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What's the best line ?


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I play the 3. If E takes the K and a spade back, I play the 5 to the J. If that holds, I can make my 9th trick in diamonds.

If it loses to the Q, spade, and spades turn out to be 5-2, it's a bit harder, but it's probably still safest to try to develop the 9th trick in diamonds.

 

It trick 1 runs to my Q, I can play on hearts (A, K, T).

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I play the 3. If E takes the K and a spade back, I play the 5 to the J. If that holds, I can make my 9th trick in diamonds.

If it loses to the Q, spade, and spades turn out to be 5-2, it's a bit harder, but it's probably still safest to try to develop the 9th trick in diamonds.

 

It trick 1 runs to my Q, I can play on hearts (A, K, T).

 

the spade runs to your Q, you clear the hearts, (I'm not going to reveal who wins until others have tried it) they play another spade, now what ?

 

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Run the spade round to the queen and lead the jack of clubs. If it holds, we can clear the hearts. If it doesn't, we still have an entry with the ten of clubs. We can't afford to clear the hearts immediately as we're squeezed on the 5th heart.

 

edit: that doesn't work, defence has 5 tricks. I guess I agree with fbuijsen's line and we will have to hope the club finesse works.

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Run the spade round to the queen and lead the jack of clubs. If it holds, we can clear the hearts. If it doesn't, we still have an entry with the ten of clubs. We can't afford to clear the hearts immediately as we're squeezed on the 5th heart.

 

edit: that doesn't work, defence has 5 tricks. I guess I agree with fbuijsen's line and we will have to hope the club finesse works.

 

 

 

Actually it does kinda work, just not how you thought.

 

If you lead the J and they duck you're home with 4 hearts 3 or 4 clubs and 2 spades, so they have to win, you now have 2 entries to dummy, if they clear the diamonds, you have to take the heart finesse the right way, any other return you cash the clubs and give up a spade then 2 diamonds, they can't profitably attack hearts and you score 3 spades, 2 hearts, 3 clubs and a diamond.

 

 

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With proper defense this hand needs a lot of luck to make so the

question is go for the luck or hope for an error?? If a high level

game it is probably better to go for the luck. So it seems like

best is

 

trick 1 duck and see what happens in the end we will need the club

finesse because we will squeeze our hand on the run of the hearts

so down 3 is a real possibility but making vulnerable with a 5050

shot is certainly a good trade off.

 

If rho wins and switches to a dia the same club finesse will net us

nine tricks via 3s 2h 3c 1d

 

if rho wins and returns a spade we have 3s and 2h and it seems the best thing to do

is take that same club finesse since if it wins we then can switch to diamonds for

our 9th trick.

 

If trick 1 rides to our Q best might actually be heart A followed by running the

heart J---if rho has the Qxxx they may easily decide to duck to keep us from

winning our 5th heart (it is very difficult to take the heart here with no

clear cut way of defeating our contract). If the J holds (we now have 3 heart

tricks) and if we can score 3s and 3 clubs we have nine so I would play a small

club toward the T (to keep more mystery in the hand (who knows qxxx might even duck

and now we would have 3c 3h and 3s by switching back to spades.

 

If rho wins the heart Q and returns a spade we are back to hoping for 4h 3c and 2s

with the opps winning at most 2d 1s 1h but we risk down 3. when we take the club

finesse since we had to unguard spades and or dia to be able to hold AKJ of clubs

in the end postion.

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So leading J at trick 2 sounds best, they will have a hard time to duck a diamond while keeping comunications open.

What actually happened was very unfortunate.

 

At some point W revoked discarding a diamond from Hxx then realised she should have followed suit, so she HAD to duck and keep communications open as she had a small diamond on the table.

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