 2014 It's kind of like NumberWang but with slightly more obscure rules. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qjOZtWZ56lc Thank you for introducing me to this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whereagles Posted November 12, 2014 Report Share Posted November 12, 2014 parabola, ellipsis and hyperbola are both mathematical curves and figures of speech... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwnn Posted November 12, 2014 Report Share Posted November 12, 2014 Thank you for introducing me to this.np, it's my favourite game show ever. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdeegan Posted November 17, 2014 Report Share Posted November 17, 2014 For goodness sake. Suppose, for the sake of argument, you create a perfect topographical map of anywhere, then you throw a blanket over it. The blanket will reliably do its best to fall into its contours. The same thing is true when fitting a nonlinear curve using least squares. Gauss, Smauss. The more people who use computers, the lower the average IQ of the users. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whereagles Posted November 17, 2014 Report Share Posted November 17, 2014 maybe that's what they call "regression" http://www.bridgebase.com/forums/public/style_emoticons/default/rolleyes.gif 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nige1 Posted November 18, 2014 Report Share Posted November 18, 2014 It's kind of like NumberWang but with slightly more obscure rules. https://www.youtube....h?v=qjOZtWZ56lc I've learnt something interesting. FWIW the correlation coefficient is 0.58645 by my calculations. 5 significant figures? The more people who use computers, the lower the average IQ of the users. Reminds me of what our arithmetic teacher taught us "Every time a Scotsman crosses the border to England, the average IQ of both countries rises" :) When a PC pupil expressed his concern "Mightn't that hurt an Englishman's feelings?", the teacher reassured him "Don't worry, he won't understand it". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
campboy Posted November 18, 2014 Report Share Posted November 18, 2014 5 significant figures?I can give you more if you want. As I said upthread, this isn't a simulation; it's an exact calculation. [edit] The precise value, for anyone who may be interested, is 14574888024790152694633 / 24852706986690307830040. Unless there's a mistake in my program, of course. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kuhchung Posted November 18, 2014 Report Share Posted November 18, 2014 I can give you more if you want. As I said upthread, this isn't a simulation; it's an exact calculation. [edit] The precise value, for anyone who may be interested, is 14574888024790152694633 / 24852706986690307830040. Unless there's a mistake in my program, of course. *ding* That's NumberWang! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kuhchung Posted December 4, 2014 Report Share Posted December 4, 2014 I hate to bump this thread, but gwnn, have you seen this? http://louhuang.com/2048-numberwang/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwnn Posted April 10, 2015 Report Share Posted April 10, 2015 I hate to bump this thread, but gwnn, have you seen this? http://louhuang.com/2048-numberwang/I hate to bump it too but I missed this message last year. yes I have seen it :) it's awesome. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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