mike777 Posted December 29, 2013 Report Share Posted December 29, 2013 I think many of us....me and perhaps you...forget that fit vs hcp is more important.... 5-3 and minimum =crap bigger fit with minimum=ok YES I get tired of pards bidding on with 5-3 and crap....:( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jogs Posted December 30, 2013 Report Share Posted December 30, 2013 The estimate of our tricks for the general case. E(tricks) = trumps + (HCP-20)/3 + e But I suspect it is really E(tricks) = 8(=4+4) + (HCP-20)/3 + ewhere the expected value of e is zero.E(tricks) = 8(=5+3) + (HCP-20)/3 + ewhere the expected value of e > zero.Not clear how much greater than zero.Definitely less than 1/3 of a trick. Only it is difficult to find an unbiased sampleto test this assumption. Your partners are probably over adjusting.They should just bid game with a 5-3 majorfit and at least 25 points. Let the opponentsplay game with 24 or less. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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