MickyB Posted January 18, 2014 Report Share Posted January 18, 2014 Matchpoints 2N-P-6N-AP Your lead: JxxxxQJ8xxJTx Declarer is pretty bad, if that makes a difference. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winstonm Posted January 18, 2014 Report Share Posted January 18, 2014 I'm going as passive as I can - which I think means the J diamond lead - anyway, that's my lead. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fluffy Posted January 19, 2014 Report Share Posted January 19, 2014 ♥J 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the hog Posted January 19, 2014 Report Share Posted January 19, 2014 I'm going as passive as I can - which I think means the J diamond lead - anyway, that's my lead. The dj is not passive but a highly aggressive lead. I will lead a high heart. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lord Molyb Posted January 19, 2014 Report Share Posted January 19, 2014 low spade Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrAce Posted January 19, 2014 Report Share Posted January 19, 2014 ♦J Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broze Posted January 19, 2014 Report Share Posted January 19, 2014 DJ least likely to blow a trick imo. It has the added bonus that if declarer is missing the Q as well he might try to play me for it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyberyeti Posted January 19, 2014 Report Share Posted January 19, 2014 It appears partner can have at most a queen if opps hands are balanced, and my prospects don't look good if that's the case. So looking at my lack of minors, if dummy has a long minor and has bid 6N because it's matchpoints, where is my best chance ? Well since the major suit high cards are likely to be with declarer, a spade is vanishingly unlikely to succeed. What if dummy has 6 diamonds, declarer 2 and partner 10xxx and a card ? the only non ace that helps would be ♥K. If partner has an ace, declarer probably doesn't have 12 tricks, so I'll lead a small heart, if this gives away the overtrick c'est la vie, if many of the field are as bad as declarer, I'm not getting a good board for them making 6N anyway. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrAce Posted January 19, 2014 Report Share Posted January 19, 2014 It appears partner can have at most a queen if opps hands are balanced, and my prospects don't look good if that's the case. So looking at my lack of minors, if dummy has a long minor and has bid 6N because it's matchpoints, where is my best chance ? Well since the major suit high cards are likely to be with declarer, a spade is vanishingly unlikely to succeed. What if dummy has 6 diamonds, declarer 2 and partner 10xxx and a card ? the only non ace that helps would be ♥K. If partner has an ace, declarer probably doesn't have 12 tricks, so I'll lead a small heart. Fwiw, if i decided to lead ♥, i would also lead a small one. Although ♥ 8 is giving a little edge to a top ♥ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyberyeti Posted January 19, 2014 Report Share Posted January 19, 2014 Fwiw, if i decided to lead ♥, i would also lead a small one. Although ♥ 8 is giving a little edge to a top ♥ I didn't fancy partner having an embarrassing stiff 10. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jinksy Posted January 20, 2014 Report Share Posted January 20, 2014 What Fluffy said, although if declarer's *that* bad I'll lead honestly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
akhare Posted January 20, 2014 Report Share Posted January 20, 2014 J♦ without much conviction for me. Hopefully, it won't resolve a restricted choice conundrum for declarer in ♦s. Given the comment about declarer's ability, I don't expect such a sophisticated analysis, but it might encourage declarer into finessing the against partner's presumed Q♦, when the play on some other lead might have been to bang down AK of ♦ to drop the presumed J..Q. What were the actual hands? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickyB Posted January 20, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 20, 2014 Something like TxAKxKTxxQJxx AKQxxAxxxAKxx Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WellSpyder Posted January 20, 2014 Report Share Posted January 20, 2014 Something like TxAKxKTxxQJxx AKQxxAxxxAKxx Declarer managed to go off.Help me out a bit here since I fear I am missing something. Unless there are important ♦ spots that you haven't told us about then it looks to me as if declarer should indeed go off unless a) you lead a ♠ away from the J or b) you don't lead a ♥ and neither do you/partner when declarer ducks a ♦ trick, thereby allowing a double squeeze. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickyB Posted January 20, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 20, 2014 Help me out a bit here since I fear I am missing something. Unless there are important ♦ spots that you haven't told us about then it looks to me as if declarer should indeed go off unless a) you lead a ♠ away from the J or b) you don't lead a ♥ and neither do you/partner when declarer ducks a ♦ trick, thereby allowing a double squeeze. Yeah sorry I edited while you were replying. Brainfart, declarer would've gone off even with diamonds 3-2, I just forgot they weren't! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whereagles Posted January 20, 2014 Report Share Posted January 20, 2014 spade jack underlead seems passive enough for me.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nige1 Posted January 21, 2014 Report Share Posted January 21, 2014 Matchpoints 2N-P-6N-AP Your lead:♠ J x x x x ♥ Q J 8 x x ♦ J ♣ TxDeclarer is pretty bad, if that makes a difference. IMO ♥J = 10, ♥Q = 9, ♠x = 8, ♥x = 6, ♣T = 5, ♦J = 4. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jinksy Posted January 21, 2014 Report Share Posted January 21, 2014 Incidentally, since all the people here who'd lead a H would pick the J, does that mean a lead of the Q denies the J? ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighLow21 Posted January 21, 2014 Report Share Posted January 21, 2014 I can't imagine leading anything but a top heart. If delcarer is bad, good, amazing, doesn't matter. (Though the worse he is, the better the heart stands out.) Leading a spade is as gross as it gets in my book. Leading a low heart is speculative and dangerous. (Sure a top one is too, but much, much less so than a small one.) Minor suit leads into this auction are probably just going to help declarer guess and/or establish his sources of tricks. This is a least of evils lead to some extent, but my votes would be: any ♠ 0; Q or J♥ 10; low ♥ 3; J♦ 2; T♣ 1. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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