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2/17 in slam, 0/17 in grand, all made 13 tricks


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From a club game:

[hv=pc=n&s=sjt42ha852d5caj43&w=s53hj764dkj3c9875&n=sak976hkqtda872ck&e=sq8h93dqt964cqt62&d=e&v=n&b=2&a=ppp]399|300[/hv]

2/17 tables bid a small slam, 0/17 tables bid the grand, all 17 tables made 13 tricks.

Suggest an auction to at least get to a small slam.

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7 should NOT be bid; it requires the spades to break 2-2 (even some 3-1 splits with singleton Q will cause problems) and is less than 50%.

 

As a passed hand and especially in 2nd seat (since partner doesn't open light in 4th seat), south is worth a 4 splinter over a 1 opening. At that point, North already knows 6 must be odds-on; South can't have a singleton diamond, 4 spades, and 10 hcp outside diamonds without making 6 a good contract. North might as well bid 4N RKCB, because it's possible South has both aces and the Q (or a 5th spade), on which North can count 13 tricks, but North should 6 over the 5 response.

 

This is actually harder with West or North as dealer, because as a non-passed hand, South might consider 4 splinter a bit of an overbid.

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This is actually harder with West or North as dealer, because as a non-passed hand, South might consider 4 splinter a bit of an overbid.

 

I play splinters as 3 or 4 controls, so with four the South hand is fine. I think that such a space-comsuming bid should be tightly defined in terms of controls, not HCP. You're not going to make a thin slam with eg 12 points in queens and jacks.

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As has already been pointed out indirectly, 1 - 4; 4NT - 5; 6 is just fine. Or (strong club):-

 

1 = 15+ nat/bal or 18+ any

... - 1 = 4+ spades, if bal or GF then 4+ hearts, GF

1 = relay, usually 18+

... - 1NT = 4+ hearts

2 = relay

... - 2 = bal or 3-suited

2 = relay

... - 2 = 44(23) or 44(41)

2NT = relay

... - 3 = 4414

3 = relay

... - 3NT = min

4 = relay

... - 4NT = 4 controls, no spade control

5NT = Q ask

... - 6 = no Q

6 = NF Q ask

... - P = no Q

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The South hand, which the HCP counters underrate, is the type of hand I would open in my sleep.

After South opens I think there is no question that North-South will reach the spade slam.

Bridge is not a game of gadgets. Judgement and hand evaluation rules.

 

Rainer Herrmann

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The problem is not the hcp but rather the shape.

I have a singleton in a minor and both majors.

Computer simulations also do not confirm that 4441 is a bad distribution.

A priori chances for an eight card fit are 83% and for a nine card fit 34%

 

I like those odds.

 

Rainer Herrmann

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I splinter and keycard, discovering the Q is missing, and end up in 6.

Yes and WTP this is a basic auction.

 

EDIT perhaps the problem is that some don't play splinters or some who opened don't understand how good opener's hand with Axxx is opposite a splinter.

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EHAA:

 

p-1

3-4 (4=4=1=4, 10-12 - slam-interest cue)

4NT-5 (I have all controls, this can't be bad - 0 or 3)

5-5 (Q? - no)

6 (can't have a slam try with zero)

 

Anyone who gets to 7 needing to find the trump queen *and* some non-horrible breaks can take their +2210; I'll get it back on the next 3 grands they bid.

 

Sure I'm cheating and pulling out a Cool Tool, but playing standard, I wouldn't hesitate to splinter on this one just like most of the above. How much more can partner need from a passed hand? Now, in third seat, when I have neither a guaranteed 9-card fit nor guaranteed more than half the high cards, this is a much more interesting question.

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p p p

 

1s

 

2c reverse drury

 

2d interested

 

4d splinter now less danger than directly over 1s why the rush?

 

4n rkc

 

5h

 

5n trump Q?

 

6s = no but p would say yes if they had 5 spades (knowing we had the AK)

 

p don't want to be in this grand missing trump Q 9 card suit

 

 

 

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p p p

 

1s

 

2c reverse drury

 

2d interested

 

4d splinter now less danger than directly over 1s why the rush?

 

4n rkc

 

5h

 

5n trump Q?

 

6s = no but p would say yes if they had 5 spades (knowing we had the AK)

 

p don't want to be in this grand missing trump Q 9 card suit

 

 

 

 

"4d splinter now less danger than directly over 1s why the rush?"

No rush, but whu futz about?

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