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gnasher

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This is from the Bermuda Bowl match between England and Japan. I've included the auction even though I don't know what it means.

[hv=pc=n&s=s9hakt43dk82ckq52&n=sat764hqj865da97c&d=s&v=0&b=11&a=1hp2np3cp3hp4np5np6dp7hppp]266|200[/hv]

 

How would you play on 7 lead?

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[hv=pc=n&s=s9hakt43dk82ckq52&n=sat764hqj865da97c&d=s&v=0&b=11&a=1hp2np3cp3hp4np5np6dp7hppp]266|200|

This is from the Bermuda Bowl match between England and Japan. I've included the auction even though I don't know what it means. How would you play on 7 lead? [/hv]

Puzzled: Guessing: A, run K unless covered. Hope to ruff 1 X and 3 X in dummy, returning to hand with K and ruffs.
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Puzzled: Guessing: A, run K unless covered. Hope to ruff 1 X and 3 X in dummy, returning to hand with K and ruffs.

 

Shouldn't you cover the 7 with the 8 and then ruff a spade first in case somebody has KQJ tight in which case you only need to ruff 2 spades to establish the suit and you're in fine shape if trumps are 2-1.

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this might take a while sigh

 

trick 1 win trump in hand and assuming they break 21

trick 2 ruff a club

trick 3 spade Ace

trick 4 ruff a spade

trick 5 ruff a club

trick 6 ruff a spade assuming spades break 43*

trick 7 ruff a club

trick 8 dia to hand

trick 9 ruff a club

trick 10 ruff a spade

trick 11 pull last trump

trick 12 dia to dummy

trick 13 cash good spade

 

*trick 6 ruff a spade if spades do not break 43 we need lho to hold long spades

trick 7 club k to take ruffing finesse assume its covered to make life easier (ruff)

trick 8 cash dia in dummy

trick 9 dia to hand

trick 10 club Q pitch dia

trick 11 ruff dia

trick 12/13 2 top trumps

 

 

If trumps break 30 trick 1 tell partner to quit wishing you GLP win in hand

trick 2 club K (lets assume its covered just to make things easier) ruff

trick 3 dia to hand

trick 4 club Q pitch dia loser

trick 5 win dia in dummy

trick 6 spade A

trick 7 ruff spade

trick 8 ruff dia in dummy

trick 9 ruff spade

cross ruff

 

need lho to hold at least 3 spades and 2 clubs and 2 dia or 4spades 2clubs and 2 dia

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Shouldn't you cover the 7 with the 8 and then ruff a spade first in case somebody has KQJ tight in which case you only need to ruff 2 spades to establish the suit and you're in fine shape if trumps are 2-1.
That seems better.
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trick 1 win trump in hand and assuming they break 21

trick 2 ruff a club

trick 3 spade Ace

trick 4 ruff a spade

trick 5 ruff a club

trick 6 ruff a spade

This is the best line I could think of, but it has a flaw.

 

We'd like to make whenever spades are 4-3 or A is onside. We won the first trick with 10, and 9 is still out. At trick 6, our hearts are AK4. If we want all of our chances against spades 4-3, we have to ruff low, but if spades are 2=5 that risks an overruff.

 

Is there anything better than this?

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Fluffy, Nigel and Cyberyeti, aren't you all basically playing for A onside, with some unlikely extra chances?

 

If so, I think the line described by gzes is trivially better. Spades 4-3 is 62%, and you also get a chance to change tack if spades are 5-2, provided that you don't get overruffed on the third spade. Or have I missed something?

 

I posted this because I was very surprised by Forrester's line, if the Vugraph record was accurate. He won the trump with the 8, played ace and ruffed a spade, and then ran K..

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Fluffy, Nigel and Cyberyeti, aren't you all basically playing for A onside, with some unlikely extra chances?

If so, I think the line described by gzes is trivially better. Spades 4-3 is 62%, and you also get a chance to change tack if spades are 5-2, provided that you don't get overruffed on the third spade. Or have I missed something? I posted this because I was very surprised by Forrester's line, if the Vugraph record was accurate. He won the trump with the 8, played ace and ruffed a spade, and then ran K..

Forrester and I should be ashamed of ouselves :( Well spotted Gnasher! Thank you. And well solved Gszes! I skimmed Gszes' solution, mistakenly concluding that it would arrive at only 12 tricks :)
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Fluffy, Nigel and Cyberyeti, aren't you all basically playing for A onside, with some unlikely extra chances?

 

If so, I think the line described by gzes is trivially better. Spades 4-3 is 62%, and you also get a chance to change tack if spades are 5-2, provided that you don't get overruffed on the third spade. Or have I missed something?

 

I posted this because I was very surprised by Forrester's line, if the Vugraph record was accurate. He won the trump with the 8, played ace and ruffed a spade, and then ran K..

 

I wasn't really suggesting a line, I was just saying that if you were playing Nigel's line, this looked like a small improvement.

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