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401K or bust...


Al_U_Card

Recession or depression?  

7 members have voted

  1. 1. When will the correction occur?

    • When QE stops?
      0
    • When Gold falls below $1,000?
      0
    • Before June 2014?
      0
    • Other


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Calm urged as investors pull out of local bonds.

 

A couple of extracts from the article:

 

1. Newly appointed chief economist for the South African Institute of Race Relations, Ian Cruickshanks, on Wednesday called the South African market "heck of expensive". "There is huge risk in the market, with current valuations not reasonable."

 

2. Dreadnought Capital CEO and former JSE director Allan Thomson says a crash is not around the corner, but he does not expect the market to hit recent "giddy heights" of growth close to 30% either.

 

Bullshit...The crash is a disaster waiting to happen. If you have any common sense, get out while you can. The NYSE hit a fresh high yesterday. On exactly what you may rightly ask? Corporate earnings are currently lagging WWWWAAAAAAAAYYYYYYYYYYYY behind current stock prices!

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One thing about the debt from interest payments (servicing national debts to central (private?) banks(?) Doesn't this suck up a lot of resources that might otherwise benefit the people rather than the bankers? Fractional reserve banking being what it is, what might also happen were the banks only allowed to charge interest on ACTUAL reserves and only able to charge a minimal fee for any "lending" of money that they create on their books without real depositor backing?
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When the stock markets crumble

The word of Yahweh will stand

Stock prices may rise and fall

But his word will endure

Though the investors may stumble

The word of Yahweh is strength

I will not be shaken

I will not be moved

I will not be shaken

 

I’ve had a vision

That we are living

In strange times

Everything is shaking

The whole earth is quacking

Can you hear it?

Can you hear it?

Victory’s in the air!

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Psalm 2014.72 (based on its Star Date).

 

It needs to be set to a jaunty tune and used in a theatrical musical. It definitely seems to have the rhythm of something from Hair, but perhaps it is actually an oft-omitted song from Jesus Christ Superstar or Godspell.

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Here's some good advice to all you buffs who play the stock market, Are you owned by an investment?

Here's an extract:

"My advice to people who have such a significant exposure to one brilliant share is to sell small portions of your shares periodically to ensure that you have sufficient money stashed away for a rainy day.

 

If you don’t believe that this investment will ever have a collapse in its share price, remind yourself of the Didata example.

 

You don’t need to sell all your shares. Sell just enough so that a significant drop in the share price will not compromise your current lifestyle."

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According to Atif Mian and Amir Sufi, in House of Debt, it is not a coincidence that the Great Recession and the Great Depression were preceded by dramatic expansions in household debt. In the U.S. for example, household debt doubled between 2000 and 2007.

 

When will the correction suggested by the OP occur? Who knows. To the extent that expanding household debt was a factor in 2007, this is not a factor now in the U.S.

 

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/1/1e/U.S._Household_Debt_Relative_to_Disposable_Income_and_GDP.png/350px-U.S._Household_Debt_Relative_to_Disposable_Income_and_GDP.png

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Here's some good advice to all you buffs who play the stock market, Are you owned by an investment?

Here's an extract:

"My advice to people who have such a significant exposure to one brilliant share is to sell small portions of your shares periodically to ensure that you have sufficient money stashed away for a rainy day.

The expression "Don't put all your eggs in one basket" is over 350 years old, and still as true.

 

Several of my employers have offered Employee Stock Purchase Plans, Stock Options, 401k matching in the form of company stock, and other forms of compensation in the form of company stock. My policy has generally been to sell when it's reasonably feasible (e.g. I wait until ESPP shares become qualified, so I pay only capital gains tax rather than income tax), on the basis that I'm already depending on the company for my regular paycheck, I don't want to depend on their stock price as well. One theory of paying employees in stock is that it will give them incentive to work harder, to keep the stock price up. I already do that just because it's my duty, and I don't think my individual contribution is significant enough that it will affect the stock price.

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  • 2 weeks later...

http://www.kitco.com/ind/Schoon/images/darryl_20140312_4.jpg

 

Even if past random walks predicted future ones and even if those curves were more similar than they all the different axis are important. In the 1920s graph the crash is from nearly 400 to 200, losing 50% of the value. The corrisponding current day axis would be from 17000 to 12000, losing less than 25% of value. Not a good day, but off by more than a factor of 2.

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typical nonsense written by nonsense...junk

 

 

 

The obvious conclusion is that austerity is not the answer. Indeed, France must abandon its policies, for its own sake — and Europe’s.

 

France’s problems, like those of other troubled eurozone economies, stem from the fact that the euro exchange rate does not align with member countries’ economic positions. As a result, these countries’ virtual exchange rates vis-à-vis Germany are critically overvalued, inasmuch as wages in these countries have risen faster, and labour productivity more slowly, than in Germany. Given that the implicit nominal exchange rates are fixed "forever" within the euro, these countries have accumulated big deficits relative to Germany.

 

 

1) France is not austerity, to suggest is idiot.

2) rest is well known well before euro...you accept or you don't.

 

The entire article is nonsense ..stupid.

Tell me something I did not know 20 years ago. If you accept euro you accept this issue...lol

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  • 2 weeks later...

Global assets under management to exceed $100 trillion by 2020

 

So how much of this is your pension funding being managed by some or other parasite (sorry, retirement funding institution). What do you think the new figure will be when the stock market implodes?

 

http://i.imgur.com/05IJvsx.gif

 

What do you think the new figure will be when the stock market implodes?

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The solution is often to have a culture that accepts entrepreneurs and one that accepts failure and second chances.

 

 

Cultures, many don't accept failure. They see failure as shame.

 

 

Innovation is so important, but a culture that sees failure as shame inhibits innovation.

 

This leads to a culture seeking stability and that leads to stagnation.

 

Many, many of us seek stability over the years, yet this leads to collapse, rather than creative destruction.

 

Granted the whole issue of collapse vs creative destruction is painful and hence people choose to ignore it.

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  • 2 weeks later...

Bank of England reveals the truth about money.

 

Quote:

Is a central bank (meant to manage this unruly lot after all) finally saying enough is enough? Let’s be honest about the monster we’ve created, because if we keep believing a system can rise and fall purely on borrowing and unlimited freedom to lend, the next crash is around the corner.

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Bank of England reveals the truth about money.

 

Quote:

Is a central bank (meant to manage this unruly lot after all) finally saying enough is enough? Let’s be honest about the monster we’ve created, because if we keep believing a system can rise and fall purely on borrowing and unlimited freedom to lend, the next crash is around the corner.

 

 

AND YET YOU DONT RESPOND.

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Bank of England reveals the truth about money.

 

Quote:

Is a central bank (meant to manage this unruly lot after all) finally saying enough is enough? Let’s be honest about the monster we’ve created, because if we keep believing a system can rise and fall purely on borrowing and unlimited freedom to lend, the next crash is around the corner.

 

 

AND YET YOU DONT RESPOND.

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