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Four-handed ATB


awm

  

21 members have voted

  1. 1. Blame for losing 9 IMPs:

    • Our North, not bidding 4S
      1
    • Our South, not bidding 4S
      1
    • Our West, not bidding 4H
      6
    • Our East, passing out 3S
      4
    • No blame, just "rub of the green"
      9
    • Some other answer
      2


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Disagree - I am sure mfa's continuous range has a higher minimum than the low range of anyone playing split ranges.

Maybe so but do you think West has an easier 4 bid over an overcall that shows opening values with hearts and a minor than an overcall that showed opening values and hearts? It is not like West does not know about the spade shortage.

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Yes, there are some - mostly conventional - split range treatments out there, usually they are meant to operate in non-disturbed sequences.

 

The silly thing in split range MC is that there is no bid for the in-between hands. They have to overcall etc. ... If Ben has a weak or strong raise somewhere in his system, I'm pretty sure he has a bid for the in-between hands also.

 

The upside of a MC-bid is highest for the hands with some potential (strength).

 

The weak hands are dangerous and will be a giveaway about the distribution, if we get to defend, so the overall upside of bidding is less - we need to hit partner hard or have the opponents to have a ****-up. Happens sometimes of course, that's why we generally like to bid a lot on speculative hands.

 

The strong hands tend come up rarely, but we love to bid MC when we get them to show the hand type.

 

I feel the split range MC are construed in an environment where the competitive aspect is undervalued, i.e. medium strength hands can "just" overcall, no harm done there. But good results in competitions are made by showing a hand type as quickly as possible, since the side with most info will make the best decisions in the long run.

 

The minimum for split range MC should be less than for continuous range MC, since it is the whole idea behind split range, that a broad continuous range can't be handled.

 

Anyway, I don't think W has an easy 4-bid, if he had it would be rather uninteresting to discuss. But I think he should bid. He will make game a decent amount of the time, and sometimes it will be a good sacrifice against 3. I tend not to worry so much about pushing them to game. Good opponents can usually take care of themselves, and we don't have a particular reason to think the layout will be lucky for them here, if they take a push the wouldn't have taken otherwise.

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I think East is worth a double of 3, or else not worth 2. Nobody vul I like split range michaels, but its close between upper range and middle. For strategic reasons I would upgrade to upper.

 

I am not sure how to find 4 by NS, I think the hidden diamond ' fit' is the key, so its more bad luck than anything else, but even with 1 less total trick 4 could be worth it (420 vs 300) so there should be something more to blame.

 

North is the guy who has K10, Q and a third heart, all of which happen to be offensive tricks but not defensive. So if someone has to bid 4 it gotta be him.

Why would North bid 4 ? His hand is totally balanced. His partner could easily have only 3 and some extras and might even be waiting to double 4. And when it got around to South, there was nothing do except pass.

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I find the number of hands on auctions like this where bidding 4 over 4 to be a bad move are very few. And by "bad move" I mean more than a small swing.

 

Very few. Like maybe 10% of the time. About 50% of the time it's a great move, 20% of the time it's indifferent or a slight positive, and 20% it's an IMP swing of around -3 to -5.

 

I can live with those odds, because there will be plenty of times when passing 4 is a disaster.

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I would bid 4 with the W hand, but only if playing my own favorite Michaels agreements - 2 shows a hand that would have opened at the very least at these colors (albeit I open aggressively with shape and a major). Without knowing what agreements were in place for Michaels calls, its tough to assign blame to any particular outcome at the two tables.
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