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67% But One Disaster


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Bidding 3 by W obviously an option and a very good option but it lacks the opportunity to punish them when opener has doubleton and 4 card spades. Notice that S did not get in at his first turn. He is trying to get in now thinking that auction will die at 2 level if he does not. Or may be he has solid spades and was trying to sit on 1 NT or planning to double 3 NT (walking the dog kinda) and he is annoyed that we are mentioning the hearts.

 

If i was W and did not remember our agreements on this DBL over 2, if we had any, then i would just take the insurance and bid 3. But if we had an agreement that the double is take out, then i would use it. Colors are very attractive for punishment if our opponent is just bored of passing and looking for action, and pd is aware that i am making a negative double.

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Just use a lebensohld type system here and that solves all of your problems.

It is highly unlikely we want to be in NT unless we have 2 spade stops (and

then we would probably prefer to penalize the vul opps). That means the 2N

bid becomes idle since its natural meaning is probably rendered moot. That

means the x is penalty oriented. We do not want to try and cater to partner

having 4 spades under the spade length ---these anti positional x rarely

work very well.

 

With this hand merely bid 3n POFA that shows game going values and no

spade stopper and let partner decide how to proceed. That will allow you to

save a 3s bid as a self splinter for hearts which can help for slam bidding.

With one spade stop you can bid 2n followed by 3N to show 1 spade stop and

with 2 spade stops maybe just penalize the vul opps rather than worry about

which contract is best for your side (yes having AK tight can indeed work out

poorly so maybe bid 3n then instead of x:))))))))))))))))))))))

 

A bonus from bidding this way you can bid 2n followed by 3s to show a 0544

hand which should allow partner to make a choice of contracts with great precision.

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opener caused the bad result as he passed the T/O with a fit,

he should bid 3H.

I don't think this was posted as an ATB. It seems clear that Responder thought double was takeout and Opener that it was penalty. The traditional meaning of ALL doubles after a natural NT bid was penalty so it would be harsh to criticise Opener without knowing the agreements in play.

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I don't think it is hard to critcize THIS penalty double (assuming it was intended as a penalty double).

 

West knows that his side should be in game. He just doesn't know which game. So he should bid 3. If it turns out that 2x would have been better, c'est la vie.

 

If the double was intended as a take out double, then EW had better get their agreements straightened out. I would play it as a penalty double.

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Unfavorable at MP when an opponent steps in but couldn't immediately it isn't unreasonable to try and get -1 for 200 when you weren't making game and -2 for 500 when you were. Even single dummy on average you'd expect usually 2 tricks in each non-spade suit. And 4 would be less than 50%.
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West knows that his side should be in game.

A balanced 12 opposite a balanced 12, no more than an 8 card fit, and you KNOW you should be in a matchpoint game? You play a different game to me.

 

On this hand it seems that as South did not bid immediately, the hearts are not breaking well. It may be hard to avoid a loser in all 4 suits as well as a second spade.

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All I can do is quote Bobby Goldman when speaking with a client after some -670 or -730 when she explained that she doubled because she had 13 points. "With points you bid; with trumps you double."
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Its pretty much unplayable to play this double as penalties. When the opps get into trouble, it is obviously the WK NT guy who is massive favourite to hold the trump stack. But he cannot double on his own as he doesnt know if his partner has points, since he has only transferred. PLaying the dble as t/o or points is much better, as now it is always the case that opener knows his partner has points and can pass with a trump stack. It also gives responder something much better to do than pass when he has some 2533 or 1543 10 count and doesnt know if he should be competing because he doenst know how to get to their presumed club/diamond fit.
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