lesh Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 [hv=pc=n&s=sj2hkt2d87ckj9876&d=e&v=0&b=14&a=1np2cp2sp3sp4sppp]133|200[/hv] 2. What if 1NT - 2♣ 2♠ - 4♠. Would you change your lead? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whereagles Posted August 2, 2014 Report Share Posted August 2, 2014 Diamond rates to be the statistical winner, by a mile and regardless of auction. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yunling Posted August 3, 2014 Report Share Posted August 3, 2014 ♦ in either auction, regardless of NT range. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Free Posted August 3, 2014 Report Share Posted August 3, 2014 I think it's close between ♦ and ♠, but the auction doesn't really change anything. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trump Echo Posted August 3, 2014 Report Share Posted August 3, 2014 ♦8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lrussell Posted August 3, 2014 Report Share Posted August 3, 2014 DealMaster Pro with Deep Finesse analysis shows diamond best in all casesTrump lead is next best. Best lead IMP (beat contract)Card (1) (2)SJ 30.4% 10.2%S2 30.0% 10.0%HK 21.6% 6.2%HT 28.6% 8.2%H2 30.6% 9.4%D8 38.8% 12.6%CK 18.2% 3.8%CJ 19.0% 4.4%C6 20.4% 4.4% Best lead MP (most tricks)Card (1) (2)SJ 68.6% 80.0%S2 68.6% 79.2%HK 48.6% 49.6%HT 60.0% 60.0%H2 63.0% 63.4%D8 85.0% 89.2%CK 44.2% 47.8%CJ 47.6% 47.3%C6 48.8% 48.6% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whereagles Posted August 3, 2014 Report Share Posted August 3, 2014 why such large difference in imp figures from case 1 to 2? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lrussell Posted August 3, 2014 Report Share Posted August 3, 2014 why such large difference in imp figures from case 1 to 2? Case 1 was an invitational auction. I gave opener 16-17 and responder 8-9. Case 2 responder was strong enough to force game. I gave opener 15-17 and responder 10-14. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdgalt Posted August 3, 2014 Report Share Posted August 3, 2014 The diamond is a passive lead. I like it in the original auction, where responder was tentative and game is likely borderline. In auction 2 responder is more sure of himself, so I prefer an attacking lead, low from the KH. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluechip10 Posted August 4, 2014 Report Share Posted August 4, 2014 Mom always said to lead the unbid major. So deuce of hearts is good enough for me. I can't remember how many times leading from a worthless doubleton gives up a trick or two or three. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whereagles Posted August 5, 2014 Report Share Posted August 5, 2014 Well, that was before the age of computer simulations. These days we know that doubleton leads are significantly better than king underleads. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Free Posted August 5, 2014 Report Share Posted August 5, 2014 Mom isn't always right :P Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whereagles Posted August 5, 2014 Report Share Posted August 5, 2014 women are always right Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Free Posted August 5, 2014 Report Share Posted August 5, 2014 women are always rightOh dear... :rolleyes: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhantomSac Posted August 5, 2014 Report Share Posted August 5, 2014 Well, that was before the age of computer simulations. These days we know that doubleton leads are significantly better than king underleads. I highly doubt computer simulations are what stopped good players from leading from kings into 1N openers on invitational auctions. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neilkaz Posted August 5, 2014 Report Share Posted August 5, 2014 I highly doubt computer simulations are what stopped good players from leading from kings into 1N openers on invitational auctions.Oh you mean that the fact that some good players play this game for a living was a factor as well? :rolleyes: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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