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I doubled - what now?


StevenG

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p has something over there leaving in our x after we bid a mere 2h, The problem we have

is figuring out what they have and it starts with trick 1. Did p encourage/discourage or

give count? this is all relevant information as we try to piece together how to proceed.

 

If p gave us no useful information the least damaging play appears to be the heart ace.

If that is ruffed our defensive prospects take a big hit but at least the max number of

tricks it gives up is one. A bigger problem happens if the heart holds the first trick

where a singleton heart with partner is unlikely.

 

FWIW my x of 3c there would be takeout and I would pass with the hand you have wanting to

save my x for the hand where the clu and dia are switched

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Cash Athen lead a small one hoping partner is either singleton or void

in the suit. A 52% chance.

 

So you play declarer for xx or xxx hearts when he bid up to 3 level all by himself, vulnerable, with a hand that he could not open? Unlikely also due to the pass by our pd. If declarer has xx or xxx hearts, he must have a lot of clubs which makes our pd holding a very shapely hand with diamonds and spades, and we know from the lack of opening bid by declarer that our pd holds 3-4 hcp.

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It is also a hand that could not double Timo

 

For some of us, including myself, shortness in opponent suit does not qualify an auto dbl Gonzalo. Especially when i hold 6-7 card clubs. I know this auction does not make sense at all and I can not explain why someone would bid up to 3 level vulnerable with a suit missing AQ, all by himself and not consider opening at the first place. Not 1 not 3...but perhaps you guys are right, idk tbh. Maybe he is one of those who think dbl of hearts must have 4 card spades?

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So you play declarer for xx or xxx hearts when he bid up to 3 level all by himself, vulnerable, with a hand that he could not open? Unlikely also due to the pass by our pd. If declarer has xx or xxx hearts, he must have a lot of clubs which makes our pd holding a very shapely hand with diamonds and spades, and we know from the lack of opening bid by declarer that our pd holds 3-4 hcp.

 

On top of that, there is no hurry to try for a heart ruff.

 

And I am also curious as to why, if we ignore the inferences from partner's pass, the player who has show long clubs is a 52% favourite to two or more hearts. I speak as a non mathematician.

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I first instinct was that the K must be right for it to end up on BBF. Then I thought about whether it was reasonable to find this in reality.

 

Reasonable? I think it's auto to play it if you decide to play spades. After all dummy will establish a heart soon with only entry being A. But I am guessing it's more likely that i misunderstood what you meant to say.

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