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1NT - 4NT


Lord Molyb

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Yep I initially missed the point about the repeated heart finesse before the squeeze.

 

Getting back to the main point of the thread--I can't see how slam is >50% but I am certain 5 of either minor is going down a lot.

 

ps. I missed the fact that west should/could cover the heart 10 but then finishing the minors right away toasts his buns.

 

I bid towards it slowly earlier and would take the money if they bid to the 6 level though.

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ps. I missed the fact that west should/could cover the heart 10 but then finishing the minors right away toasts his buns.

Yes by covering the major suit blockage is dispatched immediately if Q is covered--though as we've seen it can be overcome anyway. I just wouldn't be surprised for many experts to mess up the squeeze due to the major suit entry position and timing issues.

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Simple line: play west for Qxx(x) running 10. Latr cash A to catch stiff King.

East shows out on the first trump but you catch his stiff king of spades. West has 4-5-2-2 so after cashing AK of both minors and finessing the heart twice, you come down to

[hv=pc=n&s=sqjxhatdc&w=st98hqxdc&n=sxxxhdxcx&e=shdc]399|300[/hv]

Cash the QJ and play another. West must win and return a heart into the AT.

If west covers the first heart, win, return to hand and play a low trump towards the J7, finessing against the 8, and concede a spade later.

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