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JEC 9/7 Board 15


jillybean

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[hv=sn=|lin=pn|kristen33,Moki 011,jillybean,apron|st%7C%7Cmd%7C1S358H7TQKD38JC89A%2CS29KH45D69QKAC2TQ%2CS47TJAH2368D4C67J%2C%7Crh%7C%7Cah%7CBoard%2015%7Csv%7Cn%7Cmb%7Cp%7Cmb%7C1N%7Cmb%7Cp%7Cmb%7C3N%7Cmb%7Cp%7Cmb%7Cp%7Cmb%7Cp%7Cpc%7CS7%7Cpc%7CS6%7Cpc%7CS8%7Cpc%7CS9%7Cpc%7CC2%7Cpc%7CC6%7Cpc%7CCK%7Cpc%7CCA%7Cpc%7CS5%7Cpc%7CS2%7Cpc%7CSA%7Cpc%7CSQ%7Cpc%7CST%7Cpc%7CD2%7Cpc%7CS3%7Cpc%7CSK%7Cpc%7CDA%7Cpc%7CD4%7Cpc%7CD5%7Cpc%7CD3%7Cpc%7CDK%7Cpc%7CH8%7Cpc%7CD7%7Cpc%7CD8%7Cpc%7CDQ%7Cpc%7CH2%7Cpc%7CDT%7Cpc%7CDJ%7Cpc%7CD9%7Cpc%7CH3%7Cpc%7CC3%7Cpc%7CH7%7Cpc%7CD6%7Cpc%7CH6%7Cpc%7CC4%7Cpc%7CC9%7Cpc%7CH5%7Cpc%7CS4%7Cpc%7CHA%7Cpc%7CHT%7Cpc%7CC5%7Cpc%7CC8%7Cpc%7CCQ%7Cpc%7CC7%7Cmc%7C9%7C]499|350[/hv]
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I quite like low from this combination in principle, but probably not here. If the suit were a minor I would lead low.

 

The difference is that some of our winning combinations for leading low have been removed, such as 9xxx in dummy and KQ/Kx/Qx in declarer's hand. Low is still the winner on some hands where dummy has two and declarer four small, where dummy has Qx or Kx.

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The standard lead from this suit is the jack (or ten playing rusinow or coded leads). In general there is a reason that the standard leads are standard (they are better in a high percentage of hands). This is not to say that leading 4th from such a suit will never win, but it requires particular layouts (typically opener having a four-card holding in this case). With no strong reason to believe that deviating from the standard lead will win in this case, it's better to just lead a normal card.
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